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Hanging Man

[Candlestick Patterns] Just need to know these three!#Candlestick #CandlePattern #Tocademy #Tutorial Hello traders from all over the world, this is HAMZA_ZDH=) I was unexpectedly surprised by many of you who liked and supported my last post about the basic concept of TA( Technical Analysis ). Today I prepared a brief lecture about the Candlestick Pattern, one of the most fundamental phenomenon and behaviors that traders must be well-informed. In fact, we should be very familiar with these textbook contents and interpret it in a glimpse on the technical chart unconsciously. Just like we don't pay direct attention about each breathes when breathing, like we don't care each and all of the alphabets when we speak, or like we don’t perceive location of each keyboards every moment as we type, this very technique should be performed automatically and quickly by observing dominant formations of candlestick bars. As a matter of fact, comprehending market trends and price actions only by referring to the candlesticks is yet too spurious. It should be used in such a way to weight on certain scenarios in a macroscopic view, rather than deriving precise and specific PRZ(Potential Reversal Zone)s and distinguish the accurate market trend. It’s never like ‘The price must go up because this pattern just appeared’. Furthermore, I strongly believe that the reliability of the candlestick pattern strategy is declining especially in recent financial market, where we encounter countless non-traditional and abnormal situations that were not very common in the past. Hence among the existing ‘Textbook’ candlestick pattern strategies that can easily be found on Google , there are particular patterns that are still very reliable on current market and there are ones that are not as reliable as it used to be. So here, I will organize everything very clearly for you guys.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Mr_HaMza_
[Candlestick Patterns] Just need to know these three!#Candlestick #CandlePattern #Tocademy #Tutorial Hello traders from all over the world, this is Tommy =) I was unexpectedly surprised by many of you who liked and supported my last post about the basic concept of TA(Technical Analysis). Today I prepared a brief lecture about the Candlestick Pattern, one of the most fundamental phenomenon and behaviors that traders must be well-informed. In fact, we should be very familiar with these textbook contents and interpret it in a glimpse on the technical chart unconsciously. Just like we don't pay direct attention about each breathes when breathing, like we don't care each and all of the alphabets when we speak, or like we don’t perceive location of each keyboards every moment as we type, this very technique should be performed automatically and quickly by observing dominant formations of candlestick bars. As a matter of fact, comprehending market trends and price actions only by referring to the candlesticks is yet too spurious. It should be used in such a way to weight on certain scenarios in a macroscopic view, rather than deriving precise and specific PRZ(Potential Reversal Zone)s and distinguish the accurate market trend. It’s never like ‘The price must go up because this pattern just appeared’. Furthermore, I strongly believe that the reliability of the candlestick pattern strategy is declining especially in recent financial market, where we encounter countless non-traditional and abnormal situations that were not very common in the past. Hence among the existing ‘Textbook’ candlestick pattern strategies that can easily be found on Google, there are particular patterns that are still very reliable on current market and there are ones that are not as reliable as it used to be. So here, I will organize everything very clearly for you guys. The technical chart is well known as sort of a map tracing the mob-psychology of all the stakeholders in the market. Investors’ sentiments such as FUD(Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) and FOMO(Fear of Missing Out) that often cause panic buy/sell are visualized as data. Those with a clear understanding of the fundamental nature of how candlesticks are being formed, don’t even need to memorize these patterns one by one. As I emphasized at my previous post, candlesticks should be interpreted as a whole structure, unlike the line chart expressed in one-dimensional. Candlesticks are newly formed in each time interval and we can choose the timeframe for the chart that we are about to analyze. For instance, each candlestick in a daily chart is formed every day while each candlestick in a 5minute chart is formed every 5 minutes. Higher the timeframe of the chart is, longer-term the scope within the chart is. It is important as a TA analyst to start from macro-perspective with higher timeframe first, then go deeper to lower timeframe and find short-term factors. There are four independent prices composing a candlestick: open, high, low and close price. Open price indicates the starting point while close price indicates the ending point of a candlestick. Just like the wording, high/low prices are formed at the highest/lowest price during the time period of candlestick being formed. A bullish candlestick is when the closing price is above the opening price (i.e., when the price rises), while a bearish candle is when the closing price is below the opening price (i.e., when the price is falling), and the two are expressed in different colors (green & red or red & blue). The thick part between the opening and closing price is called the ‘Body’, and the thin part is called the ‘Tail’ (Wick or Shadow). Typically, the length of the body implies the strength of an ongoing trend. We learned from the textbook that the candlesticks with a longer body means stronger trend and those with shorter tails mean clearer trend. Back in the days, there was time when we could detect if whales are involved and deduct impulsiveness of ongoing trend when distinctly long bodied candlesticks with relatively high trading volumes take places. I am afraid to tell you that it is better to erase that memory. First of all, it is too obvious and cliché to announce that the long candlesticks with high volumes mean strong market trend. This criterion itself is quite vague and not 100% reliable to identify future trends or find insightful signals. Moreover, in recent days (especially in Crypto), whales like to deceive retail traders with a strong faith of trading volumes and since the future markets are becoming bigger, giving too much weight on trading volume paired to each candlestick is not as effective as it was when textbook used to work very well. I am not saying textbook is wrong. It just needs slight updates since the market we are dealing with keeps changing over time. In TA world, closing price of a candlestick carries a great meaning and thus closing prices at higher timeframes should very well be monitored to become a successful trader. Sometimes whales even battle aggressively right before a major closing time often causing a weird ‘scam’ moves with a high volume. As shown below, we usually find the price and time when certain TA variables (such as top/bottom of trendline, channels, pivot levels, and other indicators) are broken, meaning if the price has penetrated those variables successfully, in order to find breakout entries, stoplosses, and target prices, etc. This whole concept of breaking above or below is quite vague, subjective, and relative idea. So, what we traders refer to as a reliable criterion is confirming whether the candle closed above and below the factors. For instance, let’s say that we are seeking and waiting for the breakout of the downward trendline. Well sometimes it’s not as easy as expected to precisely spot and determine whether the price has successfully pierced through the trendline. There are times when price breaks the trendline, but ends up coming back below leading close price of the candlestick to be formed below the trendline like the case 2 below. In this very case, it’s difficult to determine whether the breakout happened successfully or not. Nevertheless, like case 3, when both closing and high prices are formed above the trendline, we can clearly confirm and weight more on the breakout scenario, expecting more bullish rally. Okay let's get to the point. In recent financial trading market, it's enough to know just these three. 1. Engulfing 2. Doji 3. Long Tailed Candlestick As mentioned above, there’s nothing hard if you understand the essential concepts and principles of the above patterns and phenomena. The engulfing candlestick is a phenomenon in which the body of the previous candle is consumed by the body of the next candle, that is, a larger body than the previous one comes out. In other words, if a new bullish candle closes higher than the previous open price or if a new bearish candle closes lower than the previous open price, we say ‘the new candlestick engulfed the previous one’. If we look closely, this pattern implies the circumstance where the new candle completely overwhelms the trend of the previous candle and reverses it into a new trend despite closing the price from above or below. However, the appearance of an engulfing candle does not mean that the trend is unconditionally reversed. It is often the case that engulfing candles take place consecutively, with the second candle taking over the body of the first candle, the third’s taking over the second’s, the fourth’s taking over the third’s and so on. As the price fluctuates up and down, it creates a Widening or Broadening pattern also known as expanding sort of shapes, making it difficult for traders to figure out the current trend. In this circumstance, the entry prices, stop loss prices, target prices, or average prices of many participants in the market tend to be located relatively nearby. This price range or region is called a HVP(High Volume Profile or Peak) or an Orderblock and I will cover details about this concept later on another post. Anyway, there are numerous methods to derive Orderblock and one of them is to spot bodies of the consecutive engulfing candlesticks. The tail(wick) of a candlestick can be interpreted as a sign of the fierce battle between the bulls are bears. Longer tail signifies bigger collision between buying and selling forces. The longer the upper tail, the more the bulls trying to raise the price up but the bears rejecting them eventually sellers ending up being dominant and vice versa for the longer the lower tail. Generally, when the long upper/lower tails are formed at a relative higher/lower part of the wave structure or at a distinctive pullback as a PRZ this can be a possible signal of trend reversal. Due to my personal trading experience, it doesn't matter much in recent TA market whether the long-tailed candlestick is a bullish or bearish. In other words, regardless of the color of Hammer or Shooting star (which are both long-tailed candlestick pattern), it’s better to check if the next following candlesticks are being formed opposite direction of the tail. Personally, I don't think the Inverted Hammer and Hanging Man are not as necessary as it used to be in the old days. When the length of the candlestick’s body is relatively short meaning if the open and close prices are very close, forming a cross like shape, it’s called a Doji. Since Doji has a short body, the upper and lower tails tend to come out longer and thus can be considered as evidence of a tense confrontation between the bulls and bears that eventually ends up reaching a balance. Similar to the long-tailed candlestick, Doji is also known as a sign of a PRZ depending on the next appearing candlesticks. When Dojis are observed after swing high or low, it can be a possible indicator that the on-going trend is overheated and you might want to anticipate some pullbacks. However, it is too risky to directly assume that the top or bottom is near just because of Doji. Especially in the market these days, Dojis also appear frequently in sideways and sometimes confuses traders searching for a clear trend. As emphasized above, as with other technical techniques, theories, and indicators, always remember to weight more to the emergence of patterns in higher timeframes and longer-term perspectives. The higher timeframe people globally refer to, the more the reliability the TA will be. Just think about it for a second. Which timeframe do you think that people consider more significantly about the closing price, a 5 minutes chart or a daily chart? I would obviously say that the price signals from the daily cart is relatively more representative and reflect longer-term than those of the 5 minutes chart. Keep in mind is that you also need to understand market trends from a macro perspective before approaching towards short-term perspective. It is always recommended to recognize long-term trends or situations in advance from the candlestick of a higher timeframe, and then look at more detailed and microscopic elements step by step. All right. I will wrap up now. Thanks for reading my post. Your subscriptions, likes, and comments are a huge inspiration for me to write more posts!
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PEducation
by Tommy_Trader
20
Let's talk about Candlestick Chart PatternsThe candlestick chart patterns are used by traders to set up their trades, and predicting the future direction of the price movements. There are many candlestick chart patterns. I will be discussing a few of those. ✅ Morning Star is formed after a downtrend indicating a bullish reversal. Generally made of 3 candlesticks, first being a bearish candle, second a Doji, and third being a bullish candle. The first candle shows the continuation of the downtrend, the second being a Doji shows indecision in the market and the third bullish candle shows that bulls are back in action. ✅ Bullish Hammer is a single candlestick pattern, which is formed at the end of the downtrend and shows bullish reversal. The real body of this candle is small with a long lower wick which should be more than twice the real body. This candle is formed when the seller pushes the price downwards but at the same time buyers arrive and push the prices up. ✅ Bullish Engulfing is formed after a downtrend, indicating a bullish reversal. It is formed when a bearish candle is fully engulfed by a bullish candle which shows that the bulls are back in the market. ✅ Three White Soldiers is a multiple candlestick pattern that is formed after a downtrend indicating a bullish reversal. It is formed when three consecutive bullish candles appear one after the other. These three candles show a strong bullish trend. ✅ Hanging Man is generally formed at the end of an uptrend and signals bearish reversal. The real body of this candle is small and is located at the top with a lower shadow which should be more than twice the real body. This candlestick pattern has no or little upper shadow. ✅ Dark Cloud Cover is formed by two candles, the first candle being a bullish candle which indicates the continuation of the uptrend. The second candle is a bearish candle that opens the gap up but closes more than 50% of the real body of the previous candle which shows that the bears are back in the market and a bearish reversal is going to take place. ✅ Bearish Engulfing is formed by two candles, after an uptrend indicating a bearish reversal. It is formed by two candles, the second candlestick engulfing the first candlestick. The first candle being a bullish candle indicates the continuation of the uptrend. The second candlestick chart is a long bearish candle that completely engulfs the first candle and shows that the bears are back in the market. ✅ Evening Star is made of 3 candlesticks, first being a bullish candle, second a Doji, and third being a bearish candle. The first candle shows the continuation of the uptrend, the second candle being a doji indicates indecision in the market, and the third bearish candle shows that the bears are back in the market and reversal is going to take place. Thanks for reading and hope you like it. Please comment and let us know your thoughts on it. Happy Trading
Education
by Tuned_Official
Past history candlestick analysis for Hartalega On March 8, 2018, an Inverted Hammer + Bullish Engulfing appeared, signifying a change to the down trend. This is further confirmed by the support line in blue. Stock rallied for roughly a month plus until April 12, where a Hanging Man appeared (Note the Hanging Man is not as potent as a Shooting Star, but it still gives the signal that the bullish trend is coming to an end). The trend then start to change. Stock goes downwards and tumbled, until a bullish engulfing pattern emerges on April 25 - 26. Interestingly, this happened 3 times! Triple bullish engulfing pattern! This also serves as a support line, which supported the price level on June 28 - 29. Stock rallied up and hit a bearish Harami pattern on June 11 - 12, signalling that bull has lost it's momentum. Stock drops and hit the support line where a bullish engulfing pattern appears, and then goes upwards until it hits a Doji on July 2. Market comes to a neutral tone and market is unsure to go up or go down.. in the end it goes downwards. Price could go further down until it hits the support line and change upwards, depending on the candlestick formation at that time. If it goes down it would hit the second support line formed by the inverted hammer. Notice the MACD histogram is showing an upward trend, signifying an uptrend of price.
MYX:HARTAEducation
by antaeusguy
My latest Short Term Sell Trade Explained #forex In response for your requests guys to explain the rational behind the live trade we took on GBPCHF. Here is the explanation. On the left hand side daily chart, the price started the bearish behavior on the 78.6 retracement level for the overall bearish wave as shown on chart. As it formed two major bearish shooting star candles. That was not enough for me to initiate the trade so i moved to the lower time frame(4-hour) for the final confirmation. The price has indeed broken back below the prior high at 1.2868 and below the hanging man candle. That was accompanied by bearish divergence on RSI and that assured that the trade is a high probability one. If you were following my updates on the channel, you would know that i put a limit short order as shown on chart. The targets was just reached minutes ago for 157 pips gain. Adding to my account 4.37% gain this month. Best of luck and keep posted.
Education
by Technician
121
An example of how to spot a good trade #forexFriends, I haven't had time to post any of my trades in recent days. So i thought i would post some of the trades I took recently. I know this is after fact, but the aim is just to share the knowledge and experience. I made 4 trades, 3 winners and one loser. I will post them throughout the week as i am taking a small rest from markets during the election week. This is an example of finding areas of interest on the daily chart then moving to the lower time frame for the trigger. On the left hand side daily chart, by the end of october the price was testing a a key area where the long term falling trend line meets the 200-days simple moving average. At that stage, i was monitoring the pair for signs of a bearish reversal to confirm a rejection of that resistance area, especially that the daily RSI was showing a bearish divergence as well. I moved to the four-hour chart awaiting the trigger. In this particular case, the trigger was a three drive pattern that evolved and completed at 80.54. The price was making new highs but the RSI wasn't yet signalling a divergence on the four-hour chart as well. Afterwards, the price formed a small hanging man candle on the four-hour chart, and accordingly and due to all these signals it was a setup that was worth taking. I initiated a short at the opening of the candle following the hanging man. My target was at the first major daily support level. My stop was above the 1.618 extension for the latest bearish wave(x-y) as shown on chart. That resulted in a 2.7 risk to reward. I hope this example will help you think and spot better trades in the future My best regards, Technician
Education
by Technician
23