The market consensus expects a 0.7% month-on-month increase (vs. -0.6% in March), suggesting a possible rebound in household retail demand, pushing up inflationary pressures again.
Once it is said that inflation is pushed up again, market expectations will promote the possibility of raising interest rates in June, and the US dollar index may usher in a rise. Relatively speaking, non-US currencies may usher in a dive.
Now there is half an hour left before the most important data of this week: the monthly rate of U.S. retail sales. This data market generally expects a month-on-month increase of 0.7%. This is a bad news for gold, and I personally think that it will fall below the 2000 mark today. It is also bearish, so my suggestion is to continue to maintain the short-selling signal on rallies today, waiting for the data to be released.
XAUUSD: Our 2010 short order continues
TP1:1995
TP2:1975