The Australian stock market (AXJO) is currently rising after a strong pull back that took place in July. This rejection happened because the market reached its All Time Highs of October 2007. Despite the rather strong selling manner in which it was conducted, we believe that this sell sequence is not over yet and a stronger correction is needed.
The reason for this perspective is that the very same long term pattern on the 1W time-frame has been spotted back in 1994, when the ASX again pulled back after testing its (then) All Time High. The selling only stopped when the 1W MA200 came in for support.
We are expecting a similar price action and even though the correction on 1994 was more than -20% we expect this time just the 1W MA200 to be enough to support and initiate then next long term bullish leg. Use this pattern according to your own risk tolerance and strategy but this is our approach for the right time to re-enter this market.
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