Bitcoin
Short
Updated

BTC - complex B wave

This is analysis is an extension of the linked Elliot wave analysis. The current wave appears to be the second subset of a complex B wave.
Trade active
Stop: 12405
Target 7321
Note
Hourly and 21 min ADX both = 10; trend is extremely flat, new trend likely to form soon snapshot
snapshot
Note
6Hr fast SMA (77; Orange) finding resistance under slow SMA (235; Blue; Circled).
ADX touch 50 and drop, RSI overbought (arrows) = potential reversal
snapshot
Note
Fib Time Zone: snapshot
Short term breakdown on latest cycle: snapshot
Note
My confidence in the position is much lower following this bullish bounce, I will still hold the position, since my invalidation point is the long term descending fib speed fan level above. I may de-risk by taking some profit on the position.

BB midline support on 77 SMA (Orange) is particularly concerning
snapshot
Note
Resistance under fast fib speed lines (circled)
Hourly BB midline bear cross through 77 SMA (yellow arrow)
Hourly RSI in oversold (often happens at the start of a trend; purple star)
snapshot
Note
Outcome of earlier forecast (above) snapshot

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