EURAUD – Sellers keep moving forwardEURAUD – Sellers keep moving forward
Trend: Sell Neutral
Support/Resistance:
R3: 1.61807
R2: 1.60908
R1: 1.60468
S1: 1.59558
S2: 1.58804
S3: 1.57752
Price action:
This trade is very good to understand reversals. In this case you can see overall buyers zone, but if we compare both sides momentum flow, then we can understand that Aud currency is playing strong role in every case for this week. The point to follow true breaking method is that price has to come below S1 for final decision.
Potencial trade idea:
Bulls targets:
T1: 1.61807
Bears targets:
T1: 1.58804
T2: 1.57752
NOTE – We are trading EURAUD via the preferred trading setups by ELITEFXACADEMY
Disclaimer: Martin’s views on the Chart analysis is ment as a trading advice for education terms; Education terms include: trading consistency to everyone who is reading this blog; for every advance student and for every Elite student who is using this analysis for managing his equity by Elite strategy and custom indicator. This analysis is understandable and transparent for all Elite students. This is a free content which is based from Academy in term of transparency to support and following progress to everyone. We know that there is always possible way that market can pull you out even when you follow our analysis blog and advice for a trade. We don’t publish where you have to have your risk management – Stop Loss, because, it would not be fair to Elite members, who learned this techniques in our Elite course.
Keywords:
Elite strategy, Custom Indicator, Fundamental Analysis , Tehnical analysis, Price action, Advanced strategies, Trading Education
Good trading!
Elitefxacademy
D-AUD
AUDCHF - 1Has you can see the price will go bearish to our targets. (God knows)
Good luck and take care.
Important
The analysis and ideas published here, not an investment recommendation or any call to buy or sell, is merely an analysis and a vision based on the study of the history of price movement and behavior which may not necessarily be the reason for the success of the analysis and the model and its repetition and thus the probability of success is quite equal to the probability of failure .
So, please make your decision based on your pure vision.
Publishing is for the purpose of exchanging, correcting and comparing ideas.
in case the market moves with the direction of the analysis and achieve the first objective, there are options for you:
First: close the deal and receive the profits.
Second: Close the half of the contracts and put the stop loss on entry.
Third, the stop loss is moved to the point of entry and waiting for the remaining targets to be achieved.
To protect capital and succeed in managing transactions and thus successful trading should not exceed the maximum potential loss in each transaction for the same currency or commodity and in the same direction (2%) of the value of the portfolio.
Good luck and good profit.
If you have any opinions or thoughts about the analysis we will be happy when you share it with us.
GBPAUD Documented MA trade + 50 PipsToday we had a nice push down in the GBP pairs which set-up an MA trade on this pair. Although this was not the last to reach the MA, price pulled back to the MA as opposed to the MA coming to price. Those who trade the Gold Method Ichimoku and have been in the training, know exactly what I am talking about. GA is also my favorite pair.
Everybody in the training room banked + 50 pips on the trade, Nice and easy.
Have a great weekend!!
Allen
For those traders who I gave extra time to decide if they want to join, remember Monday is the deadline.
AUDCHF – Previous week was crazy, from both price action and newAUDCHF – Previous week was crazy, from both price action and news announcement
Trend: Buy Neutral
Support/Resistance:
R3: 0.68363
R2: 0.67923
R1: 0.67621
S1: 0.67227
S2: 0.66872
Price action:
Pirce seem sellers tok of the stage. But overall trade is still in buyers ayes. If sellers are enough strong then, they should push the price lower from R1. If buyers can handle above R1 then next potencial Sell is at R2 to test again R1. This trade is a very tricky, but good for education.
Potencial trade idea:
Bulls targets:
T1 = 0.67227
T2 = 0.66872
Bears targets:
T1 = 0.67923
T1 = 0.68363
NOTE – We are trading AUDCHF via the preferred trading setups
ELITEFXACADEMY
Disclaimer2: Martin's views on the Chart analysis is ment as a trading advice for education terms; Education terms include: trading consistency to everyone who is reading this blog; for every advance student and for every Elite student who is using this analysis for managing his equity by Elite strategy and custom indicator. This analysis is understandable and transparent for all Elite students. This is a free content which is based from Academy in term of transparency to support and following progress to everyone. We know that there is always possible way that market can pull you out even when you follow our analysis blog and advice for a trade. We don't publish where you have to have your risk management – Stop Loss, because, it would not be fair to Elite members, who learned this techniques in our Elite course.
Trading on divergence signalsEDUCATIONAL PURPOSES:
There are several indicators that one can employ during the course of analysis. One common indicator will be the Relative Strength Index.
What can you draw from this indicator?
Overbought and Oversold signals!
However, one can also use this indicator to spot divergences in the price and the relative strength!
Above are 3 examples of RSI divergences: AUDCAD, AUDSGD and GBPAUD.
The main idea is to look out for differing directions between the price and the RSI within the same period.
As we can see from AUDCAD and AUDSGD, price was creating lower lows while RSI was creating higher lows. This is an example of a BULLISH RSI DIVERGENCE, and price will soon start correcting.
In the case of GBPAUD, another higher high on the price carves out a lower high on the RSI. This shows that there is a BEARISH RSI DIVERGENCE, and price will soon start correcting.
Spotting divergences helps with timing of trade entries (whether it is too late or too early), exiting of positions and/or adding more positions. You can also use this as a trigger for a trade (i.e. a Long trade in AUDCAD, or a Short trade in GBPAUD).
The time frame that you use to spot divergences will affect how long you have to wait for price to start correcting (i.e. shorter time for H1 as compared to Daily).
**One important point to note when spotting or trading on divergences: Observe for price action in line with your bias (bullish price action for bullish RSI divergence, vice versa).
RSI divergences can fail should it carve a higher high or lower low that is in line with price.
GBPAUD - EDUCATION - 23. JUNE. 2019Welcome to DACapitalTrading, We provide any kind of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
for Forex and Crypto-Currency Markets every day!
-
1 HOUR
Sideways waving market looking for a takeout direction.
4 HOUR
Heading down, I see a break below previous week lows.
DAILY
Bullish market found its top and resistance now, we need a pullback to takeout long holders.
OVERALL
Waiting for a break below/above a main level. Expecting market to form new weekly lows and head back up
into main price movement area before heading further down or making new highs overall. There should be a
lot of market movement this week. Will update as soon as something happens.
Good luck
-
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
GBPAUD - EDUCATION - 23. JUNE. 2019Welcome to DACapitalTrading, We provide any kind of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
for Forex and Crypto-Currency Markets every day!
-
1 HOUR
Very bullish price action..
4 HOUR
Price forming several HH and HL indicating a bullish pressure pattern.
DAILY
Sideways waving market found resistance now and is slowing down.
OVERALL
Price action is slowing down and found resistance, expecting a last push to the upside forming new H4 Highs
before heading back down to average price movement and psychological support level.
Will update everyone on monday!
Good luck
-
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
How I trade News with high probabilty and a Great RRR :) Trading news can often be a nightmare especially trying to trade at the time of release as brokers often widen their spreads
and slip orders to the extreme of the spike.
This is a high probability method with Great RRR
As you can see the market spiked up on worse then expected AUD GDP news.
then the market went into a consolidation, and this is key to finding great entries.
After the market consolidated for at least 60 minutes, look for a support level for a buy
and a resistance level for a Sell.
Place a limit order at the support/resistance level with stop appropriate for the pair.
(in this example I am trading GBPAUD - my fav, so I use a 20 pip stop)
Place your profit target at 5x your stop. This gives you a Robust 5-1 RRR.
let the trade unfold. If you have any questions, either place them in the comments or message me
Hope this helps :)
Allen
When Not to TradeSometimes it is better not to trade. Today for me, was one of those days. I was extremely tired, which happens from time to time as I get up at 1:30 am my time to trade. This can lead to mistakes. Today's trade idea is a good example, although GBPAUD was in a bullish run and I was looking and posted an idea for a pullback trade, there was signs of a reversal. I believe if I was awake and thinking clearly, I would have seen these signs from the beginning. Fortunately, I was able to close my long trade for a small gain (+ 5 pips). The following is a list of indications that I missed because I was tired.
First, The market had already pulled back and bounced off of my moving average, so it is less likely to happen again;
Second, the Ma was flattening, as opposed to staying in an uptrend, which is never a good sign;
Third, I missed that the market had hit the 60 min Senkou A, which can always be expected to provide resistance;
Fourth, The market fails to hold bullish as evidenced by the long wicks. Moreover, This is a great indication that the market
is getting ready to reverse and a great selling opportunity
IMHO, Trading is hard enough without making avoidable mistakes. I hope this helps others
Allen
GBPAUD Long example of how I tradeWhen looking for trades, my purpose is simple:
I look for High probability trades with good RRR (risk reward ratio)
I consider a trade high probability if it has an 80%, or better, historical success rate.
A good RRR (risk reward ratio) is 3-1 or better. meaning that we are risking $1 to make at least $3
Understand that by maintain a 3-1 RRR, even if I lose over 50% of the time, I will still make money. Combine that with High probability trades and your golden.
That said, there are not a lot of trade opportunities that met this criteria everyday. So I am not the guy who is going to post alot of trades, most days I only take 1 trade. I risk 2% per trade,( because I have earned that right which is a different conversation), to make 6%. Generally, I will net 15-20% per week.
I start with a strength and weakness anylasis from the prior day's trading and rank the currencies
numerically. for example today "S GBP 5" means that GBP was ranked 5th while "W AUD 7" Aud was ranked 7th
obviously GBP was stronger than Aud. So we start the day with a Buy bias. this is confirmed before I start trading, which is generally at the European open (currently 2am est).
I then look at multi-frame analysis using Ichimoku Kinko Hyo concepts. Primarily the Kejun-Sen (KS). I look at the Daily the 60 and the 15 min Tf's.
Ideally, price will be above/below the KS on all 3 tf's, but the Daily as in this example is not necessary. Moreover, we need price above/below the Ichimoku Cloud.
Next is the Asian box, if the market has consolidated during the Asian session, as it often does, I will mark the high and low, creating a box. In the example above, we have the 60 KS (blue line), which is above the cloud at 1.82119. that is the bottom of the box as it is a place that found support during the Asian session. The Daily Senkou B, in this case provides the top of the box. Generally, the Daily Senkou's A and B, provide solid resistance or support.
Putting it all together, in the above example, since price is above the 60 Ks, the 15 Ks and the cloud in the conformity with our directional bias, we have a Type 1 trade, which has an 87% success rate. these trades are Great!!!
We have 2 potential buy entry points:
1st is a pullback to the bottom of the box at he 60 KS
the 2nd is a breakout trade. However because in this example we are using the Daily Senkou B as the top of the box we need a close above it, not just penetration.
As you can see the 2:45 candle closes above the Senkou B and we can enter a long trade. Using a 20 pip stop and a 60 pip profit target. This hits perfectly (what a great example) but seriously you can look back at my other trade idea's and see similar results .
I hope this provides a general idea of what I am trying to do tradewise. feel free to hit me with any questions
AGold 54
AUDUSD SELL #ForecastTechnical Analysis:
-4h has reversed twice off of the Monthly resistance we have
-4h candle has also closed below our trend line
-On the 1h you can see how nicely price broke through the trend line, it technically already retested it and dropped so we may not see it happen again.
-Purple zone is in confluence with fib levels and where we had price drop on the hourly before
-We have a market shift in momentum to the downside on the 1h
-Wait for price to get into the purple zone and print a reversal or exhaustion pattern before selling
** I would be careful with this since EURAUD looks to be dropping as well and selling both would be a little contradictory. But, it can 100% happen. **
EURAUD Sell (Forecast) Technical Analysis:
Price on the 4h has just broken structure to the downside showing the maybe for the next few days or even weeks we could be falling pretty heavily. When you look on the 1h timeframe it looks as if EA has a lot of momentum to the upside, which it does for now but at the same time this could be an ABC corrective wave to the upside before falling once again. The purple zone has many confluences telling us that could be our zone where we fall heavy.
-4h level where price fell heavy before
-1h Fib extension
-4h 78.6% fib pullback
-Broken Trend Line retest
So there are a lot of things telling us that this pair could fall massively, but before we enter into the sell we want to first understand when it has run out of steam to the upside and then know when it is starting to shift it's momentum back to the downside.