What are the parts of a trading strategy?What are the parts of a trading strategy?
I was doing a backtest on a new concept yesterday, and I realized the different parts of my testing strategy. At that moment, I became aware that the way I see any trading strategy is like an algorithm with several filters or steps. When those filters become "TRUE," we can check the following filter until we have a valid setup. Another way of understanding a trading strategy is like a funnel with different filters. At the end of the funnel, we have two possible outcomes.
Outcome 1. You are allowed to set pending orders.
Outcome 2. Do not place orders because one or more filters are not "TRUE."
Why am I writing about this? Because it was clear to me that even if you are doing it consciously or not, every strategy is like an algorithm; it doesn't matter if you trade manually. In the end, your brain is taking the price and making it go through a funnel of filters. So my intention today is that by putting together those different filters/stages/steps I realized yesterday, you can try to see them in your strategy and make improvements to your system or maybe become aware of something you have been doing.
It's important to say that this is a template, maybe you are using 2 filters, or perhaps you are using 5. The key point is understanding the step-by-step process that systematic strategies follow every time a setup is developed.
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FILTER 1: GENERAL CONTEXT
The most probable thing is that your first filter is about general context. What we are trying to answer here is, "Are we in a valid place for the strategy or not?" Some examples can be:
- The price must be in contact with a support/resistance zone.
- The price must be above/below (a certain technical level)
- The price must be on a drawdown of (time)
(TRUE / FALSE)?. IF true, proceed with the following filter; IF false, you are not allowed to trade.
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FILTER 2: SPECIFIC CONTEXT.
Now that your first filter is TRUE, the most probable thing is that you are using the 2nd filter regarding context; this is pretty similar to the previous filter but happens after the first one is true. Example:
- Moving averages should be in the following order...
- The price must be above/below (a certain secondary technical level)
- On a lower timeframe, the price must be (technical condition)
(TRUE / FALSE)?. IF true, proceed with the following filter; IF false, you are not allowed to trade.
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FILTER 3: FINAL CONTEXT BEFORE THE TRIGGER.
Here you will be paying attention to the final filter before the trigger; this is the last thing that, if TRUE, you will be able to wait for your trigger. Example:
- A technical indicator must be overbought/oversold.
- Volume at a certain level should be...
- I need to see a divergence.
(TRUE / FALSE)?. IF true, proceed with the following filter; IF false, you are not allowed to trade.
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FILTER 4: THE TRIGGER
All the filters are TRUE, and we are allowed to wait for the last thing before executing a setup, "The Trigger." Your trigger is a set of parameters that will enable you to place pending orders. Let's take a look at some of them:
- Candlestick Patterns
- Technical Structures (like Zig-Zag, Triangles, Irregulars, Flat, etc.)
(TRUE / FALSE)?. IF true + Risk to Reward ratio is aligned with the minimum requirements. Then set, Entry level / Stop level / Break-Even level / Take Profit level.
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My conclusion:
If I understand the different filters I'm using on my strategy, from general to specific ones, it becomes straightforward to make improvements or detect elements that require fixing. Instead of saying "My strategy is not working" or "My strategy requires improvements," we can say: My trigger is excellent. However, my filters regarding general context are not on point so I will work on that.
Understanding the parts of your trading strategy, like parts of an engine, will bring you insights into what you are doing. Try to see your system as a series of gears working together.
Thanks for reading!
Academy
The analysis of the behavior of major player Part 2Hey everyone.
Today i want to proceed my sharing of my knowlege about the behavior of large players in the market,
how to notice them and how to use it.
In the last tutorial we had a discussion about points where the major players places them SL and that this points it is = the biggest sales or buys in the market according the directions.
So today i want to show you this point on the chart in the major coin exactly.
Point of stop losses of major players is circled on the chart.
On this example we can see the major SL actuation like a BIG buy in the market!
Have an awesome deals 🤝🔥
AUTOMATED TRADING BOTS: How to profit with Tezos.Tezos is one of the best token for our robot.
Our robot mainly uses the DCA (dollar cost averaging) trading method.
If the price drops, instead of the Stop loss order, we have a Buy limit order.
This will also cause the Take profit value to drop and approach the current price.
If the price falls and falls, the robot buys and buys. This keeps the Take Profit lower and lower.
After that, the price of the token rises and our trade ends with Take profit, which is not far from us thanks to constant and precisely predefined purchases.
The XTZ / USDT currency pair is suitable for our demonstration. You see very high volatility.
It is through volatility that our robot can be profitable. If the price still went in one direction without frequent fluctuations and without "waves", the robot would earn very little.
We need great volatility for big profits.
Volatility in the TradingView platform will be helped by the Historical Volatility indicator.
This indicator often (on this time frame) intersects the value of 50.00, which is rarely affected for low-volatile currency pairs. For example, you would look for Bitcoin very bad around 50.00 on this time frame.
The key to our profitable trading bot is volatility! At a time of market colapse, when almost everyone is going through and positions in the Futures markets are being liquidated on a large scale, we are EXTREMLY profitable thanks to our robots.
Of course, it is very important that you know how big the position is and how often, or at what intervals it is necessary for the robot to buy more. In no case is every setting of the robot profitable, on the contrary, setting up a profitable robot is not easy.
You will learn how to set up a robot to be constantly profitable in our Academy.
PS: One of the best things about trading with robots is that you remove all emotions and decisions.
We wish you a nice day. UCT team.
Learn how to create a setup using 5 price action itemsToday we will learn how to create a full setup using 5 Price Action items. This process will be made on the 1H chart and is extremely useful for Swing setups. However, the logic can be applied in any timeframe. This can also be applied to any direction today; we will work with a short setup, but it is the same for a long setup.
1) Daily Resistance zone: If we are working on the 1H chart and the price is about to face a Daily Resistance zone, we should expect a reaction there; WHY? Because The higher the timeframe of a level, the stronger it is, and we should be ready for a reaction there. This should be the first filter to use: The price is about to face a higher degree zone.
2)Define the minor support and resistances of the current trend: If we are waiting for a reaction on the Daily Resistance zone, it is essential to understand the levels we have on the current trend. WHY? Because we will use them to define the next target and the Corrective structure's location to trade.
3)Wait for the breakout of a relevant trendline: In this case, we want to see the price breaking the Ascending trendline; WHY? Because that would be a signal that the Reversal movement on the Daily level is going as expected. The breakout of the Ascending trendline is a key element: Know the conditions are optimal to start thinking on a short setup.
4) Wait for a corrective Structure on the minor Support zone: Corrective Structures are ABC or ABCDE patterns. You should be able to draw edges on that sideways movement. You can define that is ready when you have something like the example you see on the chart.
5) Now, everything is aligned to develop a setup. Your bearish idea is supported with all the previous 4 items; only at that moment you can say I will create a short setup. Define your entry-level below the structure or below "B, set your stop above "C". Define your Target on the next minor support/resistance zone. Pay attention to the risk-reward ratio you have; only take setups with a R/R ratio higher than 1.5
Thanks for reading! We hope this Template can help you with your trading.
Corrective Structures and Fibonacci ExtensionsHere, we will expand the information about the chart.
Corrective Structure: Tell us about an accumulation/distribution process. That means that Institutional funds are trying to buy the maximum amount of an asset. Remember, they have a lot of money. They cant set a buy order as Retail traders do. They need to average their buy on a range (that takes time). The same applies to the selling process. A key aspect of this process is the idea that when they buy, they will move the price; after that, they need to sell a partial amount of the previous purchase to keep the price in range. When the price falls again, they loop the process again. These actions create corrective structures that retail trades can use to understand that this is happening and simply wait for the breakout.
Fibonacci Extensions: Ralph Nelson Elliott stated that, while stock market prices may appear random and unpredictable, they actually follow predictable, natural laws and can be measured and forecast using Fibonacci numbers. ( In this case, Fibo Extenssions provide us with Targets based on proportions with previous movements) Elliott stated that, while stock market prices may appear random and unpredictable, they actually follow predictable, natural laws and can be measured and forecast using Fibonacci numbers.
We hope the information was useful!
Bearish Reversal Candlesticks PatternsHanging man
The hanging man is the bearish equivalent of a hammer (bullish pattern). It typically forms at the end of an uptrend with a tiny body and a long lower wick. The lower wick designates that there was a large sell-off, but bulls headed to take back control and drive the price up. Holding that in mind, after a lengthened uptrend, the sell-off may act as a warning that the bulls might soon be losing control of the market.
Shooting star
The shooting star is a comparable pattern as the inverted hammer (bullish pattern) but is formed at the end of an uptrend. The shooting star is composed of a candlestick with a long upper wick, little or no lower wick, and a small body, ideally near the low. It indicates that the market reached a high, but then sellers took control and drove the price back down.
Three black crows
The bearish equivalent of three white soldiers (bullish pattern). The three black crows are made of three sequential red candlesticks that open within the previous candle’s body, and close at a level below the previous candle’s low. Ideally, these candlesticks shouldn’t have long higher wicks, betokening continuous selling pressure pushing the price down. The dimension of the candles and the length of the wicks can be used to estimate the chances of continuation.
Bearish harami
The bearish harami is a long green candle followed by a small red candle with a body that’s completely contained within the body of the previous candle. The bearish harami can unfold over two or more days, marks at the end of a downtrend, and may symbolize that buying pressure is decreasing.
Dark cloud cover
The dark cloud cover pattern consists of a red candle that opens above the close of the previous green candle but then closes below the midpoint of that candle. It can often be co-occurred by high volume, indicating that momentum might be shifting from the upside to the downside. Traders might wait for a third red candle for confirmation of the pattern.
Best regards EXCAVO
Trend Continuation Candlesticks PatternsTrend Continuation Candlesticks Patterns
There are countless candlestick patterns that traders can use to identify areas of interest on a chart. These can be used for day trading, swing trading, and even longer-term position trading.
Rising three methods
This pattern occurs in an uptrend, where three consecutive red candles with small bodies are attended by the continuation of the uptrend. Ideally, the red candles shouldn’t breach the area of the previous candlestick. The continuation is confirmed with a green candle with a large body, symbolizing that bulls are back in control of the trend’s direction.
Falling three methods
The inverse of rising three methods, indicating the continuation of a downtrend instead.
It’s relevant to note that candlestick patterns aren’t fundamentally a buy or sell signal by themselves. They are rather a way to look at market structure and a potential indication of upcoming opportunities.
My dear friends, the sooner this publication gets 300 likes, the earlier I will make the next education post about other candlesticks patterns.
Best regards EXCAVO
What is the Wyckoff Method? #2 Distribution SchematicDistribution Schematic
In essence, the Distribution Schematics works in the opposite way of the Accumulation, but with slightly different terminology.
Wyckoff method distribution schematic
Phase A
The first phase occurs when an established uptrend starts to slow down due to decreasing demand. The Preliminary Supply (PSY) suggests that the selling force is showing up, although still not strong enough to stop the upward movement. The Buying Climax (BC) is then formed by an intense buying activity. This is usually caused by inexperienced traders that buy out of emotions.
Next, the strong move up causes an Automatic Reaction (AR), as the excessive demand is absorbed by the market makers. In other words, the Composite Man starts distributing his holdings to the late buyers. The Secondary Test (ST) occurs when the market revisits the BC region, often forming a lower high.
Phase B
Phase B of a Distribution acts as the consolidation zone (Cause) that precedes a downtrend (Effect). During this phase, the Composite Man gradually sells his assets, absorbing and weakening market demand.
Usually, the upper and lower bands of the trading range are tested multiple times, which may include short-term bear and bull traps. Sometimes, the market will move above the resistance level created by the BC, resulting in an ST that can also be called an Upthrust (UT).
Phase C
In some cases, the market will present one last bull trap after the consolidation period. It’s called UTAD or Upthrust After Distribution. It is, basically, the opposite of an Accumulation Spring.
Phase D
The Phase D of a Distribution is pretty much a mirror image of the Accumulation one. It usually has a Last Point of Supply (LPSY) in the middle of the range, creating a lower high. From this point, new LPSYs is created - either around or below the support zone. An evident Sign of Weakness (SOW) appears when the market breaks below the support lines.
Phase E
The last stage of a Distribution marks the beginning of a downtrend, with an evident break below the trading range, caused by a strong dominance of supply over demand.
Outcome:
Naturally, the market doesn’t always follow these models accurately. In practice, the Accumulation and Distribution Schematics can occur in varying ways. There may be delays in some phases.
Still, Wyckoff’s work offers a wide range of reliable techniques, which are based on his many theories and principles. It is certainly much more than a TA indicator.
In essence, the Wyckoff Method allows investors to make more logical decisions rather than acting out of emotions. The extensive work of Wyckoff provides traders and investors a series of tools for reducing risks and increasing their chances of success. Still, there is no foolproof technique when it comes to investing. One should always be wary of the risks.
Best regards EXCAVO
Pattern Triangle - How to find? how to use in a right way?Triangle is one of the most populat pattern. A lot of traders are trying to use, but mostly thay can not find it, or are drowing it in a wrong way. In this video I am searching patterns with you and also will give you most important principals for trading with it.
[ALCOA] HOW TO TRADE A CORRECTIVE STRUCTUREGood morning Traders!
This strategy is very simple and clear, it tells us "what to watch, entry, target and stop loss" .
Our idea of technical rebound must be confirmed with a first bullish leg (rally), so if this event does not happen, we will not go looking for a long position. If instead there will be a rally, we will wait for pullback (often around 50%/62%) and we will try to take a long position on the completion of the corrective structure (ABC). Stop Loss below the previous low.
To complete this strategy, you need to calculate an appropriate size (Money Management)
If you think our analyzes are useful, support us with a simple "Like", thank you and trade with care!
Cheers.