With fundamental of trade war and Jerome Powell news. There are many uncertainties in the market.
High volatility is going to be expected however trade precaution is highly advised for my personal trade.
Base on technical with assistance of fibo from previous structure breakout what I saw was gold manage to reach area of 2.618. however, a strong rejection was present that pushes it close to 1.618 as a current support. Undeniably gold is way over bought and price is considerably expensive. But that does not mean that gold could not goes even higher as the last break of structure and strong push gold has the potential still to climb up to 4.236 base on fibo and the area of 3420-3439 but first it needs to settle the current resistance of 3357.
So, what can happen on Monday and what does I want to look for if to buy for gold.
1. For continuation at the current market price of 3325 would gold give a push higher and break the last H1 supply. If happens I know I would be able to have a good 200-300pips to retest the ATH. So, I would take a precautioned buy trade of pullback and close TP range with 1:2 RR. Plus 20% position open TP.
2. If gold make a pullback to the cmp weak support and then only to break above similar trade as above I would take.
So, what does I want to look for if to sell for gold.
1. If gold able to utilise the current fbo sell and break below 3309. Then only I will take a continuation sell trade with similar strategy trade plan range and RR at the nearest SBR of m5/m15. So, means it needs to provide a new support pullback and then enter. Max target of this sell I target up to 3285-90 extension 3270 and 3230. The moment close to this area I should start monitoring if any change of character to have the bullish bias again or not. As bullish is still in bias.
Another possibility that I need to prepared and I hope it would not happen as its really not easy to identify if it’s going to make a temporary sideways between 3280-3360. However if this happens then I would look for buys and sells after buys and sells signals appear only in m30 and above candle. To sell slightly lower then 3360 after a rejection confirmed or to buy slightly higher then 3280 after a rejection confirm.
So that the game plan for next week
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.