Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Updated

XAUUSD 4H Update

1 048
A small pullback toward 1930 is possible from the current price level then a decline is necessity to start the 5th wave. The 3rd wave (Extension) is done.

Minimum target for 5th wave is 1894 zone.
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Here we go.

4th Wave correction has started.

1930 Top hopefully
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Top can be 1925
It should have been reach there before Tokyo Session tomorrow ...
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Price is probably forming a Flat Correction in 1 hour time frame.

Conditions:

1. Price should move up with ABC style (Which will be the "A" of flat correction)
2. "B" should not retrace more than 111% minimum 61.80% (This will also have ABC waves inside of it)
3. "C" will have 12345 waves inside of it

I have drew how a flat correction should look like.

These are all probabilities.
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In 15 minutes chart price has formed AB already

Now C is forming where we will have 12345 waves and once the price reaches the 261.80% then the flat correction will be over.

According to FIBO extension the 261.80% is 1940 and 161.80% is 1925
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How things are forming in 30 minutes chart

This will be a short term price movement upward.

Bearish movement will continue from any of these two levels, either 1925 or 1940

Then the fall will stop at 1700 zone
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Price has already at 1894 zone

That means 3rd wave extension is not finished yet.

Where to stop then?

1889 or 1888 or even lower ?

Price has to form a pullback for further declining.

A top of 1920-25 is now obvious and that will be our 4th wave.
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1888 floor before the pullback toward 1920 top??
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How the zigzag correction was completed, I was expecting 1888 but it went up from 1889 and formed a trend reversal pattern inverted head and shoulder in 5 minutes chart.

Lets see if it can retest the neckline and move up or fall below for deeper correction.
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Zigzag correction confirmation with conditions:

1. A should have 5 waves inside of it (12345)
2. B should not retrace more than 61.80%
3. C should reach the extension of either 100% or 161.80%

Above all conditions are fulfilled.

What's now then?

Price has made a change of character and left an unmitigated order block (1892.140-1893.520) and a discount zone (1893.316-1894.239) is also there.

I am confident that price will make an impulse move from any of these zones if it wants to make a top 1920 today or tomorrow.
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Things are in favor for the pullback and 1920 TOP
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This post is invalid now about the pullback.

I am giving new 4h analysis
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1930 pullback is back in favor
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How price should react ....

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