WHAT IS A PIP AND HOW TO MEASURE IT?WHAT IS A PIP?
The pips is the unit with which we measure the price movement of a pair.
Example: If the USD/MXN pair is used. If the dollar is worth 20.7 and rises to 20.8, it is said to rise to 1 cent but in FOREX it is not measured with cents, it is measured with pips.
The price of the USD/MXN chart has 3 extra decimal places 20.8 000 those 3 extra decimal places are what the pips are measured with: the pip is the fourth number after the point . If the price changes from 20.8100 to 20.80101 the price moves 1 pips, if the price moves from 20.80100 to 20.80110 the price moves 10 pips and if the price moves from 20.80100 to 20.80300 the price moves 200 pips.
Pips are calculated differently depending on the pair, pairs with Japanese YEN and pairs WITHOUT Japanese YEN
PAIRS WITH YEN
Eurusd-3
Develop your trading psychology There are 2 types of edges in trading, a trading strategy edge and a trading psychology edge.
You need to have both to succeed.
This post will focus on how to develop your mental edge, which is the more important of the 2 types.
The process of developing a trading psychology edge is simple, but usually not easy.
Start trading
Identify your advantages and weaknesses
Find solutions to your weaknesses
Review your results
Repeat steps 3 and 4 until you reach your goals
In this post, I'll give you strategies to uncover your trading genius and overcome your biggest roadblocks.
Keep reading to learn the details of each step.
1. Start Trading
This step might seem obvious to some people, but it won't be to others, so I'm going to talk about it.
In order to develop a mental edge in trading, you have to engage the markets on a regular basis.
Even if you only demo trade, taking trades will start to expose your psychological strengths and weaknesses, within the context of trading.
Here are some things that you might discover after you begin trading.
You're afraid to take trades
It's easier for you to follow a rules based trading strategy
You have a tendency to revenge trade
You're good at riding trends
You take good notes
You don't like backtesting
You get easily discouraged after a series of losses
That's just a short list of what could come up for you.
But you'll only discover these things when you go through the process of taking trades and experiencing the emotional ups and downs that come with wins and losses.
Once you've taken some trades, now it's time to take an inventory of your strengths and weaknesses.
2. Identify Your Advantages and Weaknesses
How many times have you experienced an event with a group of people and they noticed things about the event that you missed?
This is because they were aware of those things and you weren't.
You also probably noticed things that they didn't.
That shows that we will only notice things that we place our awareness on.
So start a trading journal and write down what you're good at and what you aren't so great at, while you're trading.
This is the first step to full awareness.
The things you do well will give you clues as to what you should probably focus on in trading.
For example, if you find it easy to follow a trend on the daily chart, then you should probably work on trading some sort of trend following, swing trading strategy.
If you lose a lot of money when you day trade, then that's probably something you should avoid.
Maybe you live in a timezone that makes it difficult to trade the New York Forex session. Then you could work on a strategy that trades the Asian session or the London open instead.
Like with any other skill, there will be things that are optional, and there will be things that you have to change.
In the case of day trading versus swing trading, you don't have to day trade. You can trade on other time frames, so being bad at day trading is not a problem.
But let's say that you have a tendency to over trade and revenge trade.
That's a problem that has to be fixed if you want to become a successful trader.
So find ways to amplify your strengths.
That's pretty easy.
3. Find Solutions to Your Weaknesses
The great news is that there are a ton of solutions out there to help you overcome anything you're working on.
You simply have to do the work to seek out these solutions and implement them.
I cannot list all of the strategies available because there are so many of them.
But I'll get you started with the 2 general categories.
I believe that there are only 2 parts to the human mind, the conscious and subconscious.
Yeah, you probably knew that already.
However, I feel that many therapists and coaches don't understand how to apply this concept effectively. Many are trained in a particular type of treatment. Most only follow the doctrine of that modality and think that everything can be solved through that lens.
Obviously, the more aware ones understand the limitations of their craft. But there are many who do not.
Not entirely their fault. They don't know what they don't know.
There are a lot of things that I don't know either.
But I do know that it's up you to you to use your intellect to figure out what will work best for you.
That said, let's take a look at a real example of why the conscious/subconscious theory is so important.
I have a friend who used to smoke. If you know a smoker, or you were a smoker, you know that it can be one of the toughest habits to break.
But guess how he quit?
He was on a smoke break at work one day…
He looked the the cigarette, and thought “This is dumb.”
So he quit cold turkey, on the spot.
That's it.
How was that possible?
I don't think that anyone knows for sure, probably not even him. But here's my theory…
There's always a reason why we do things. Our actions fulfill a need or desire in our mind.
Sometimes the cause of a desire sits in our conscious mind. But many times it sits in the subconscious mind.
I believe that the cause of his smoking habit was in his conscious mind. So he could use a conscious thought to change the behavior.
That's why it was so easy.
Now if the source was in his subconscious, even though he knew that smoking was a waste of time and money, it would have been much harder to quit.
So when you look for methods to help you change your behaviors, start with the conscious methods first because those will give you the easiest wins.
But if you cannot change with those methods, then it's time to go deeper and dive into your subconscious.
It's not always possible to figure out if a behavior is caused by a subconscious or conscious source. It can also be difficult to figure out which part of your mind a treatment will work on.
That's OK.
Do your best and you'll get a good feel for it after trying a few different things.
What about your weaknesses?
That will probably take a little more effort.
Here's how to get started with overcoming them.
Conscious Mind Methods
Methods for changing thoughts in your conscious mind usually involve mental visualization exercises, repeating affirmations or visual cues.
Neuro linguistic programming (NLP)
Mind Movies
Visualization
Vision boards
Mantras
Talk therapy
Subconscious Mind Methods
Changing your subconscious mind is a new concept to many people and it's probably new to you too. The reason why this works may not be obvious at first.
You're basically digging down into your subconscious and bringing the causes of your negative behavior to the surface. When you do this, it's much easier to resolve the issue so the symptoms never come up again.
This can be very powerful stuff and you really have to experience it believe it.
Subliminal recordings
Hypnosis with a therapist
Cloud Sound Therapy
The Emotion Code
Clairvision
Again, this is just a short list of what's out there. But it will give you a great starting point.
4. Review Your Results
Now it's time to see how you've done.
Sit down on a Sunday morning with a coffee (or your favorite drink) and review your trading journal again.
Did the methods you used work?
If yes, then great, you're done! You can stop reading right now.
However, it's more likely that you still have things that aren't completely resolved.
That's just how it works.
Unfortunately, modern mass marketing has given us the impression that there's always a pill or hack that we can use to instantly achieve any outcome that we want.
In reality, that's rarely the case.
It's like mining. Miners almost never hit gold on the first try.
They usually have to do a lot of homework and drill several holes before they find a workable mine.
So put down your discouragement and dig your heels in for the long haul. Your transformation could be fast, but it's more likely that it will be a process.
That's how your great grandparents did it, along with every generation before them.
The idea of instant results is a new and often unrealistic ideal.
5. Repeat Steps 3 and 4 Until You Reach Your Goals
Instead of getting discouraged, do this:
Congratulate yourself for taking action.
Celebrate what did work. It's very likely that you made some progress, no matter how small.
Look for the next thing to try. Assuming you gave the first thing an honest try, it just might not have been a good fit for you.
I've had many cases where this has happened in my life.
For example, back in the day, I used to listen to a lot of Tony Robbins recordings. He's great, I have nothing against Tony.
However, I put too much faith in the idea that he had all the answers. I figured that since he had so many high-profile clients, he must have a solution that could help me.
So I would listen to his tracks over and over, and implement the strategies…over and over.
…and they did help a little.
But they didn't create the big shifts that I was looking for.
Instead of continuing to do something that didn't work, I should have reassessed my results after a few weeks, then tried something else. I just didn't know any better back then, and I'm OK with that.
It literally took me years to figure out that I needed to branch out and try other things.
I want you to learn from my experience.
If you didn't get the results that you expected, then don't get down on yourself.
Remember that one of the the most powerful tools that you can have in your trading toolbox is self-forgiveness.
It will take as long as it takes for you to become successful at trading. So get back up on your horse and keep going.
Of course, there can be the tendency to have “shiny object syndrome,” where you keep hopping to the next new thing. So you have to be honest and ask yourself if you've given the method an honest try, before moving on.
Only you can answer that question.
What Is the Best Divergence Trading Strategy? 👑 What Is Divergence?
Divergence is a trading phenomenon that offers reliable and high-quality information regarding trading signals. It refers to when an asset’s price moves in the opposite direction to the momentum indicators or oscillators. Commonly used indicators include the relative strength index (RSI), stochastic oscillator, Awesome Oscillator (AO), and moving average convergence divergence (MACD).
Divergence is one of the many concepts that experienced traders use to the time when to enter or exit the market. To say a divergence occurs is to say that the price and momentum are out of sync. This signals that the market is preparing for a trend reversal or pullback, but it does not necessarily guarantee trend directions.
There are mainly two types of divergence:
1) Regular divergence is where the price signal creates higher highs or lower lows while the indicator makes lower highs or higher lows respectively.
2) Hidden divergence, which is the opposite of regular divergence, is where the indicator makes higher highs or lower lows while the price action creates lower highs or higher lows respectively.
Regular Divergence vs. Hidden Divergence
What Is Regular Divergence?
Regular divergence can be divided into two types: regular bearish divergence and regular bullish divergence.
What is Regular Bearish Divergence?
Regular bearish divergence occurs when the price action makes successively higher highs while the indicator makes consecutively lower highs. This suggests that the asset’s price is preparing for a reversal into a downtrend. The indicator signal means that the momentum is changing. Even though the price action has made higher highs, the uptrend may be weak. In this scenario, traders should get ready to go short, i.e., to sell the asset and repurchase it later at a lower price.
What is Regular Bullish Divergence?
Regular bullish divergence happens when the price action forms progressively lower lows while the indicator creates higher lows. This implies that the prices will move in an upward trend soon. The indicator action implies that the price needs to catch up with the indicator signal and that the downtrend is weak. In this scenario, traders should get ready to go long, i.e., to buy the asset.
How to Trade Regular Divergence?
Divergence only tells traders that the momentum of a price movement is weakening. This does not necessarily lead to a strong reversal, and the price movement may just be entering a sideways trend (horizontal price movement within a stable range). To create a more reliable divergence trading strategy, skilled traders combine indicators with various tools. Regular bullish divergence and regular bearish divergence have different entry rules. In any case, once a trader has spotted a divergence, they should consider how to enter or exit the market and place their Stop Loss or Take Profit orders.
What’s a hidden divergence?
Divergences not only signal a potential trend reversal but can also be used as a possible sign for a trend continuation (price continues to move in its current direction).
Hidden bullish divergence happens when the price is making a higher low (HL), but the oscillator is showing a lower low (LL).
Hidden Bearish Divergence occurs when price makes a lower high (LH), but the oscillator is making a higher high (HH).
Keep in mind that regular divergences are possible signals for trend reversals while hidden divergences signal trend continuation.
Regular divergences = signal possible trend reversal
Hidden divergences = signal possible trend continuation
Conclusion
Trading divergence can be very profitable if traders can reliably identify divergence by making use of the trading tools in their arsenal. However, like all trading strategies, using divergence indicators involves a certain degree of risk. [
The Last Kiss trade. Eurusd The first step of the last-kiss trade is to identify the consolidation zone. One way to visualize a consolidation zone is to draw a box on the chart.
This box will contain the choppy movements of the directionless market. This box should encompass the market movement during the choppy,
drifting-market phase. It should be obvious that the market is stuck between both of the zones. Typically, there will be several touches on either side of the zones.
The last-kiss trade is based on the retouch principle. The market will often come back to a significant zone once the market has expanded beyond the zone, and the last-kiss trade is designed to take advantage of this typical market behavior. The reason for waiting for the
market to come back to the consolidation box is to confirm that the market will, indeed, respect the boundaries that were formed by the consolidation box. In this way, the trader will jump on the trade only when the market comes back to kiss a consolidation box.
Once the market returns to the edge of the consolidation box, it must print a strong candle in the direction of the breakout. Therefore, if the breakout is a bullish breakout (up), then the retouch candlestick must be a strong bullish candlestick. A buy stop is placed above the high of this
bullish candlestick.
FOREXN1:SWING TRADING - MADE IT EASY - A GREAT STYLE OF TRADINGSwing trading is a style of trading that attempts to capture short- to medium-term gains in a stock (or any financial instrument) over a period of a few days to several weeks. Swing traders primarily use technical analysis to look for trading opportunities. Swing traders may utilize fundamental analysis in addition to analyzing price trends and patterns.
Some general Rules before going in the Deep of the Strategy :
- Swing trading involves taking trades that last a couple of days up to several months in order to profit from an anticipated price move.
- Swing trading exposes a trader to overnight and weekend risk, where the price could gap and open the following session at a substantially different price.
- Swing traders can take profits utilizing an established risk/reward ratio based on a stop loss and profit target, or they can take profits or losses based on a technical indicator or price action movements.
Rules of entry :
Swing trading means " Surfing the trend " Using the Swing points as an entry inside a trend. The Swing point is basically retracements inside an already-started trend. Let's see the picture below. I personally call the Swing point or retracements " V " points. Let's look together. .
As you can see the retracement inside a trend looks like a " V " point. In a Bearish scenario, the " V " is upside down meanwhile inside a Bullish trend the " V " is on the correct side. Let's note, the " V " points can look also like " W " or generally is correct to call them a " Pullback " Area. In this example, EUR/USD we can see how the price used the " V " shape as Pullback to continue the downtrend.
In the picture below I add the Moving averages, the 200 and the 50. This easy and simple technical indicator can help you to determine the direction of the trend. If the price is below 200, generally it means the price is in a Downtrend, and Vice-versa when the price is above, generally it means is in an Uptrend. The 50 Moving average can help you to understand if the price it's started to grow, and when the moving average crosses the 200, generally it means that the price is started a bullish impulse. You can use any kind of indicator to determine the direction of the main trend, the moving average is one of the most used in this style of trading. As you can see, the moving average, like the 50 in this case, in EUR/USD has been used from the price as a Pullback trigger to continue the downtrend.
I explain better... The price inside a Pullback Area or " V " point, in a downtrend, below the 200 Moving average, has used the 50 Moving average as a dynamic resistance and rejected the price in the direction of the main trend.
Swing trading as explained use technical analysis to look for trading opportunities. Look how conventional support and resistance can work in this, another clue to add to our idea of entry.
Additionally, in our plan of action, we can add some technical indicators, look how the Stochastic indicator can give a clear overbought reversion signal.
Not least, the use of the Fibonacci retracement can give the Swing trader a clear metric of entry and exit point with relative stop loss and take profit area. In This last example, we can add together all the previous clues given by the Technical indicators, the use of support and resistances, and adding also Fibonacci retracements as targets for Stop loss and take profits. Remember, Swing traders may utilize fundamental analysis in addition to analyzing price trends.
Advantages and Disadvantages of Swing Trading
Many swing traders assess trades on a risk/reward basis. By analyzing the chart of an asset they determine where they will enter, where they will place a stop loss, and then anticipate where they can get out with a profit. If they are risking $1 per share on a setup that could reasonably produce a $3 gain, that is a favorable risk/reward ratio. On the other hand, risking $1 only to make $0.75 isn't quite as favorable.
Swing traders primarily use technical analysis, due to the short-term nature of the trades. That said, fundamental analysis can be used to enhance the analysis. For example, if a swing trader sees a bullish setup in a Forex pair, they may want to verify that the fundamentals of the asset look favorable or are improving also.
Swing traders will often look for opportunities on the daily charts and may watch 1-hour or 15-minute charts to find a precise entry, stop loss, and take-profit levels.
Pros
It requires less time to trade than day trading.
It maximizes short-term profit potential by capturing the bulk of market swings.
Traders can rely exclusively on technical analysis, simplifying the trading process.
Cons
Trade positions are subject to overnight and weekend market risk.
Abrupt market reversals can result in substantial losses.
Swing traders often miss longer-term trends in favor of short-term market moves.
Hope this guide can be useful for everybody.
FOREX 101 - 4 TYPES OF LOT SIZES.What is a lot?
A ‘lot’ is a measure of a transaction amount.
It’s the minimum number of units of the base currency that you can buy or sell.
This gives traders more control over the exposure per trade.
There are four main types of Lot Sizes.
Lot size #1: Standard lot = 100,000 units of base currency
Risk per pip =$10 per pip
Lot size #2: Mini-lot = 10,000 units of base currency
Risk per pip = $1 per pip
Lot size #3: Micro-lot = 1,000 units of base currency
Risk per pip = $0.10 per pip
Lot size #4: Nano-lot = 100 units of base currency
Risk per pip = $0.01 per pip
Did you find this helpful? Let me know in the comments so I can do more Forex 101 tips. Ask any trading questions too :)
Trade well, live free.
Timon
MATI Trader
InvestMate|December the worst month for bulls on the US dollar🐻December statistically the weakest month for the US Dollar, a statistic since 2000 against the EUR/USD.
Relative to statistics, December is the month in which EUR/USD gains the most.
The average EUR/USD increase for the month is over 1.58%.
This year there is a really good chance that the rule could be confirmed.
December statistically the weakest month for the US Dollar, a statistic since 2000 against the EUR/USD.
Relative to statistics, December is the month in which EUR/USD gains the most.
The average EUR/USD increase for the month is over 1.5%
This year there is a really good chance that the rule could be confirmed
Historically, the increases have been:
2000: +8%
2001: -0.37%
2002: +5.59%
2003: +5.04%
2004: +1.91%
2005: +0.44%
2006: -0.3%
2007: -0.3%
2008: +9.75%
2009: -4.48%
2010: +3.15%
2011: -3.62%
2012: +1.54%
2013: +1.43%
2014: -2.93%
2015: +2.84%
2016: -0.66%
2017: +0.85%
2018: +0.84%
2019: +1.8%
2020: +2.45%
2021: +0.4%
2022: ?
Average: +1.589%
🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post then I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀
Endless Debate Among Investors & Traders: Which One is Better?Have you ever seen the debate on any social media platforms between traders and investors?
On each side, Investors or Traders Claimed their techniques were far superior to the other because of the capability of earning more profit and a High Win Rate.
Endless Debate Between Investors and Traders never stops to this day. They are blinded by their false sense of superiority. They failed to recognize the similarity between them. Both were waiting for the ideal price level before buying stocks to get a capital gain or dividend (Money) with a bit different approach. The Investors determine the ideal price level to buy the stock by analyzing the Intrinsic value of the company and then buying the company below its Intrinsic Value (buying a Cheap Company and Selling it at its fair price). On the other hand, Traders will analyze the historical price movement and look for repeating patterns that may indicate a potential upside movement before buying the stock at the determined price level.
We have some similarities in method and purpose. If both sides could prove themselves profitable in the long run, why are we wasting our time to win the debate?
It would be best if we use your time wisely to improve your strategy than debating on Social Media Platforms.
Improving your strategy can make you more money!
*Disclaimer On: The Article is for Educational Purposes Only.
New York Open Killzone Explained | Real Trading Concepts8:30 in the morning NY Time is what your eyes
👁️👁️ should be on. This time of day unleashes huge volatility in the market that you can take advantage of if you know how to benefit from it.
Price at this time likes to entrap a lot of retailers to revers against them and take stoplosses.. Every day at this time..A Lot of news, a lot of volatility, and clear direction and price movements..
Don't Forget to LIKE ♥️ and make sure to FOLLOW if you want useful ideas straight to your email👌
Let me know your opinions in comments 😉
CYPHER Harmonic Pattern - Made Easy For Everyone !The Cypher harmonic pattern is a technical analysis indicator used by traders to identify valuable support and resistance levels based on the Fibonacci sequence of numbers and detect trend reversals.
Here, in this article, we explain how the Cypher harmonic pattern works, identify it, and trade it.
What is the Cypher Harmonic Candlestick Pattern?
The Cypher harmonic pattern is a technical analysis formation indicating a price-action reversal.
The pattern was discovered by D. Oglesbee and is known as a relatively advanced pattern formation. In structure, the Cypher pattern is similar to the butterfly harmonic pattern; however, the Cypher is not a very common chart pattern due to its unique Fibonacci ratios.
The Cypher pattern, which can be either bullish or bearish, has five points (X, A, B, C, and D) and four legs (XA, AB, BC, and CD). Like any other harmonic pattern, the theory behind the Cypher chart pattern is that there is a strong correlation between Fibonacci ratios and price movements.
Eventually, the market is expected to reverse from point D after the four market swing wave movements
How to Identify and Use the Cypher Harmonic Pattern in Forex Trading?
Much like any other harmonic chart pattern, several conditions must occur so you can identify the Cypher pattern:
B point retracement of the primary XA leg ranges between 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci levels
C point is an extension leg with a Fibonacci ratio that should be between 127.2% to 141.4% of the primary XA leg
D point should break the 78.6 retracement level of XC
Let’s see what the Cypher harmonic pattern looks like on a trading chart.
Cypher Pattern – Set a Stop Loss
A reasonable stop-loss level when trading the Cypher pattern is simple and does not necessarily require the combination of Fibonacci retracement.
All you need to do is to place the stop loss somewhere below the D level because if this level breaks, the entire Cypher pattern is invalidated. So, the stop would be placed at the next support or resistance level, which is the X-point
Cypher Pattern – Set a Take Profit Target
The simple Cypher pattern trading method is using its points as profit targets, meaning the A and C levels.
How accurate is the Cypher harmonic chart pattern?
The Cypher harmonic pattern has been historically proven to be a fairly reliable and accurate chart pattern. According to various studies, the pattern has an accuracy rate of around 70%.
REVERSAL AND CONTINUATION PATTERNS ⚡️Chart patterns are visual representations of price action. Chart patterns can show trading ranges, swings, trends, and reversals in price action. The signal for buying and selling a chart pattern is usually a trend line breakout in one direction showing support or resistance is overcome at a key level. Stop losses are usually set on retracement back inside the previous range and profit targets are usually set based on the magnitude of the previous move leading into the pattern.
Many people think of chart patterns as bullish or bearish but there are really three main types of chart pattern groups: reversal chart patterns, continuation chart patterns, and bilateral chart patterns. Understanding the differences is important for traders to understand the path of least resistance on a specific chart based on the primary sentiment of the buyers and sellers price action.
Well in this article we will discuss the Reversal chart patterns and the Continuation chart patterns.
Reversal chart patterns
Reversal patterns happen when a chart has a strong break from its current trend and its momentum reverses course. These patterns show that a trend is coming to an end and the price action is moving in a new direction away from the previous range or direction. These patterns go from bullish to bearish or bearish to bullish. They can take longer to develop than other types of chart patterns.
Now I'll show you how the 3 Bullish and Bearish patterns shown in the picture in this Education post.
Double TOP and BOTTOM:
Well for this first pair of patterns, I have already made a very nice and detailed explanation here in Tradingview, follow the link :)
Click Below in the picture.
Head & Shoulder and Reversal H&S
A head and shoulders pattern used in technical analysis is a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal. The pattern appears as a baseline with three peaks, where the outside two are close in height, and the middle is the highest.
The head and shoulders pattern forms when a stock's price rises to a peak and then declines back to the base of the prior up-move. Then, the price rises above the previous peak to form the "head" and then declines back to the original base. Finally, the stock price peaks again at about the level of the first peak of the formation before falling back down.
The head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns. It is one of several top patterns that signal, with varying degrees of accuracy, that an upward trend is nearing its end and vice versa.
and Viceversa the reversal will look like this
Reversal Rising Wedge and Falling Wedge
A wedge pattern can signal either bullish or bearish price reversals. In either case, this pattern holds three common characteristics: first, the converging trend lines; second, a pattern of declining volume as the price progresses through the pattern; third, a breakout from one of the trend lines. The two forms of the wedge pattern are a rising wedge (which signals a bearish reversal) and a falling wedge (which signals a bullish reversal).
Rising Wedge
This usually occurs when a security’s price has been rising over time, but it can also occur in the midst of a downward trend as well.
Falling Wedge
Continuation chart patterns
Continuation patterns signal that the current trend is still in place and it’s about to resume going in the same direction after a trading range has formed. These types of patterns usually form consolidations in price action to let buyers and sellers work through supply and demand before moving higher or lower like the previous trend leading into the range. These are the most popular classic bearish and bullish chart patterns.
Continuation Falling Wedge
The falling wedge pattern is a continuation pattern formed when the price bounces between two downward-sloping, converging trendlines. It will follow the impulse trend, so a Bullish trend will continue in the uptrend and Vice-versa for il downtrend.
And Vice versa the Rising Wedge
The Bullish and the Bearish Rectangle
A rectangle is a pattern that occurs on price charts. A rectangle is formed when the price reaches the same horizontal support and resistance levels multiple times. The price is confined to moving between the two horizontal levels, creating a rectangle.
Bullish Rectangle
Bearish Rectangle:
Bullish and Bearish Pennant
In technical analysis, a pennant is a type of continuation pattern formed when there is a large movement in a security, known as the flagpole, followed by a consolidation period with converging trend lines "the pennant" followed by a breakout movement in the same direction as the initial large movement, which represents the second half of the flagpole.
Some examples:
Hope this post will help you to understand the difference between some examples of the most common reversal and continuation patterns.
What is FOMO and how we can minimise itI like to try keep explanations nice, simple and short.. everyone one should know the definition of FOMO is (fear of missing out) this is a simple and common emotion that affects us in all different areas of our life but when you bring it to the charts and your trading it can lead to a roller coaster of emotions and mistakes...
I found a few things that help me when learning and still controlling it is... Been cautious with who you follow and monitor how your desertions are influenced from others, (hot tips, signals etc) you always want to have a clear view of how you yourself analyse the markets with a strict plan.. you may be a quick intra-day trader but someone you follow gives a signal that might be a trade to hold for weeks... a mix up in trading styles can cost you a loss even though the person you follow makes the right call.
This kind of backs off the last suggestion I made but its simple Create a plan, Know which time frame your trading in (short term long term) and trade only if its right by YOUR trading plan.
Overconfidence can lead to trying to stay to active on the charts, chasing every possible trade setup and can really mess with your head. Chasing a loss after losing money is another common mistake.. sometimes i take a day or 2 away from the market if I have had a nice winning trade as well as possibly taking a loss. Sometimes its best to take a breather access what you may have done right or wrong and come back with a clear head ready to make smart decisions
One of my personal favourite strategy's to limit this situation is, If you want to enter the market but price may not be at the area you think it may support or resist from, take 50% of the usual amount you risk for example you usually risk 1% which may be $100 make it 0.5% which is $50 and then if price goes the way you expect your still entered in a position but then if price goes the opposite way and hits the level you expect then you can enter the other 0.5% of risk to get into another trade a maybe a better entry point...
DONT rush into trades on the Monday!! Remember there is a whole week for many opportunity's to arise and sometimes the best opportunity's don't come until the end of the week, I used to over trade on the Monday and end up trying to catch up the rest of the week... So I for a while didn't even look at the charts on the Monday to resist the temptation.
Different strategy's will work for different people so find something that works for you and stick to it!! Let me know if you can share any ideas that helped you, it may be able to help someone else!!
Bat Harmonic Pattern - Made Easy For Everyone !The BAT pattern gets its name from the bat-shaped end product. Identified by Scott Carney in 2001, the BAT pattern is made up of precise elements that identify PRZs.
The bat harmonic pattern follows different Fibonacci ratios. One of the major ways to differentiate it from a Cypher pattern is the B point which, if it doesn’t go above the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement of the XA leg then it is a bat, otherwise it can turn into a cypher structure.
The market strategy of the pattern is suitable for all time frames and all markets types. Traders have to keep in mind that on lower time frames using the bat pattern market strategy has some challenges because the pattern tends to appear on less frequent on lower time frames.
How to Draw a Bat Pattern :
As mentioned earlier, the bat harmonic pattern looks very similar to the Gartley pattern . It has four different legs marked as X-A, A-B, B-C, and C-D.
X-A: In its bullish version, the first leg appears when the price sharply increases from point X to point A. This is the longest leg of the pattern.
A-B: The A-B leg then sees the price switching direction and retracing 38.2 to 50 percent using the Fibonacci retracement of the distance covered by the X-A leg. Have it in mind that the A-B leg can never retrace beyond point X. But if it does, the pattern is considered invalid. As you can see, if the price with a spike reaches a point under 50% but with the body above, this will be Valid. The candle Body's important.
B-C: Here, the price changes direction for a second time and moves back up, retracing anything from 38.2 to 88.6 percent of the distance covered by the A-B leg. If it retraces up above the high of point A, the pattern is considered invalid.As you can see, if the price with a spike reaches a point above 88.6% but with the body is below, this will be Valid. The candle Body's important.
C-D: This is the last and most significant aspect of the pattern. As with the Gartley pattern , this is where the bat harmonic pattern ends and traders place their long (buy) trade at point D. ( PRZ Potential Reversal Zone )
The 88.6% percent retracement of the X-A leg is our Entry Point. D POINT or PRZ
Before trying and trading the pattern, confirm from this checklist that the pattern is real. It should include these vital elements:
A-B : 38.2 to 50% max percent using the Fibonacci retracement
B-C : An 38.2 to 88.6% max percent Fibonacci retracement of the X-A leg
C-D : The 88.6% percent retracement of the X-A
Market strategy:
Step 1: Drawing the pattern
Begin by clicking on the XABCD pattern indicator that is found on the right-hand side toolbar of Tradingview
Identify the beginning point X, which can be any swing high or low point on the chart.
You should get 4 points or 4 swings high/low points that join and form the harmonic bat pattern strategy as explained Above
Step 2: Trading the pattern
The 88.6 percent Fibonacci ratio provides traders a more reliable risk/reward ratio which is why the market strategy of the bat pattern is such a very popular as a market strategy. The best entry point is the 88.6 percent Fibonacci retracement which is a very accurate market turning point.
It is recommended that traders should enter as soon as they touch the 88.6 percent figure. Oftentimes the harmonic bat pattern strategy doesn’t go much above this level.
Step 3: Placing a stop-loss
Usually, traders should place their protective stop-loss lower than the point X of a harmonic bat pattern . That is the only logical location to hide the stop-loss because any break below will automatically invalidate the pattern.We use as manual the 113% Fibo of X-A as a picture below.
Step 4: Take-profits
There can be several ways to manage your trades, but the best target for this pattern should be to use a multiple-take profit formula. For this pattern strategy, take the first partial profit once you hit wave-B level and the remaining half wave-C.
Once the price reaches the first target you should move the Stop Loss at BE ( breakeven - entry point ) or close the position in profit.
By doing this you will accomplish two things:
first, you’ll ensure that you accumulate profits and secondly, if the markets reverse, you ensure you’re stopped at BE and don’t lose any money.
There are many ways to calculate the Take profits Target, this is one of the most used and we suggest starting in this way.
Identical rules to draw and set parameters like stop loss and take profits are for the Bearish version. Nothing changed.
Please note this is an introduction to the BAT pattern , for beginners. I tried to make it more easy and simple as I can.
INDENTIFYING TRENDS LONG/SHORT TERM!!Just wanted to share a little insight into identifying trends and positioning yourself in the market for minimising risk and maximising profit! Its import to identify trends both short and long term to understand which direction price is heading and possibly reversal points. Top down analysis mixed with key levels and trend patterns is how I look at the market without getting to technical, and candle formations from these areas is where I look at entering positions.. everyone has there own trading style and this is just what works for me, I don't like to over complicate it with a million indicators, trendlines etc. I recommend finding a strategy that works for you and sticking to it, there are a heap of different ways to trade...
How To Use The MACD IndicatorThe MACD (moving average convergence divergence) is one of my favourite trading tools or indicators, and might actually be the most powerful of them all. I first started using the MACD in 2015 and have been studying it since, it takes a long time to learn and understand all the parts of it. I wonder if I have learned all the hidden secrets by now, or will there be many more to come.
The MACD is a trend analyzing momentum indicator that indicates the difference between two exponential moving averages. It is calculated by subtracting the 26 period ema from the 12 period ema, this plots the calculation of the MACD line. A 9 period EMA of the MACD called the signal line is then plotted alongside the MACD line which results in the formation of the strong MACD. The default settings of the MACD are 12, 26, 9, slightly faster settings can be achieved by changing the numbers. The MACD indicator is also composed of a histogram which plots the difference between the MACD line and the signal line. When the MACD is higher than the signal line the histogram will be above the zero axis, conversely if the MACD is below the signal line the histogram will be below the zero axis.
There are many ways to use the MACD, 1) the first way to use the MACD is with the signal crosses such as when the MACD line crosses above the signal line. 2) a second way you can use the MACD as an indicator is when the MACD line and or signal line crosses above or below the zero axis, if it is crossing above the zero axis the trend is bullish, oppositely if it is crossing below the zero line the trend is said to be bearish. 3) A third way you can utilize the MACD is by using the histogram, when the histogram inflects from positive to negative this is a bearish signal, when the histogram inflects from negative to positive this is a bullish signal. More so for the example of 3) you can see that on the chart example I have provided below that the histogram is below the previous swing low and has shown a potential oversold value compared to the last or others before, you can compare other previous swing lows by zooming the chart out and making a larger comparison of all the values in the month or year for example, this also applies to 4) with the signal and MACD lines. 4) A fourth way to use the MACD as an indicator is by using the values on the Y axis, these can range to be any number increasing to positive infinity, or decreasing to negative infinity. You can furthermore compare previous high values and low values as an indication of the chart being overbought or oversold, you can use these values both with the MACD line/signal line and with the histogram itself. I suggest adding the MACD indicator to your chart and testing these methods.$EUR/USD
Ilyas Khan Top1 Markets
How To Filter The Trend Using The 200 DSMAIn the market we often see inconsistent trends that occur between different cycles. For example, at this time today we may think one asset is strong such as the US dollar, but instead today it may occur that in reality the US dollar is weak today, only to see that the following day the US dollar is once again stronger, or next week after a week of bearishness. One method that banks and financial institutions use to filter the longer term trend is by using a technical indicator, the simple moving average of period 200, on the daily chart. Continually the sma 200 is used to filter the trend, when the price is above the sma 200 the asset is said to be in a bullish trend, and when the price is below the 200 daily sma the asset is said to be in a bearish trend. Let us look closer into this further and take the EURUSD daily chart as an example. Interestingly enough the EURUSD currency pair has been trading under the 200 day sma since June 17, 2021, quite some time. It has not been able to cross back above the 200 sma and has thus been seen by banks and financial institutions as bearish. This in turn helps to maintain consistency by establishing a more accurate consistent trend. In this case you can choose to take short positions only on the euro pair during cycles of the asset being overbought. Though this strategy can show strength in longer term trends there is one downside, with this strategy of course since you can only take short positions you get less trades annually on the higher time frames such as on the 4 hour or 1 day time frames. The benefit and upside is that they are usually more accurate longer term, and often the trend can last for months or in this case over a year sometimes longer, and beneficially you are always trading with the banks rather than against them.
Ilyas Khan Top1 Markets
what is the difference between trend lines ?? as u can see here in ethusdt there are four trend lines ( three of it are main ) first of all what is trend line categories :-
1- major trend."primary trend"
2- secondary trend ." intermediate trend"
3- minor trend ." near term trend "
_ ( major trend ) dow theory classifies the major trend as being in affect for longer than ayear and it differs from market to another
as example in the commodity markets major trend is anything over six monthes .
_( secondary trend) dow defined this trend as three weeks to as many monthes and its the same for the futures market.
_(minor trend) this defined as anything less than two or three weeks.
*i hope its short and informative.
5 Pro Traders Tips to Stat a dayHow To Start a profitable trading day?
It is said that the morning will tell you what the day will look like. To make a trading day profitable, as a professional trader, i follow some important steps that I have shared in this video.
Press the like button if you enjoy this content :)
GOLD - The Entire Wave Caught 🔥In March this year, we posted a higher timeframe analysis where we identified that price was in wave 4 and that we were in an ABC correction. See full post below:
Once we identified where we are in the wave sequence, it just came down to counting the waves correctly and trading according to our trading rules.
We know that Wave C consists of 5 waves and follows the impulse schematic. Waves 1, 3 and 5 have 5 waves. Waves 2 and 4 have 3 waves. Ofcourse there are complexities where there are variations of waves within waves. However, once you understand the fundamental, you can slowly work your way down to lower timeframe and know whats next. That is exactly what we did. We followed the basic fundamental rules of Elliott Waves and worked our way through the entire wave C.
How do we enter?
Our entries are almost always trendline break entries. A trendline break tells us that momentum is shifting in the other direction and there are strict parameters for entry and stoploss which we don't deviate from.
Entry: Break of trendline
Bullish entry stoploss: below the candles once trendline breaks
Bearish entry stoploss: above the candles before the trendline breaks
If you go through the ideas in the chart, you will see that our entry is almost always trendline break entries. People may say trendlines do not work - sometimes it doesn't... if not used correctly. We mostly use trendlines when a correction is already formed. Using a trendline here to catch the breakout is perfect.
The market isn't static. Things change. You will see that whilst the overall analysis remained the same, the lower timeframe analysis changed as moves overextend and its our job as traders to adapt to these changes.
Do let us know what you think.
As always, trade safe!
The concept of trend lines, support and resistance Today, I am going to explain the concept of trend lines, support and resistance.
Above is the weekly chart of the EUR/USD, period between 2017 and 2022.
The resistance or support level is where the price gets rejected at least twice. After that, traders can draw a line connecting those swing highs/lows, which later turn to be the resistance or support. This line can be horizontal or sloping, thus called trend line.
A trend line connecting 2 lower highs or more is called descending and considered a resistance.
A trend line connecting 2 higher lows or more is called ascending and considered support.
Broken resistance becomes a support level and vice versa.
Let's take the example chart above and explain the drawings for a better understanding:
1) In January 2017, EUR/USD bottomed at 1.0350 and has been trading above that level since then, until 2022. In the current year, the pair tested the mentioned price more than twice and bounced again. But eventually, sellers were able to break through this support, which later on in July, turned to be a resistance. Buyers tried to break through that level but failed to do so, and the price kept on going further down.
2) During the pandemic in March 2020, demand for safe assets surged, causing the Euro to trade as low as 1.0630 where buyers were met and made a quick rebound. In 2022, the Russia-Ukraine war has put a huge pressure on the EUR/USD, resulting in a strong bearish move. Sellers were able to break the 1.0630 level successfully, which later turned to a resistance level.
3) I highlighted the main 3 parallel trend lines/channels throughout the 2018-2022 period
1: A very clear lower highs/lower lows pattern indicating a bearish trend.
2: Once the 1.0630 support was met, buyers were able to create a higher highs/higher lows pattern indicating a bullish trend reversal.
3: However, in summer 2021, the pattern was broken and we started to notice trend exhaustion indicated by a failure to make higher highs and the market entered a bearish trend again inside a descending channel till present.
I hope the drawings and explanations are clear. Will be happy to answer any question.
Thank you
🔍Studying horizontal volumes🤔🔍Volumes are one of the most useful tools on the market, That gives the most objective information about the alignment of forces between buyers and sellers (with qualitative analysis, of course). It is necessary to learn how to correctly interpret volumes ( volume analysis) and the trader gets a powerful tool at his disposal. Add to this risk management and money management (without this, you will never succeed in the market) and get one of the most profitable strategies.
There are two types of volume: horizontal and vertical. And in this eduaction idea, we will get a little acquainted with horizontal volumes.
🧐 What is it?
Horizontal volumes are a histogram based on the number of trades made at a price level. Unlike vertical volumes, that tells us about the volume traded for the set time period, horizontal volumes show the volume traded at the price level. This tool will allow to identify highly probable reversals, as well as areas of support and resistance . Thanks to TradingView, everyone can use the horizontal volume indicator for free. Thank you so much🙌
📊 Horizontal volume indicator includes:
➡️ Value Zone/Area
➡️ VAH (value area high)
➡️POC (point of control)
➡️ VAL (value area low)
All of the above can be seen on the graph (marked on the graph above).
The Value Zone/Area is the so-called "body" of the histogram for the selected period and is formed in the place where 70% (by default) of the total volume has passed.
🟡 VAH (value area high) is the top line of the value area. The upper line of the value zone can play the role of resistance and support.
🔴 VAL (value area low) is the bottom line of the value area. Formed where volumes are declining. The lower line of the VAL value zone can also play the role of resistance and support.
You need to be very careful when the price approaches VAH and VAL❗️
🔵 POC (Point of Control) is the most important level. It is a support or resistance zone depending on where the price is above or below the POC. As long as the crowd has not formed an imbalance in the POC area, the price will move either higher or lower than the POC. At this time, it is better not to trade, and let the price decide, entering from a re-test of the formed balance.
📈 How to trade?
Remember that everything needs experience! You will need time to develop your strategy based on horizontal volumes or to include this tool in your existing arsenal. Analysis, observation and again analysis! Pay special attention to POC, this level is the most important and interesting in terms of opening a position. Here you should pay attention to the weekly POC and intraday.
On the charts above, you can see trades in Gold ( XAUUSD ) and Silver ( XAGUSD ) that were opened exactly from the POC week (previous). You can observe the results yourself. Of course, there are also losing trades, but with the observance of risk management and a systematic risk/reward ratio, success is guaranteed.
🔴 Conclusion
Horizontal volumes will help identify (but more confirm) support and resistance levels/areas. Near VAH, VAL and POC, one should be as careful as possible, as this is a good opportunity for a probable entry into a trade. We can call it a "creative process": you will definitely see and form many entry and strategy opportunities based on this.
😉 Thank you for reading and profitable trades ❗️