XAU/USD 21 March 2025 Intraday Analysis

25
H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs.

Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.

Intraday Expectation:

Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.

Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.

H4 Chart: snapshot

M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

You will note how price has mitigated M15 demand zones at the extreme of strong internal low. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 19 March 2025.

Price has continued to surge to new all time highs, largely fuelled by geopolitical tensions, gold is solidifying itself as a safe haven asset.

Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to confirm internal structure.

Intraday Expectation:

Price has mitigated M15 demand zone. Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.

Alternative scenario:

You will note internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.

M15 Chart: snapshot

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