Possible inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily although the neckline shows weakness as the continuation of the downtrend is possible. The pattern is forming near a past demand region of 34-35 may break the downtrend since Sept 2016. RSI has been increasing since March with a dip below 34.50 bought on May 4th and 5th. Something to watch for a reversal. Took a position in GUSH the leveraged version of XOP at 29.20, with a stop loss at 28.01 below the prior days low for XOP of 34.83. If stop is triggered will wait for a re-entry above 36.22.
Economic reasons include Saudi and Russian talks to continue to cut production despite higher U.S. Output and Increased inventories. Will be looking for confirmation of a positive move from the EIA crude oil inventory report released on 5/24, a decrease in the inventory could mean higher prices for UKOIL.