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H-pattern

GOLD What can price action tell us in the market ? Hello traders: As of this time we are still waiting for the US election to have confirmed result. I thought I share my outlook and bias of the market and explain briefly on price action. If we look at GOLD from the HTF, we can see the price is in a uptrend move. Within this bullish run since August 2018, price has been in an impulse phrase of the market condition. We know that within a large, HTF impulse, we will get many small, LTF impulse/correction, impulse correction..etc to push the price up. This is where multi-time frame analysis will give you a much clarity of the market. Now looking at the latest price action on GOLD. Price is potential going to be in the LTF bullish impulse phrase, which may be the start of the next HTF bullish run. The safest way to capitalize would be waiting for the election to confirm the result, and wait for continuation correction on the LTF to look for possible entries. Thank you
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by jojofang0901
6
SPX500 What will the result tell us this point forward ? Hello everyone: Long time no post since I was very patiently sitting through the US election, and did not want to get in any positions during the volatile market. As we are getting closer to the result, its important to not have FOMO and jump into any trades blindly. Typical newer traders want to jump in the trade thinking they market will be gone if they don't enter, and usually end up with a loss or losses due to their tight SL. My honest suggestion is to be patient and wait for price action to give us more clarity on what the market will do. In this example of SPY, I see 2 possible scenarios. Since the current price action and the structure can be both continuation or reversal, I will explain both. The more probable one is the continuation bullish move, as the price forms this larger HTF structure to potentially break out. Then I would wait for a LTF correction to development and get in the buys. or Price begins to form reversal price action and structure, and we see LTF bearish reversal impulse, and then in this case wait for continuation correction to sell. Very simple approach and no need to stress and guess what the market will do. thank you feel free to comment or ask me questions.
OANDA:SPX500USDEducation
by jojofang0901
Bearish Reversal Candlesticks PatternsHanging man The hanging man is the bearish equivalent of a hammer (bullish pattern). It typically forms at the end of an uptrend with a tiny body and a long lower wick. The lower wick designates that there was a large sell-off, but bulls headed to take back control and drive the price up. Holding that in mind, after a lengthened uptrend, the sell-off may act as a warning that the bulls might soon be losing control of the market. Shooting star The shooting star is a comparable pattern as the inverted hammer (bullish pattern) but is formed at the end of an uptrend. The shooting star is composed of a candlestick with a long upper wick, little or no lower wick, and a small body, ideally near the low. It indicates that the market reached a high, but then sellers took control and drove the price back down. Three black crows The bearish equivalent of three white soldiers (bullish pattern). The three black crows are made of three sequential red candlesticks that open within the previous candle’s body, and close at a level below the previous candle’s low. Ideally, these candlesticks shouldn’t have long higher wicks, betokening continuous selling pressure pushing the price down. The dimension of the candles and the length of the wicks can be used to estimate the chances of continuation. Bearish harami The bearish harami is a long green candle followed by a small red candle with a body that’s completely contained within the body of the previous candle. The bearish harami can unfold over two or more days, marks at the end of a downtrend, and may symbolize that buying pressure is decreasing. Dark cloud cover The dark cloud cover pattern consists of a red candle that opens above the close of the previous green candle but then closes below the midpoint of that candle. It can often be co-occurred by high volume, indicating that momentum might be shifting from the upside to the downside. Traders might wait for a third red candle for confirmation of the pattern. Best regards EXCAVO
Education
by EXCAVO
10
EURNZD Trade Recap, Analysis, Management Hi everyone: In this quick educational video, I will go over my 2 trades in EURNZD short. What was my analysis, management and thoughts on this bearish run. I will always start my analysis from the HTF, looking at what the price action is telling me will give me a better edge to enter higher probability setups. I want the HTF to be clear on the bias that I have on the direction. Then, using multi-time frame analysis, looking at what the LTF is telling you. Is it showing you the same price action like the HTF bias ? Wait for the market to give you the confirmation, i.e. continuation corrections, reversal price action structure, LTF impulses...etc that will give you the confidence to enter a trade. Manage the trade accordingly, move the SL to BE in profits depending on the strategies and style. Don't get emotional about the result of the trade, rather if you follow your plan, and you made the decision based on what the market and price action is telling you . Then, repeat consistently for every month, year. :) Thank you
Education
by jojofang0901
6
Why I don't use MA/EMA indicators in my analysis Hello everyone: In this video, I am going to explain my reasonings on why I personally don't use MA/EMA in my analysis. I will start off by saying that I have nothing against traders who use them and are consistent and profitable. I am sure there are many who do use indicators in their analysis along with their trading plan, risk management that find success in trading in given marker conditions. For me, my trading style focuses on price action structures/patterns. I am analyzing the market in its pure form of movement. In order for me to be clear on the price action, I need to “remove” all sorts of other “noise” on the chart. This is when having MA/EMA, and other common indicators can create potential issues for my style of trading. When we have indicators on the chart, it normally does help traders to identify “trending” markets, overbought/sold, as an example. The most used ones such as MA/EMA are going to help traders to find trends of continuations, but it doesn't necessarily become a target or support/resistance for the price to bounce off. Many find trading through such an “area” would be not ideal, hence they can take profit or target that general area. While, some can use that as a stop loss area, so long the price will “reverse” from it. However, when I see the price action on the HTF is in the impulsive phrase of the market conditions, on the LTF the indicators will not “catch up” to the most current price conditions. As the indicators are calculated based on the price movement, and since an impulse pushes up/down the price very aggressively, it takes time for them to take the movement into its equations and move according to it. The important thing is to not “overload” your chart with too many indicators and lines going across. There will be too many “contradicting” biases and it will confuse you as a trader. Simplicity is best, and less is more. Thank you
Education
by jojofang0901
12
Trading Psychology: Over Leveraged Trading Hello traders: Welcome back for a quick educational video on over leveraged trading. This ties with Trading Psychology greatly, and I want to elaborate on this a bit more to give new and experienced traders my understanding on this topic. It's important to know that leverage can work for you as well as against you. You may already hear this a lot when you open a new broker account. However, it's only when you actually start trading then you will understand the true meaning of this. When you enter a trade with leverage, you are entering with a great risk behind if you don't have proper risk management. Since leverage is a “double edge sword”, trades that are in profit or losses will be magnified. You are easily over traded, meaning you can have multiple entries on the same pair or same move/run. Again, this would be nice if the trades are going in your favor, but if not then you are going to have a huge drawdown of your account. Professional traders understand drawdown is evitable, but they also minimize it so when they are in profit, they can easily make the drawdown backs. Let's take an example of what an over leveraged trading combine with trading psychology could look like: ---enter a trade, and with a big position (no risk management, and not consistent with trading plan) ---begin to see price fall, then either he/she will have a SL and get taken out, or no SL then price will continue to drop then the small account is gone in no time due to the big position. ---If he/she did have a SL, then they are taken out, but just lost a bigger % of their account. Now the emotions kick in to try to “chase” the money back. So revenge trading emotions start. ---Because the account has high leverage, the person can easily open a bigger lot position, double the previous one in fact (same strategy out there says to do this) and make back your losses. If first trade was risking 5%, then this next trade is 10%) ---After several losses, the account is already cut in ½, and he/she can no longer open the high lot positions. ---They will then reduce their position size, but still at maximum leverage allows. ---Soon the account will get blown out, and the person will either blame the market, strategy, lesson and more. I see this cycle of trading all the time in new traders, and it has a combination factor such as emotion, mindset, risk management, trading plan and more. But what is easily controlled by you is to reduce leverage allowed on the account. Simply dropping it down to less leverage will help the trader to not over leverage, and maintain a few trades only with smaller position sizes. So, I encourage the new traders to really think about this topic and reflect on yourself to see if you ever fall into this cycle before. You may not blow your account, but certainly have experienced revenge trading and over leverage trade when the emotions kick in. I myself included it at the beginning of my trading journey also. That is all I gotta say on this one. Let me know if you have questions and feedback :) I will chat with everyone next time in my live stream. Thank you
Editors' picks
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by jojofang0901
24
My journey in trading, experiences, ups and downs. Hello everyone: In this video (all talking in this one) I am gonna talk about my trading journey and experiences. All the ups and downs that I have been through in hope to give new and experienced traders a honest raw example of a trader’s journey. Of course everyone learns and absorbs information differently, and I am sure there are people out there who didn't have to go through the way I did, but I thought sharing my journey would help some of us who are still struggling to find consistency in trading. So, a little bit about my trading journey: Beginning Stage -Not profitable the first 2+ years, gone through the roller coaster ride of a trader’s journey -Start with S.R and indicators. Does work and makes profit, but doesn't suit my personality. -Was not consistent, some weeks in profit, some months in losses -Made all the mistakes, wanted to give up and quit many times. -Had negative trading emotions, mindset, and no idea on trading psychology -Not following the trading plan, no risk management -Over trading, over risking, revenge trading -Emotional when I miss out potential runs of the market -Blame the market on my losses Turning Stage: -Did not give up -Admit all my mistakes, work on them, change them. -Truthy admit you are in control of your trading account, not the market, strategies, mentors or other external factors -Put in the time and effort, understand that this is something it can be your career for the next 30 years, what is it to you to put in a few years of hard work ? Acknowledge the market will evolve and change, and we need to adapt as a trader -Understand trading is a probability game, not right or wrong. I can be wrong, and won't affect my emotions. -Want to be the "house" rather than a "player" in a casino setting, -Learn about price action and structures. -Have no problem missing trades and profits, understand the abundance of opportunities in trading -Follow my trading plans, make goals, back testing, forecasting, journaling -Acknowledge my expectations in trading, 3:1 RR, 15-20 trades, 1% risk per trade, 35-40% strike rate (higher strike rate requires less R:R). Looking for consistent growth of accounts and capital -Understand once you are consistent, there will be more opportunities and investors who are willing to let you trade -Continue to have a humble attitude in trading and market -Continue to learn and grow So I hope I answer most of the questions that you have asked, but if you have additional questions on my journey and anything else, let me know below. :) Thank you
Education
by jojofang0901
14
How to trade the Bullish Continuation PatternHey hey all!  I went off the grid a little bit to enjoy life and seize the opportunities the COVID situation has presented us all with... the proactive have had the chance, and still do, to create wealth and I can go over many examples in the markets like the sell-off of Stocks, Indices and Commodities (and even Crypto) and then the buyback of all of those assets. The strength of the USD and then the weakness of it... the all-time highs in the NASDAQ which came as a no brainer as the world went 90% digital due to the pandemic but there is so much more and I wont be going over it right now... right now all I want to do is share with you a killer trade setup that I took on the DAX on Friday (7.8.2020) yesterday that is earning me right now over 15,000 in active profits. The Bullish Continuation The bullish continuation pattern is exactly what is says, a bullish continuation of price action, and it is not very hard to find. There are two ways you can trade the bullish continuation, 1. Pre-breakout, which would mean at a support level that lines up with the FIBS I use. 2. The breakout, which is self-explanatory. In the case, I am about to show you I traded it pre-breakout, but before I go over it... here is a snippet from my comment in my community about the trade: Now coming back to the Bullish Continuation, here is a talking picture for you to further understand how this was traded (and still is being traded). The first thing is that the recent momentum was bullish, so we have the first checkbox. The second point is that price is finding support at 61.8%, check here too Is the middle of the DC is below price action? YES! so check again On the 1H chart is the 5/20 EMA below price? Yeap! Check! Ok great... now about the entry, we have 2 options.... Option #1 is entering at the rejection of 61.8% fib (which is taken from the high and the low of the recent move. Option #2 is wait for the breakout That is.... in this case, I decided to go at 61.8% because I realized the NFP (yesterday, Friday 7.8.2020) would support the DAX, and it did at the get-go, I quickly went into a profit of 11,000, but held on and now I'm close to 16,000 in profit... and here's proof! If you want to see that this is a live account just find us on Instagram (PrimedTraders) or join our community with as little as 9$ m/m and you'll see everything there... Questions are very welcome!
DEducation
by PrimedGroup
Why I decided to change my trading style and method after years Why I decided to change my trading style and method after years: First of all, I am not here to bash and talk negative on other traders who are consistent traders who do use these methods to their success. I am sharing my on personal journey and opinions, based on past experiences and past journal/history. By no mean I am saying my current style or strategies are better. I am creating this post for educational purpose only, no offense/criticize is done here to anymore. 1. I actually used to trade with S/R, supply/demand zone, and small number of indicators (MACD, EMA, RSI...etc), you can look back at my tradingview post years ago. 2. I have been somewhat consistent with those strategies and methods, and do generate profits within the years that I have adapted those type of strategies. 3. The time when I decided not to implement those methods anymore, is because when I back test and look back at my trading journals and history, I find out ways that I could improve my trading potential. 4. I realized many of these S/R, indicators are actually acting as an invisible barrier for me when I trade. 5. Many of my trades in the past have been short lived due to me sticking to my trading plan and exit a trade when the price hits a certain "criteria" such as 50 EMA, some S/R zone, or fibs level...etc.. 6. While its good to follow and stick to my trading plan and risk management, but when I do self reviews on past trades, I begin to find out there is a lot of profit I am leaving on the table. Or, poor trade management due to similar issues. 7. I begin to do in depth research on these topics and come to my personal conclusion. 8. The true is, I dont need any of those indicators and S/R level/zones on my chart. Simply remove all of them and see how the price is on a raw level. 9. I fully understand when the price is in its impulsive phrase, none of these indicators or levels can "resist" or "support" the price. The price simply breaks them or "impulse" through them. When the price is in its corrective phrase, this is when those levels or indicators work since price is in a correction nature and allowing those levels or indicators to "catch up" to the price. 10. When I dig deeper and more research and analysis, I begin to see the market on a totally different level. I realized how the market moves, and why it moves. 11. There is a saying, "Dont just believe what the others are telling you", or "Try it yourself before saying it out loud". I certainly put in time and effort into this and have done substantial amount of work to be confidence to express here. I hope this brief post is helpful for those traders who are still trying to identify how to trade and what to adapt in their trading plan. I welcome any positive/constructive comments, feedback, suggestions or opinions. Thank you
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by jojofang0901
3
Fibonacci and Chart Pattern Trading Descending triangle is in the making. Not confirmed even if we see a rejection at this down sloping trend line. Also just a quick look at the use of the fibonacci retracement tool. We have the extreme high @ 10220 (nice round number 🤔) down to the low of correction @ 8220. A rejection off the 78% fib is common in trading. 78% 38% and the 618 fibs are key in trading and in using fibonacci. Any likes are much appreciated. Any questions can be left in the comments section. I'll be happy to get back to you. 👍
CME:BTC1!Education
by Poraquitutti
BTCUSD Fisher Transform of OBVFor this chart I utilized the Fisher Transform of the On Balance Volume (OBV) to identify common patterns not particularly discoverable by looking at price alone. Notice I do not portray a forecast using the same candle movement as when the fisher pattern indicates a repeating trend. This is because the price action will most likely not follow the same historical price pattern. What the Fisher Transform has identified for us is a common wind up characteristic only seen by a Gaussian normal distribution of the action. In this way, the indicator highlights when prices have moved to an extreme, based on recent prices. In this case we are considering the On Balance Volume (OBV). Note that this is simply an idea and should not be taken as a prediction with targets. You can see the efficacy of this indicator by looking at the following charts which were intended with price prediction in mind.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by embeddedthought
3