Three variables of the Fed's decision determine the direction of

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The Fed's interest rate decision at 2 a.m. will determine the short-term direction of gold, focusing on three core variables: the deviation between the actual rate hike and expectations, the adjustment of the terminal interest rate of the dot plot, and Powell's policy characterization of inflation/employment. If the 25bp conventional operation is maintained and the dovish expression is limited, the gold price may continue to be under pressure; if the signal of suspending interest rate hikes is released or the expectation of interest rate peak is lowered, it is necessary to monitor the linkage between the US dollar DXY and the US Treasury yield simultaneously to prevent sudden changes in liquidity from causing violent fluctuations.

The 4-hour chart of gold shows that the price has formed a falling structure. In the absence of new positive catalysts, there is a large technical resistance to directly reversing the decline. Focus on the effectiveness of the 3045-3055 first-line pressure. If the gold price is still constrained in this range after the resolution is announced, a medium-term high-altitude trading framework can be established.

The market operation has objective regularity, and trading decisions should be strictly based on price behavior analysis. Investors need to abandon subjective predictions, focus on interpreting core driving factors such as capital flows and policy linkages, and achieve long-term returns through disciplined execution of trading systems. Risk control should take precedence over direction judgment, and position management should be done well at key nodes.

Trading is risky, and real-time and accurate signals can be closely followed by Baker Bitcoin Gold Trading Center or left messages. XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD XAUUSD

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