I was Right On Gold/XAUUSD,Watch This Video To See How I did itIn this video, I gave the full breakdown of how I could see and accurately predict Gold's bullish move before it happened.
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Harmonic Patterns of Technical Analysis !!!👨🏫In this post, I tried to show you the most important Harmonic Patterns of Technical Analysis . These patterns are more valid at higher timeframes.
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What is Harmonic Pattern ❗️❓
Harmonic patterns are chart patterns that form part of a trading strategy, and they can help traders to spot pricing trends by predicting future market movements. They create geometric price patterns by using Fibonacci numbers to identify potential price changes or trend reversals
Harmonic Patterns of Technical Analysis:
🦇 Bat 🦇 Harmonic Pattern:
The Bat pattern is a retracement and continuation pattern that occurs when a trend temporarily reverses its direction but then continues on its original course.
It gives you the opportunity to enter the market at a good price, just as the pattern ends and the trend resumes and has a bullish and bearish version.
It is similar to the Gartley pattern but completes at an 88.6% Fibonacci retracement of the X-A leg.
A true Bat pattern will include each of the following: the AB=CD pattern or an extension of this pattern; a 161.8% to 261.8% Fibonacci extension of the B-C leg; an 88.6% Fibonacci retracement of the X-A leg.
One way of trading a bullish Bat pattern is to place your buy order at point D (the 88.6% retracement of the X-A leg)
Place your stop loss just below point X.
Draw a new Fibonacci retracement from point A-D of the completed pattern and take profit at the point where the price will have retraced 61.8% of the distance between A-D.
To trade a bearish Bat pattern (a short/sell trade), simply invert the pattern and your orders.
🦇 ALT Bat 🦇 Harmonic Pattern:
The Alternate Bat Pattern is a precise harmonic pattern™ discovered by Scott Carney in 2003.
The pattern incorporates the 1.13XA retracement, as the defining element in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
The B point retracement must be a 0.382 retracement or less of the XA leg. The Alternate Bat pattern™ utilizes a minimum 2.0 BC projection. In addition, the AB=CD pattern within the Alternate Bat is always extended and usually requires a 1.618 AB=CD calculation.
The Alternate Bat pattern™ is an incredibly accurate pattern that works exceptionally well in the RSI BAMM divergence setup.
🦋 Butterfly 🦋 Harmonic Pattern:
The Butterfly is a reversal pattern that allows you to enter the market at extreme highs or lows.
It is similar to the Gartley and Bat patterns but the final C-D leg makes a 127% extension of the initial X-A leg, rather than a retracement of it.
To trade the Butterfly, enter the market with a long or short trade at point D of the pattern – the price should reverse direction here.
Place your stop loss just below (bullish trade) or above (bearish trade) the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the X-A leg.
For an aggressive profit target, place your take profit order at point A.
For a more conservative profit target, place your take profit order at point B.
🥇 Gartley 🥇 Harmonic Pattern:
The Gartley pattern is a retracement pattern that occurs when a trend temporarily reverses direction before continuing on its course.
It includes the AB=CD pattern in its structure and gives you the chance to go long (bullish Gartley) or short (bearish Gartley) at the point where the pattern completes and the trend resumes.
It relies on Fibonacci levels, which determine how far price retraces or extends during the formation of the patterns – MetaTrader 4 can automatically add these levels to your chart.
To trade using the Gartley pattern, place your buy order at the point where the C-D leg achieves a 78.6% retracement of the X-A leg.
Place your stop loss just under point X.
Draw a new Fibonacci retracement from point A-D of the completed pattern and take profit at the point where the price will have retraced 61.8% of the distance between A-D.
🦀 Crab 🦀 Harmonic Pattern:
The Crab is a reversal pattern that allows you to enter the market at extreme highs and lows.
It is similar to the Butterfly pattern but the final C-D leg makes a deeper 161.8% extension of the initial X-A leg.
To trade the Crab, enter the market with a long or short trade at point D of the pattern – the price should reverse direction here.
Place your stop loss just below (bullish trade) or above (bearish trade) point D.
For an aggressive profit target, place your take profit order at point A.
For a more conservative profit target, place your take profit order at point B.
🦈Shark🦈 Harmonic Pattern:
The structure of a shark pattern has an impulse leg (X-A) and a retracement leg (B). In this case, the retracement has no particular value. The continuation leg (C) has to get to a Fibonacci extension of 113 percent of the B-A leg, but shouldn’t go beyond the 161.8 percent mark, a retracement for X-C follows afterward.
The shark pattern so obtained has to get to an extension of 88.6 percent of this retracement, but should not be more than 113 percent. The next Fibonacci extension will be B-C, which is an extension of the A-X leg, within the 161.8 to 224 percent range. But as far as entering a trade goes, it is different from other harmonic patterns, for example:
The entry point should be at an extension of 88.6 percent of the O-X leg, and the stops will follow up at point C
Targets can be at 61.8 percent of the B-C leg
It is not difficult finding the zone to enter trades. This is the area where the X-C Fibonacci retracement and the B-C Fibonacci extension overlap
The main factor that differentiates between the harmonic shark and other patterns is that it depends on the 88.6 percent and the 113 percent reciprocal ratios. Once the price point at D is created, prices decline or rally very quickly. Therefore it needs active management of the trade. In other words, you simply cannot set up the harmonic shark pattern and come back a while later to trade it. By that time price would have gone a major distance.
3️⃣ Three 3️⃣ Drives Harmonic Pattern:
The three drives pattern is a reversal pattern designed to highlight times when the market is exhausted in its current move.
The pattern has a bullish version and a bearish version.
The pattern is composed of three waves or drives that complete at a 127% or 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
The trade is entered in the opposite direction to the overall move when the third drive is completed at a 127% or 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
The stop loss goes below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension for a buy and above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension for a sell.
Draw a new Fibonacci retracement from the start of the pattern to the completion point of the pattern and take profit at the point where the price will have retraced 61.8% of that distance.
🔁 AB=CD 🔁 Harmonic Pattern:
The AB=CD pattern helps you identify when a price is about to change direction so that you can buy when prices are low and sell when they are high.
The pattern consists of three legs, with two equal legs labeled AB and CD, together they form a zig-zag shape – hence its nickname, the 'lightning bolt'.
It can be used in any financial market and in any time frame.
When a market is trending upwards, the first leg (A-B) is formed as the price rises from A to B.
At point B, the price switches direction and retraces down sharply to form the B-C leg – ideally a 61.8% or 78.6% retracement of the price increase between points A and B.
The price then continues its original uptrend, forming a C-D leg that should be the same length as the A-B leg.
Once you have decided where you think the pattern will complete (point D), you should place a sell order at this point and look to profit from a price reversal.
Place your stop loss a few pips above point D.
Drawing a new Fibonacci retracement from point A to D of the completed pattern and a take profit at the point where the price will have retraced 61.8% of the distance between A and D.
You would approach a downtrending market with a bullish (buy) trade at point D in exactly the same way – the pattern and your trading orders will simply be reversed.
Three White Soldiers Candlestick ✅✅✅Three white soldiers is a bullish candlestick pattern that is used to predict the reversal of the current downtrend in a pricing chart. The pattern consists of three consecutive long-bodied candlesticks that open within the previous candle's real body and a close that exceeds the previous candle's high.
🎯 To identify the three white soldiers pattern, look for three consecutive green or white candlesticks. Each must open and close progressively higher than the first. The candlesticks should have big bodies and very small (or no) wicks. As mentioned, you are likely to see the pattern at the bottom of a downtrend.
✅ What Do Three White Soldiers Tell You?
The three white soldiers candlestick pattern suggests a strong change in market sentiment in terms of the stock, commodity or pair making up the price action on the chart. When a candle is closing with small or no shadows, it suggests that the bulls have managed to keep the price at the top of the range for the session. Basically, the bulls take over the rally all session and close near the high of the day for three consecutive sessions. In addition, the pattern may be preceded by other candlestick patterns suggestive of a reversal, such as a doji.
✅ Limitations of Using Three White Soldiers
Three white soldiers can also appear during periods of consolidation, which is an easy way to get trapped in a continuation of the existing trend rather than a reversal. One of the key things to watch is the volume supporting the formation of three white soldiers. Any pattern on low volume is suspect because it is the market action of the few rather than the many.
To combat the limitation of visual patterns, traders use the three white soldiers and other such candlestick patterns in conjunction with other technical indicators like trendlines, moving averages and bands. For example, traders may look for areas of upcoming resistance before initiating a long position or look at the level of volume on the breakout to confirm that there was a high amount of dollar volume transacting. If the pattern occurred on low volume with near-term resistance, traders may wait until there is further confirmation of a breakout to initiate a long position.
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GOLD(XAUUSD): Why The Massive Drop?Gold collapsed extremely hard due to trapped liquidity at the equal highs on the left.
Once banks had pushed the price up aggressively into this area, stopping out sellers, they then could proceed with their aggressive selling.
It is crucial to understand the concept of liquidity if you wish to make high risk to reward trades and understand the WHY behind price.
Good luck trading next week! Keep your eye out for traps like these.
Gold Vs 10 Year Treasury Bond Interest Rates In this video, I explain in detail the relationship between the price of Gold and the interest rate on 10-Year Government Treasury Bonds.
You will understand why Gold is used as a hedge against inflation when investors cannot protect the purchasing power of their wealth through the purchase of government treasury bonds.
Gold has risen in value by 231% since 2007 from $545 an ounce to $1,809 an ounce.
As central banks must keep interest rates low coming out of the Covid-19 pandemic to help governments borrow huge amounts to inject stimulus into the economy, gold remains alongside stocks the only way investors can hedge the risk of inflation from eroding the value of their wealth.
We also look at Gold priced in Euro's, Pounds and Australian dollars as interest rates in Europe, Australia and the UK have hit record lows over the past few years.
You are going to love this educational video!!!
Where would you enter?A channel is one of the most basic price action patterns
The channel is a powerful yet often overlooked chart pattern and combines several forms of technical analysis to provide traders with potential points for entering and exiting trades, as well as controlling risk. The first step is to learn how to identify channels. The next steps include determining where and when to enter a trade, where to place stop-loss orders, and where to take profits.
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Trading channels can be drawn on charts to help see uptrends and downtrends in a stock, commodity, ETF , or forex pair.
Traders also use channels to identify potential buy and sell points, as well as set price targets and stop-loss points.
Ascending channels angle up during uptrends and descending channels slope downward in downtrends.
Other technical indicators, such as volume , can enhance the signals generated from trading channels.
How long the channel has lasted will help determine the trend's underlying strength.
XAUUSD – GOLD has to decideWelcome to our Academy. We’re here to help you achieve what you have been looking for.
Use our free analysis where you have everything you need for potencial trade ideas and profit.
XAUUSD – GOLD has to decide
Trend: Sell/ Neutral
Price now: 1560.17
Support/Resistance:
R3: 1588.15
R2: 1577.45
R1: 1563.08
S1: 1555.12
S2: 1540.16
S3: 1531.75
Price action:
Overall flow on xauusd is bullish, but that doesn't mean the price can go deeper then it did. Price of gold is at decisional point between 1563.08 resistance level and 1555.12 support level. Once one side will break one of these price action levels we can go with the flow. We'd be carrefull especially at selling because of overall bullish flow. On the other side if bulls are able to break first resistance, then we might easily see following buyers targets.
Potencial trade idea:
Bulls targets:
T1: 1577.45
T2: 1588.15
Bears targets:
T1: 1540.16
T2: 1531.75
NOTE – We are trading XAUUSD via the preferred trading setups by EliteFxAcademy
Disclaimer: Martin’s views on the Chart analysis is ment as a trading advice for education terms; Education terms include: trading consistency to everyone who is reading this blog; for every advance student and for every Elite student who is using this analysis for managing his equity by Elite strategy and custom indicator. This analysis is understandable and transparent for all Elite students. This is a free content which is based from Academy in term of transparency to support and following progress to everyone. We know that there is always possible way that market can pull you out even when you follow our analysis blog and advice for a trade. We don’t publish where you have to have your risk management – Stop Loss, because, it would not be fair to Elite members, who learned this techniques in our Elite course.
Keywords:
Elite strategy, Custom Indicator, Fundamental Analysis , Tehnical analysis, Price action, Advanced strategies, Trading Education
Good trading!
Elitefxacademy
GOLDUSD – As following USD pair, Gold might be lowerGOLDUSD – As following USD pair, Gold might be lower
Trend: Sell/ Neutral
Support/Resistance:
R2: 1477.05
R1: 1459.38
S1: 1444.08
S2: 1433.86
Price action:
Gold is contraverse from Usd pair. Nothing is proved yet that gold can go that deep. First is important to follow lower timeframe to get facts from our Elite strategy and also news statement. Gold is now showing potencial sell.
Potencial trade idea:
Bulls targets:
T1 = 1477.05
Bears Targets:
T1 = 1444.08
T2 = 1433.86
NOTE – We are trading GOLDUSD via the preferred trading setups
Disclamer1: We have to wait for a currency pair to trade after news are reliased. This might be a short correction, or price will give us moving dirrection after news are reliased.
Disclaimer2: Martin's views on the Chart analysis is ment as a trading advice for education terms; Education terms include: trading consistency to everyone who is reading this blog; for every advance student and for every Elite student who is using this analysis for managing his equity by Elite strategy and custom indicator. This analysis is understandable and transparent for all Elite students. This is a free content which is based from Academy in term of transparency to support and following progress to everyone. We know that there is always possible way that market can pull you out even when you follow our analysis blog and advice for a trade. We don't publish where you have to have your risk management – Stop Loss, because, it would not be fair to Elite members, who learned this techniques in our Elite course.
GOLD: A lower buy opportunity that may arise on the long term.Gold has been on a very aggressive rise since it broke the 1,380 long term 1W Resistance. Recently it made contact with the Higher High trend line of its 1M Channel Up (RSI = 73.372, MACD = 46.760, Highs/Lows = 196.7521). Undoubtedly we have entered a new long term multi year Bull Cycle but that doesn't mean that the uptrend won't be without lows. Long term traders should look for pull backs to take advantage of as dip-buying opportunities. In order to identify those we looked into the early 1W candles of the past Bull Cycle in 2000.
There are quite a few similarities of the 2000 Bull Cycle start with the current one. In the 2000s, the bear market bottom gave rise to a Golden Cross on 1W. That sustained the uptrend within the Channel Up until a new Higher High. Following that Higher High, Gold made a pull back to touch the 1W MA50 where it found support and on the next rise broke the Channel Up essentially starting the parabolic rise all the way to the 2011 All Time Highs.
Similarly the former bear market has made its bottom in late 2015 and the Higher High that followed built up the 1M Channel Up. Following a Golden Cross, the market consolidated for 2 years (unlike the early 2000) and recently broke the 1,380 Resistance to make a Higher High. If the 2000 model is followed then we may be looking for a 1W MA50 test by the end of year - beginning of 2020, which should be an optimal long term buy opportunity for a break above the Channel Up at $1,700.
Investing in Gold should be a priority for every fund, long term investor for at least the next 5 years. We will be updating our thesis on Gold with shorter term opportunities regularly.
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Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
Achieve Financial Security through Self DevelopmentSELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Achieve Financial Security through Self Development
What skill set will you further develop over the next 90 days?What books will you read? What courses will you take? State specifically your personal development action plan for the 90 days...(your personal development is an ongoing process)............................
Strengths and Weaknesses
1. What are your skills?
...................................................
2. Do you tend to be compulsive?
...................................................
3. How much social contact do you need?
...................................................
4.Can you work by yourself day after day? Do you need other people around you?
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5.What are your psychological strengths and weaknesses? In terms of trading system development?
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6. Do you have deadlines to meet in your trading?
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7. And lots more..............................
Please let me know if you have any questions or would like to know more
Happy trading :)
"Invest 3% of your income in yourself (self development) in order to guarantee your future" Brian Tracy
Bitcoin vs Gold - Strange CorrelationHello Community,
I would like to share my very first idea here. It's probably more "food for thoughts".
To my idea:
This is a 15Minute Graph of Gold & Bitcoin
I recognized a correlation between Gold (and any other Big Metal) and Bitcoin.
I found this correlation actually at a much larger scale in a daily chart, but once I was "zooming" in the correlation got even more obvious.
My first observation brought me to the idea that money is beeing swapped between gold and bitcoin. But the fact that the approximate Market Cap of gold is somewhere around 7 Trillion USD makes this theory quite jabberwocky.
Anyway the correlation is there, but the reason must lie somewhere else. Maybe you have an idea?
Trade safe!
K