xauusd analysis

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Gold prices experienced a sharp decline today, dropping to a three-and-a-half-week low. The move was driven by a combination of global macroeconomic concerns, investor behavior, and technical market dynamics.

🔍 Key Reasons Behind the Drop:
Global Trade Tensions Intensify

A major escalation in the U.S.-China trade war rattled markets. The U.S. announced new tariffs, and China retaliated with export restrictions on rare earth elements. This sparked broad risk-off sentiment across global markets.

Panic-Led Liquidation

Despite being a traditional safe haven, gold was sold off as investors rushed to cover losses in other risk assets. This often happens during periods of extreme volatility when liquidity becomes a priority.

Hawkish Fed Comments

Fed Chair Jerome Powell made comments suggesting the central bank might delay rate cuts due to persistent inflation and trade uncertainties. This caused the U.S. dollar to strengthen, which typically puts pressure on gold prices.

📈 Technical Analysis:
Current Price: Around $2,962

Support Levels:

First support around $2,950

Stronger support near $2,930

Resistance Levels:

Immediate resistance at $2,970 (Target 1 in your chart)

Further resistance near $3,000 (Target 2)

Trend & Indicators:

RSI is approaching oversold, indicating a potential bounce.

The short-term trend remains bearish, with a series of lower highs and lower lows.

Volume spiked during the sell-off, showing strong momentum behind the move.

🧠 What to Watch Going Forward:
Any new trade developments between major economies.

Fed’s stance on inflation and interest rates.

Gold’s behavior around key support zones – bounce or breakdown?

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