US CPI Data Expected to Show Moderating Price Pressures Ahead of Fed Decision Key Highlights: Expected CPI Rise: The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is forecast to rise by 3.4% year-over-year (YoY) in May, maintaining the same pace as in April. Core CPI Inflation: Annual core CPI inflation is anticipated to slightly decrease from 3.6% in April to 3.5%...
Gold prices are affected by Treasury yields and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. High inflation typically leads to higher Treasury yields due to low unemployment and an overheating economy, which can decrease gold's appeal due to rising unemployment, making gold more attractive as a safe investment. Thus, gold tends to decline with high Treasury yields in...
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for continued patience in monitoring inflation trends during his remarks at the Foreign Bankers’ Association's annual meeting in Amsterdam on Tuesday. Powell highlighted that while there was some easing of inflation in the U.S. last year, the first quarter showed unexpectedly high inflation rates, which were...
As a Gold Trader understanding and interpreting CPI data is crucial for making informed trading decisions. Here's a guide on how to read CPI data and a trade idea based on potential CPI outcomes: --- Understanding CPI Data: CPI Basics: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures changes in the price level of a market basket of consumer goods and services...
Introduction In the dynamic world of financial markets, Micro 10-Year Yield Futures stand out as a pivotal tool for traders and investors. These futures offer unique opportunities to navigate the complexities of interest rates, particularly in an environment influenced by key economic indicators. This article delves into how traders can leverage both fundamental...
the inflation data (CPI) will be released. Current: 3.2%, average forecast: 3.6%, expected to increase. Consumer Price Index Expectations for Financial Institutions (Inflation): (Lowest: 3.5% Highest: 3.7%) Visa 3.5% Canadian Imperial Bank 3.5% Goldman Sachs 3.6 Bloomberg 3.6% JP Morgan 3.6% Mr. Wolf Capital 3.6% Morgan Stanley 3.6% Royal Bank 3.6% Scotia...
United States - Consumer Price Index CPI-Consumer Price Index quantifies the rate of inflation (ie the rate of change in prices) from the perspective of consumers when they purchase goods and services. The upward trend has a positive effect on the country's currency, USD. The consumer price index is one of the most watched indicators by currency traders and is a...
The global economy continues to face profound uncertainties in the wake of COVID-19's massive disruptions. For policymakers and business leaders, making sense of divergent signals on jobs, inflation, and growth remains imperative yet challenging. In the United States, inflation pressures appear to be moderately easing after surging to 40-year highs in 2022. The...
My SPY Cycle Patterns suggest the markets will establish a PEAK/TOP today - then trend downward. I created this video to help my followers stay aware of the short-term nature of price in a reactionary price trend - like today. If you are chasing this rally, stay very cautious of risks related to my SPY cycle patterns. Overall, I expect the markets to peak,...
Hello everyone! Let's take a look on what happened yesterday on the US financial market and understand the impact of CPI and inflation rate. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) and inflation news from the United States can have a significant impact on financial markets and the value of the U.S. dollar. The CPI measures the change in the price of a basket of goods...
Finally there is a sense of relief. The US inflation is just on a some-what downward spiral. It's almost as if we peaked at a whopping 9.1% and now dropping to around 6%. And let's not forget all our friends abroad, like Germany where it's dropped from 10. 4 in October down to 8.6%, UK dropping from 11.1% slightly down to 10.7%, Canada's 8.1 dropped to...
Hi friends Today im going to explain about the relationship between Sunspot Numbers and Inflation rate from 1960 to now. so lets start with inventor of this theory : William Stanley Jevons's In 1875 and 1878 Jevons read two papers before the British Association which expounded his famous "sunspot theory" of the business cycle. Digging through mountains of...
Using a pretty simple formula involving CPI , we can adjust the stock chart to show real returns instead of nominal returns. Real returns represent a more accurate picture of the return of the stock over time. In addition, we can easily adjust returns for dividends and estimated taxes.
Two important factors that been driving Dollar prices in last several month as we all know is Federal Funds Rate and Inflation data like CPI. In this week we have both of them coming out on Tuesday and Wednesday, now we want to see how it can affect the market. Price usually tend to be at important resistive or supportive areas at the time of important news hit...
Inflation in the United States, as measured by the consumer price index (CPI), is expected to have slowed again in November. This is due in part to a weaker economy, which has reduced inflation pressures. However, the expected 0.3% increase in the CPI is not enough to ease concerns at the Federal Reserve or prevent the central bank from raising interest rates even...
Historically, an inverted yield curve has been viewed as an indicator of a pending economic recession; hence the inversion of the yield curve might be perceived as a leading indicator. Once the yield curve is inverted, it may be several months before we see GPD contracting; and it is not guaranteed that we will see a sharp drop in GDP. First pane: You can see...
Content: • Why CPI must be below 5.3%? • Can we invest or trade or hedge into inflation? Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a...
In this tutorial, I will explain both its fundamental and technical reasons for crude oil likely to break above and stay above US$100. I am having two portfolios at all times, one for long-term investing and the other for short-term trading. For the long-term I am mindful the current global inflationary pressure is real and it may last many months or even years...