XAU/USD 02 May 2025 Intraday Analysis

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H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025

Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.

Price is now trading within an established internal range.

Intraday Expectation:

Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.

Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.

H4 Chart: snapshot

M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.

As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 01 May 2025 whereby I mentioned that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bullish pullback following the printing of a bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH.

Price did not pullback significantly enough to warrant a further bearish iBOS, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify this as such, I have however marked in red.

Price has since continued bearish, subsequently printing a bullish CHoCH.

Internal structure is now established, however, I will continue to monitor price regarding depth of pullback as previous.

Intraday Expectation:

Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,201.955

Note:

With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.

Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.

M15 Chart: snapshot

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