USOIL 3rd OCTOBER 2022 - COMBINATION STRATEGYUSOIL Combination strategy with a Trendline, Unfilled Order (UFO) and Psychological level.
Trend is a movement that shows where the market is moving. The term "trend" in everyday life is often used to express a situation, where something is in vogue or is gaining public attention.
As you know, a trendline is a tool that can be used to recognize the direction of a trend. Therefore, a trendline can serve as both Support (in an uptrend) and Resistance (in a downtrend). Trend line, Its function as a technical tool does not need to be doubted. Besides being able to help identify trends, this tool can also be used to find entry points. In looking for entry points, you can use bounce and breakout opportunities. remember "the trend is your friend". Believe it or not, in forex trading, the trendline is one of the friends that can help you to follow the direction where the market is moving.
This trend movement forms a series of sequential waves with the following levels:
Peak (High/H),
Higher peak (Higher High / HH)
Lower peak (Lower High / LH )
Valley (Low/L)
higher valley (Higher Low / HL )
Lower valley (Lower Low / LL)
By knowing the support and resistance levels, a trader can minimize risks and maximize profits. During a downtrend, a trendline can serve as resistance. But conversely, during an uptrend, the trendline can function as support. In finance market, a psychological level, is a price level in technical analysis that significantly influences the price of the underlying security, commodity or derivative. Usually, the number is something "easy to remember," like a number that is rounded up.
Meanwhile, Unfilled order is a shipment of orders that have not been fulfilled and inventory reported by domestic manufacturing companies. historically it can be seen that the balance between buyers and sellers is broken due to high volatility.
for example in the case of US30 23rd AUGUST 2022
Crude Oil Futures WTI (CL1!)
Why Crude Oil is Trending Higher Again, Breaking Above US$100In this tutorial, I will explain both its fundamental and technical reasons for crude oil likely to break above and stay above US$100.
I am having two portfolios at all times, one for long-term investing and the other for short-term trading.
For the long-term I am mindful the current global inflationary pressure is real and it may last many months or even years ahead.
Therefore, my current investment mandate:
• U.S. stock markets – To trade them
• Commodities – To buy them
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
For your reference:
NYMEX Crude Oil
$0.01 = US$10
Example:
From $94.00 to $100.00
(10000-9400) x US$10 = US$6,000
CL1! - How I approach my analysisA Trader asked me, if I could show how I approach my analysis. And this is what this Video is about.
At the end we even have a potential trade and definitely a chart to observe.
What you will see is:
- the big picture
- swings
- Andrews Pitchfork
- the sine-wave pattern
...and even the classic Head & Shoulder, which reveille where the meat is.
Let's start...
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Weakening Market & Consolidation
Crude oil is becoming weaker and weaker.
though many fundamentalists promised a quick return to "normal" price levels after the lockdown removal,
it looks like things are much more complicated than that.
if you are a swing trader and you are looking for an opportunity to jump in in the market,
I guess it is not the best moment.
for the entire month, we could not set a new high.
ATR drops as crazy and volatility is missing:)
let the market start moving.
let it pick the direction and then just act accordingly.
swaps are now very expensive on oil, so no need to incur these losses.
Brent Crude Updated Map - More Down 32.90/29.70Current consolidation is a classic flat within double three WXY (white labels).
Which is in its turn is the wave ((X)) of the larger yellow degree - the junction between ((W)) and ((Y)).
After it gets completed another drop would follow to hit the blue box between 32.90 (38.2% Fib) and 29.70 (50% Fib).
WTI updated map - could be ending diagonal 5 of (C)The wave 4 that I was looking to unfold before could be over long ago as simple flat.
The further seesaw structure that already distracted so many traders from the crude could be an ending diagonal wave 5 of (5) of ((C)).
After it gets finished we could see a drop in 3 waves retracement.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) STRUCTURE ANALYSIS
hey guys,
crude keeps growing steadily!
the price has easily gone through 18.5 - 20.5 resistance and now it turned to support.
our next key daily resistance is 28.6 - 30.6 zone.
look for a reversal formation within this area to short.
in case of a further bullish continuation, the second resistance will be 34.0 - 36.0 area.
if this zone will be reached, the previously mentioned resistance will turn to support as well.
the safest trading is always done on key levels.
so pay attention to the price action when any of the key zones are reached.
good luck!
How to Chart Futures Contracts and Crude Oil's Historic MoveCrude oil traded at -$40 per barrel and that is a historic move. It will go down in the history books.
In this video, we want to show everyone how to track and analyze futures on TradingView, specifically future contracts in crude oil CL1! and CL2!. On TradingView, it's possible to study any futures market and break that market down by each month. CL1!, for example, shows the current crude oil contract in front. CL2! shows the next contract in front. You can also dive into specific contracts that go as far as 2021 or 2022 or beyond.
This video tutorial is meant to be educational and we hope it helps anyone interested learn more about these markets. It's important to remember that most futures contracts trade based on an expiration date. Then, the contracts roll to the next month after that. As a platform, TradingView gives you the data and tools needed to analyze any of these contracts. The quickest way to getting started is to use the search bar to explore all the possible futures contracts that can be analyzed or visualized on a chart.
We hope this video tutorial helps the community get started. Please press like if you enjoyed it and, even better, please leave a comment to add to this discussion. Let's hear your opinion on futures market and the recent crash in crude oil.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) KEEP CALM! TREND IS STILL BEARISH!
hey guys,
reading news outlets and ideas on tradingview, the forecasts are all bullish right now!
people are urged to buy from any level based on the fundamental news.
be very careful! though we truly see a dramatic shift and strong bullish rally this week,
don't forget that technically the trend remains bearish!
moreover, currently, the price is trading on a key structure resistance level and for now
buyers could not break above that and we see a negative reaction.
the next safe opportunity to buy will come only after a bullish breakout of the underlined resistance,
for now just patiently watch the reaction of the market.
it is still possible that next week we may see a perfect signal to short.
so no rush right now!
good luck and have a great weekend!
BANKNIFTY , US30, NIFTY VSTOP strategy I have created the strategy and traders can use it for their benefit. Have explained how to use it.
Traders adjust settings for your instruments. Trend is our friend this is the policy we are trying to achieve with this.
This is my first video idea, i will try to do it more and more if time allows me to do so. Please Give your feedback on the strategy and video.
Oil "Energy Model"This is a pretty simple model based on a Gann Square and concentric circles and squares. Price over time tends to move up or down 2 circles, or energy levels, before moving in the opposite direction.
Since price made a low near the point marked 0, we should expect that the oil price will generally move higher until the circle marked 2.
The parabola drawn was inspired from several sources, including Martin Armstrong. Price moved down fairly strongly once the peak of the parabola was passed.
It is possible that price may meet resistance at the green 2x1 line. In addition, price often moves in the opposite direction when crossing a square, so it is possible that price could retrace somewhat with the red 39 degree angle line below it acting as potential support.
Depending on how strong and steep the upward climb of price is, oil could move generally higher into 2017 and as late as 2018.