GOLD 4D TF Bearish
Gold Market Outlook
Fundamental aspects
- Gold prices remain under pressure, continuing their bearish trend after a steep sell-off last Friday. Today, gold prices fell as the U.S. dollar strengthened. This rise of 0.1% in the dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
- Tomorrow we have CPI data. If the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows higher-than-expected inflation, the likelihood of the Fed delaying rate cuts could push gold prices below this level 2,277. Additionally, if the Fed’s dot plot indicates minimal or no rate cuts this year, gold could face further downward pressure.
- Considering the current strength of the U.S. dollar, the approaching CPI report, and the expected Fed stance on interest rates, the short-term outlook for gold remains bearish. If inflation data and Fed projections support a delay in rate cuts, gold prices are likely to break below the key support level of $2,277.34. Traders should stay vigilant and monitor these developments closely as they impact the gold market.
- The Federal Reserve’s June meeting with a policy decision expected on Wednesday. The Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged. However, economic projections are anticipated to show fewer rate cuts than previously expected due to persistent inflation. High interest rates reduce the attractiveness of non-yielding assets like gold, as investors prefer bonds and other yielding investments.
Technical View
The key level is 2,234. A sustained move under $2,344 will signal the presence of sellers. If this creates enough downside momentum, then look for the selling to possibly extend into the last swing bottom at $2,277.34. This could trigger an acceleration to the downside with the next target bottom at $2,146.15.
Fundamental aspects
- Gold prices remain under pressure, continuing their bearish trend after a steep sell-off last Friday. Today, gold prices fell as the U.S. dollar strengthened. This rise of 0.1% in the dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
- Tomorrow we have CPI data. If the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows higher-than-expected inflation, the likelihood of the Fed delaying rate cuts could push gold prices below this level 2,277. Additionally, if the Fed’s dot plot indicates minimal or no rate cuts this year, gold could face further downward pressure.
- Considering the current strength of the U.S. dollar, the approaching CPI report, and the expected Fed stance on interest rates, the short-term outlook for gold remains bearish. If inflation data and Fed projections support a delay in rate cuts, gold prices are likely to break below the key support level of $2,277.34. Traders should stay vigilant and monitor these developments closely as they impact the gold market.
- The Federal Reserve’s June meeting with a policy decision expected on Wednesday. The Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged. However, economic projections are anticipated to show fewer rate cuts than previously expected due to persistent inflation. High interest rates reduce the attractiveness of non-yielding assets like gold, as investors prefer bonds and other yielding investments.
Technical View
The key level is 2,234. A sustained move under $2,344 will signal the presence of sellers. If this creates enough downside momentum, then look for the selling to possibly extend into the last swing bottom at $2,277.34. This could trigger an acceleration to the downside with the next target bottom at $2,146.15.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.