Creating Your Trading Strategy: Simple Steps and Common PitfallsWhen it comes to using technical analysis for making trading decisions, a solid, simple, yet robust trading strategy is an essential foundation for traders to achieve consistent profits. However, constructing that strategy can be a challenge, especially for those new to trading, as there is an overwhelming amount of information out there. There are nearly countless books written on the subject of trading strategies. We want to simplify the process so that you can develop your own approach and get started.
Step 1: Determine your market, timeframe, and trading methodology
The overall first step in constructing a trading strategy is to determine: the market, trading methodology, and time frames you wish to take on. This will help you choose the appropriate indicators and approach to your trades.
There are several markets to choose from, but it is highly recommended that you pick one when you first start trading. It is easy to look at all of the opportunities present in the market and potentially overplay your hand by trading too many, which can lead to devastating losses. As an example, if you wanted to scalp the forex market, it would be best to pick one or two currency pairs to trade rather than trying to monitor all major currency pairs for opportunities.
Defining your trading methodology is another aspect of this step. Are you intending to hold stock or ETFs long-term? Do you want to swing trade or day trade cryptocurrencies? Maybe you believe you want to scalp the forex market. Doing your own research into these varying methodologies is a paramount step in formulating your strategy. Research all of them to better understand what they are and how they may fit your overall goals and risk tolerance.
Your trading style can help determine what overall time frames you are looking at. A long-term holder will typically rely on higher time frames such as the daily or weekly timeframe. While a trader who predominantly scalps may rely more heavily on the 1-minute or 5-minute timeframes. Choosing the appropriate time frames and sticking with them for your trading decisions will help you achieve discipline and consistency.
Step 2: Choose your indicators
When choosing indicators for your trading strategy, it is important to know that there are several broad indicator categories to choose from. Included in these categories are: trend-following indicators, momentum indicators, volatility indicators, and volume indicators. Trend-following indicators help traders identify the direction of the trend, while momentum indicators measure the overall strength of a trend. Volatility indicators help traders identify the level of price volatility in the market, and volume indicators measure the amount of trading activity taking place. Traders commonly pick a combination of these to be included in their strategy to help give a clearer overall picture of the potential market direction.
It is crucial to keep your strategy simple, so we recommend using 2-4 indicators at most. Choosing the right indicator combinations can be difficult, but is crucial to the success of your trading strategy.
While it may be tempting to use multiple indicators in the hope of finding the perfect combination, having too many indicators can do more harm than good. When you have too many indicators, it becomes difficult to make clear decisions. You may end up with conflicting signals that can cause confusion and lead to losses or missed opportunities.
It's important to choose only a few indicators that complement each other and provide valuable information about the market conditions. This will allow you to make more informed decisions and stick to your trading plan with greater confidence.
Step 3: Define your entry and exit rules
Once you have chosen your indicators, the next step is to define your entry and exit rules. This will help you determine when to open and close trades. For entries, you are taking the signals generated by the indicators you have chosen in step two and making a clear and definable set of rules for entering a trade. There can be other factors, such as market structure that play a role, but from an indicator standpoint, it is good to make these rules easy to follow.
Your chosen technical indicators can also be used to exit trades. For example, traders may incorporate moving averages into their strategies, and moving averages can be used for both entries and exits. Other exit conditions include having hard set take profit or stop losses. We covered this topic in our stop loss article a few weeks back (and we highly recommend you check it out). No matter how you decide to make your entry and exit rules, please ensure you implement proper risk mitigation techniques to protect your account, and in turn, help you grow.
Step 4: Backtest your strategy and practice, practice, practice
Before putting your strategy into action it is essential to backtest it using historical data. This will help you determine if your strategy is profitable and identify any areas that need improvement. Note that while backtesting is an important part of determining if your strategy is successful, past results are not indicative of future success.
Another aspect of this step is putting your strategy into practice. We never recommend diving straight into the deep end with your money before practicing. There are many free demo account options out there to get started. It is recommended that you find one that fits your needs based on the market you will be trading. The key part of this step is patience and carrying over that patience for when you are ready to go live with your strategy.
Common pitfalls to avoid:
When constructing a trading strategy, it is important to avoid common pitfalls that can lead to losses or missed trading opportunities. Some common pitfalls include:
Overcomplicating your strategy: Using too many indicators or rules can make your strategy overly complex and difficult to follow.
Failing to backtest and practice: Backtesting is essential to ensure your strategy is profitable and identify areas that need improvement.
Ignoring risk management: Proper risk management is essential to minimize losses and maximize profits.
Losing patience and jumping right in: It is easy for anyone to find a hot new indicator they believe is their edge in the market and to subsequently jump right into trading. Don’t fall into this trap as the outcome is seldom good! Take your time and become a student of the market you are trading, and a student of your strategy
In conclusion, constructing a robust yet simple trading strategy using indicators requires careful consideration of your market and timeframe, choosing the appropriate indicators defining your entry and exit rules, and backtesting your strategy. There are other aspects of technical analysis that could be tied in between the steps listed above such as market structure and patterns. However, the goal of this article was to make the process as simple as possible to help traders get on the right path. By avoiding common pitfalls such as overcomplicating your strategy, failing to backtest, ignoring risk management, and chasing after losses, traders can increase their chances of success in the markets.
Longtermtrading
GOLD : Benefits of Investing in GoldOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been an inconsistent inflation hedge, but there may still be benefits to holding a small amount of the yellow metal in your portfolio. Gold has historically had a low or even negative correlation to both stocks and bonds, suggesting it offers value as a tool of diversification.
Gold prices held up pretty well during the Covid-19 pandemic market sell-off in early 2020, for example. From Feb. 1 to April 1 in 2020, the S&P 500 declined 23% while the price of gold dropped less than 0.1%.
Demand for gold from investors, central banks, jewelers and tech companies is also growing. According to the World Gold Council, global gold demand increased 12% year over year to 2.189 tons in the first half of 2022.
Depending on your individual goals, there are several easy ways to invest in gold. Investors can buy gold bullion, physical bars or coins that can be kept in a safe or bank.
You can also buy physical gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that hold gold bullion on investors’ behalf. The most popular gold ETF is SPDR Gold Shares (GLD).
Investors looking to speculate in the gold market can trade gold futures contracts. These contracts provide significant leverage, allowing investors to control large quantities of gold with a relatively small amount of money.
Finally, investors can buy shares of individual gold stocks or a gold mining ETF. The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) holds a diversified basket of 54 gold-related stocks, including Newmont Corp. (NEM), Barrick Gold Corp. (GOLD) and Franco-Nevada Corp. (FNV).
Conclusion : GOLD IS SAFE HEAVEN TO INVEST IN IT .
Benefits of Long Term Investment
📊 Benefits of Long Term Investment 📊
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Reduces Transaction Fees (Cost)
Every time you invest, there is a transaction fee incurred. If you invest for a long-term and avoid repeated investments, you save multiple fees.
Tax Benefits (Tax)
Long-term investments are taxed at rates lower than your income tax bracket.
Stability (⚖)
Long-term investments exhibit lower volatility compared to short-term investments.
Best Saving Option (🧰)
Long-term investments serve as a good savings option for post-retirement, future home, or college, education, etc.
Compounding (📈)
Long-term investments grow at a compound rate of interest. Hence, the gain in this type of interest is substantial.
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➕ Long-term trading ➖😍Hello, again😍
👌🏻Today we are completing trading methods!!! 👌🏻
👉🏻The last method, that traders are actively using is long-term trading.👈🏻
So, let's go ...💪🏻
📌“Buy and Hold” - this principle is most suitable for the logic of a long-term investor.
😏 There is even a curious joke:
A daughter👧🏻 comes to her dad👨🏻, a long-term investor, and asks for money🤑:
👧🏻 - Dad, give me $ 100, I want to go to the disco with my friends.
👨🏻 - No, sorry, sweetheart. Now all my money’s in stocks.
👧🏻 - When you’ll sell them?
👨🏻 – Never!
👍🏻 Advantages of long – time trading:
➕Less stress: no need to constantly monitor the stock market.
➕Save time: you can devote the time saved from constantly following the market to other productive activities
➕Less hassle: you don’t need to learn different trading strategies or platforms.
➕Long-term trade helps to save on taxes. It is possible that while short-term traders can pay about 20% -30% of capital gains tax, long-term capital gains will be taxed at only 5% -15%.
👎🏻 Disadvantages of long – term trading:
➖Investments: long-term trading requires you to have free capital. And it should be free for many years. You must be prepared that a certain part of your capital will be blocked in one share, and you cann't use it to receive benefits from short-term trade.
➖Deep knowledge. Long-term trading requires an understanding of the assets you are investing in. You cannot just make decisions based on certain news, advice or rumors. It is also not enough to rely only on charts or indicator signals for buying or selling. You need to be a specialist in fundamental analysis - both of a single company and of the global economy.
➖Long-term trading requires a lot of patience. Failure to remain calm will create problems for the investor in the long run.
➖Age limits. You must have a life horizon in order to take advantage of the investment.
👉🏻Guys, especially beginners, I really hope, that with the help of my posts, you have definitely chosen the trading method for yourself or just learn something new.🙏🏻
🌟I tried to describe the main trading methods as clearly as possible.🌟
👍🏻Support me with like, I’ll prepare for you many more interesting training posts soon!💋
💙Stay with me💛
YOUR Rocket Bomb🚀💣
👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻PS Below I’ll leave links to all posts, that relate to trading methods👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻
Is This a Coincidence?Bitcoin, if you still remember my yesterday's post about bitcoin, this is once again coming through and yesterday's candle has the alignment with our yesterday's analysis. The price is coming very close with the golden pocket zone around the $7000 region. And I really think the dead cat bounce will occur at this area when the price reach the current support level. But, the REAL key support will be around the 78.6 fib retracement levels which is becoming the last fibonacci levels of confluence.
Looking at the 78.6 fib level, which is becoming the key support, we must see and extend the price action that occur at this rate of support. we have known that the price is having confluence with the previous key and critical bounce in the market.
It has the confluence with the broken resistance on October 2017 and with the broken support at November 2018. Just like what we know, the first resistance is the first time the price start the up trend rally on 2017 and the second confluence, is the first time the levels confirm the down trend back at 2018.
Is that a coincidence? There is no way such as coincidence in the market. If we see this from the psychological factor, Current period will be a good period for bitcoin to show the world and the stakeholders that bitcoin is worth to be aligned with another safe haven instrument. Beside, the adoption that happen recently, this will be a good consolidation phase for bitcoin. I don't see current potential down trend as the "real" down trend, I see it more like a good consolidation during the huge up trend upcoming.
I don't care if the price may touch the $6000, $5000 or even $2000. As long as it has the adoption of the blockchain, I will keep doing the dollar cost averaging. Because Blockchain will become the future of all financial aspects in this world.
Xrp/Btc Matters More, To Trade Xrp against any market.Comparing this chart Xrp/usd to Xrp/btc the Xrp/btc pair Xrp is retracing back to its all-time lows, so I will not be expecting and major surges on the Xrp/usd pair not unless there is a change in fundamentals and momentum on the Xrp/btc pair. Against the dollar (Usd) or tether (usdt) Xrp did hit its all-time high, according to my opinion we will have another ath, that is if the price of bitcoin will be above $20,000 and Xrp will be above 22048 satoshi against bitcoin.
Xrp Entry points - $0.16 – 0.457
Xrp Exit point – exit when Xrp hits 16022-2204 8 satoshi against bitcoin.
Price Action Lesson 4: Weak hammerWeak hammer:
For having successful and steady transactions, Simple detection of market patterns is not enough. But with a deeper look, we should calculate the success possibility of each pattern. One of the determining power Parameters of hammer stick is about Descending or ascending that the body can be. Thus, if the body of hammer is ascending, Possibility of starting an ascendant wave is very high.
The opening price of the day, is very important. This price - is the previous day's closing price, in fact it is the price that they had a war at in previous day where buyers and sellers come to equilibrium. So on the day that the Hammer is forming. If buyers can raise prices to the point of closing price of yesterday, and by the end of the day, they keep the price at the top of it, they will be the winners of the war. If we can raise the price above yesterday's closing price, they are not conclusive winners of today’s war, and this war will continue for the next few days.
Thus, if the body of hammer is ascending, Possibility of the beginning Ascending wave is very high. But if the body of hammer is Descending, Possibility of the beginning Ascending wave is less. In this case, it is said a weak hammer has made.
- The picture shows a hammer candlestick with descending body.
. As what can be seen, candle’s height is tall, but it has very short body height. Also Lower Shadow is long, and the upper shadow is very short.
. As regards the Closing Price of market is under its Opening Price, therefore the body of this hammer is Descending, and the power is very low. Possibility of the beginning ascending wave is less.
Price Action Lesson 3: Hammer, The first sign of beginning ...Hammer, The first sign of the beginning Ascending wave:
Hammer shows that the war between buyers and sellers, at the beginning of the day sellers could create significant reduction in price, with their high investments. But when the price had come to the lowest extent of it, many of buyers have entered with more investments than sellers. And again they could increase the price close to what it was at the beginning of the day or may even more. And at the war that was between buyers and sellers, the buyers have been the winners of the day, and the market is largely in control of them. Thus, the possibility of further price increases in the coming days is enormous.
example: picture Shows, currency pair of EUR/USD -0.31% in a 30 minutes time frame.
At the beginning, by increasing investments of sellers, the price became to 1.16886 But in this range with the arrival of large buyers to the market and overcome to turnover of shopping on sales transactions, the price increased again. Sellers could increase the selling price due to the amount of demand from buyers. The starting price is may be at 1.17495 but it increased by the end of the day to 1.17578.
As what can be seen, after forming Hammer , an Ascending wave started and the Price have increased more.
Price Action Lesson 2: Conditions of a Perfect Hammer Conditions of a Perfect Hammer:
. Body height must be short.
. The total height of the candle must be taller than the Daily ATR-264. The taller the candle is, the stronger the Hammer is.
. The lower shadow’s length should be very tall. It is better to be over 75 percent of the Daily ATR-264.
. The upper shadow does not exist, or if it does, it is very small. It shouldn't be more than 25 percent of the Daily ATR-264.
. The hammer that has an ascending body is stronger than the one which has a descending body.
Hammer Candlestick Pattern DefinitionHammer Candle Stick Definition
If there was a large drop in price in the middle of the day, but before the day ended it increased to what it was at the beginning of the day and even more, a significant upward return occurred. The candlestick of this change (move) will be a Hammer in a daily time frame. A Hammer formation on the daily time frame is a very strong indication for probability of increasing price in next days.
Example: The picture shows currency pair of EUR/USD in a 30 minute time frame. On Ausust 09, 2017 the price significantly decreased from 1.17495 to 1.16886 or even lower. But after that, it increased rapidly at the end of the day to 1.17578 and then closed.
Also in this picture - for better understanding - the Hammer Candlestick in the daily time frame - in the result of changes in a day - is drawn.