XAUUSD Monthly Outlook โ€“ April 2025

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๐ŸŽฏ Market Context: Gold is currently trading in uncharted territory โ€” sitting at all-time highs, right inside a Monthly Premium zone, just above the previous BOS level from 2011. This is significant institutional terrain.

๐Ÿ“Œ Key Monthly Levels:

๐ŸงŠ Major Resistance Zone: 3,135โ€“3,168 โ†’ This is a premium zone where price is likely to face profit-taking or distribution.

๐Ÿ”ต Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between 2,750โ€“2,900 remains unfilled.

๐Ÿช™ Last CHoCH and BOS: Confirmed bullish structure. Market has broken all historical ceilings.

โš–๏ธ Equilibrium Zone: Around 2,400โ€“2,500 โ†’ could act as a magnet in long-term pullbacks.

๐Ÿ’Ž Unmitigated OBs and Strong Lows: Still open way below 2,000 โ€” long-term reversion zones if a macro bearish cycle begins.

๐Ÿง  Market Psychology:

We are clearly in the euphoria/distribution stage.

Monthly RSI is likely overbought (to be confirmed on chart), making bulls cautious for the first time in months.

Smart Money might be unloading positions subtly or looking to trap late longs.

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