Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

Short gold, profit target: 500pips

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After reaching a fresh high of 3150, gold pulled back and has since been consolidating in a narrow range around 3132. While there is no denying that gold remains in a strong bullish trend, I believe it is now at its peak and could top out at any moment. This is why I continue to look for shorting opportunities rather than blindly chasing long positions—because I must first evaluate whether I have the risk tolerance to withstand a potential long-side drawdown.

Currently, gold is showing signs of exhaustion, retreating from 3150 and stalling near its ascending trend channel resistance. There is a strong possibility that this marks the end of the parabolic uptrend, leading to a rounded top correction, similar to the previous price cycle. A potential retracement zone aligns with a $50 pullback.

From a risk management perspective, going long at elevated levels presents significant challenges in setting a stop-loss (SL). A tight SL increases the probability of being stopped out due to market volatility, while a wider SL or no SL at all could expose long positions to severe drawdowns or liquidation if the market collapses.

On the contrary, short positions allow for better-defined SL placement, and gold tends to correct sharply after an extended rally, offering favorable exit opportunities. The worst-case scenario for short sellers is missing out on further upside gains, but in return, we significantly reduce the risk of capital destruction. This is the primary reason why I remain firmly bearish on gold at current levels!

Gold has retreated from its 3150 high, showing signs of momentum exhaustion. Given this price action, traders can consider initiating short positions within the 3135-3145 zone, aiming for a pullback toward the 3100 level. This setup offers a potential $50 profit per trade.
Trade active
Gold is falling as expected, and our short positions have begun to make good profits. Have you followed my trading strategy for shorting gold?

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Trade closed: target reached
Gold has fallen back as expected, with the lowest level falling to around 3124. Our short position has once again made good profits. If you follow my trading strategy to short gold in the 3135-3145 area, I believe you have also made good profits. Do you have an accurate grasp of the entry point?

The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings

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