XAUUSD Analysis – June 25, 2025
Gold slipped significantly and dropped by 1.79% following eased geopolitical tensions after a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran. As risk appetite recovered and the USD strengthened sharply, Gold finally broke below the key support at $3,350, falling straight to the next support level around $3,304.
This clean and aggressive sell-off suggests that sellers are still dominating the short-term market structure. Technically, Gold is now trading within a new support range of $3,304–$3,327, while the broader trend remains clearly bearish.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
After the break of 3,350, we can observe that price is forming lower highs and lower lows. The previous high is still located at 3,395, which makes any swing trade risky due to wide stop losses.
However, given the sharp drop, a short-term correction toward 3,327–3,336 is possible before another leg down. The current structure supports shorting the retracement, as long as no bullish reversal pattern emerges on the H4 or D1 timeframe.
📌 Trading Plan (Intraday / Short-term idea):
🔻 Sell Limit: 3,327
❌ Stop Loss: 3,337
🎯 Take Profit: 3,305
⚠️ Use a small lot size due to the 100-pip stop.
This is a short-term plan, best executed in the M15–H1 timeframe. We avoid swing entries until a better structure is confirmed.
📊 Key Levels (Pivot System):
R3: 3,379
R2: 3,366
R1: 3,350
Pivot: 3,327
S1: 3,305
S2: 3,286
S3: 3,256
💬 Summary:
Gold continues its bearish momentum. Watch closely for potential short-term correction toward 3,327–3,336. As long as price fails to break above 3,336 or form a bullish engulfing structure, we remain cautiously bearish.
Gold slipped significantly and dropped by 1.79% following eased geopolitical tensions after a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran. As risk appetite recovered and the USD strengthened sharply, Gold finally broke below the key support at $3,350, falling straight to the next support level around $3,304.
This clean and aggressive sell-off suggests that sellers are still dominating the short-term market structure. Technically, Gold is now trading within a new support range of $3,304–$3,327, while the broader trend remains clearly bearish.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
After the break of 3,350, we can observe that price is forming lower highs and lower lows. The previous high is still located at 3,395, which makes any swing trade risky due to wide stop losses.
However, given the sharp drop, a short-term correction toward 3,327–3,336 is possible before another leg down. The current structure supports shorting the retracement, as long as no bullish reversal pattern emerges on the H4 or D1 timeframe.
📌 Trading Plan (Intraday / Short-term idea):
🔻 Sell Limit: 3,327
❌ Stop Loss: 3,337
🎯 Take Profit: 3,305
⚠️ Use a small lot size due to the 100-pip stop.
This is a short-term plan, best executed in the M15–H1 timeframe. We avoid swing entries until a better structure is confirmed.
📊 Key Levels (Pivot System):
R3: 3,379
R2: 3,366
R1: 3,350
Pivot: 3,327
S1: 3,305
S2: 3,286
S3: 3,256
💬 Summary:
Gold continues its bearish momentum. Watch closely for potential short-term correction toward 3,327–3,336. As long as price fails to break above 3,336 or form a bullish engulfing structure, we remain cautiously bearish.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.