*Market Overview:* Gold is currently exhibiting a bearish sentiment, with recent price action closing below the daily chart's 20-period simple moving average (SMA). This technical setup indicates that sellers dominate the market, and we are positioned to capitalise on potential further downward movements.
*Key Technical Levels:*
1. *Bearish Scenario:* - *Current Price Action:* As the price remains below the 20-period SMA, we look for a potential downside break from the established triangle pattern. This breakout could signal a continuation of the bearish trend. - *Targets:* - *First Target:* *2535* – This level aligns with the anticipated wave C completion in the ongoing corrective wave structure. - *Second Target:* *2485* – A deeper price retracement could further validate the wave C scenario. - *Wave 3 Consideration:* Should gold decline below the 2350 area, we may enter wave 3, suggesting strong momentum for continued bearish movement. This could imply a rapid downward trend and provide a solid trading opportunity.
2. *Bullish Scenario:* - *Resistance Levels:* - *20-Period SMA:* a daily close above this moving average could indicate a shift in market sentiment, signalling caution for bearish positions. - *Breakout Level:* If the price breaks above *2666*, it would suggest a potential bullish reversal. This level must be carefully analyzed for trading decisions. - *Upside Targets:* - *First Target:* *2716* - *Ultimate Target:* *2850* – A close above 2721 may propel gold toward new all-time highs.
*Trading Strategy:* - *Shorting Opportunities:* Focus on initiating short positions around *2652* or *2613*. These levels coincide with the anticipated price retracement areas within the bearish framework. - *Monitoring Key Levels:* Closely watch for price interaction with the 20-period SMA and the upper boundaries of the triangle pattern. Any decisive movement above these will require a reassessment of bearish positions. *Risk Management:* Consider utilizing stop-loss orders just above the 20-period SMA or the breakout level.
*Conclusion:* The current bearish trend in gold, reinforced by the daily close below the 20-period SMA, suggests promising short-term trading opportunities. Should the price break down from the triangle pattern, we may see targets around *2535* and *2485. Conversely, a beyond **2666* could signal a strong bullish reversal, urging caution for existing short positions. Traders should remain alert and ready to adapt strategies based on these levels and market movements.
*Disclaimer:* This analysis is intended for informational purposes. Research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Safe trading, everyone!
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.