The Basic Of Charting #2 - Moving AveragesWelcome to the Basic Of Trading & Charting series on TradingView. I'm Ares, a crypto-head with plenty of experience in the market. I've made a lot of mistakes at the beginning of my trading career & with my videos, I want to help you avoid these failures. If you have any questions, feel free to leave a comment.
See you in the next one :)
Of
The Basics Of Charting #1 - Secondary TrendsWelcome to the Basic Of Trading & Charting series on TradingView. I'm Ares, a crypto-head with plenty of experience in the market. I've made a lot of mistakes at the beginning of my trading career & with my videos, I want to help you avoid these failures. If you have any questions, feel free to leave a comment.
See you in the next one :)
📌✅ETH Big deal (POW>>POS)! +( Mine-able Alternative coins🚀 )We are on the verge of a BIG Merge, There are almost 3 days left until this important event for Ethereum!
Ethereum is expected to transition to a proof-of-stake (PoS) mechanism and is considered one of the most significant upgrades in the history of the crypto market so far.
-The Ethereum Merge could force many crypto miners to give up! DO they abandon their expensive mining rigs amid a race to the bottom for profits. Or it forces them to think of migrating to the current alternatives of proof of work of Ethereum!
-If we visit the whattomine , we will see that some coins can be used as an alternative to Ethereum for mining.
But we have to accept the fact that alternative coins are no longer as efficient as Ethereum for mining!
-Although, considering their mine potential, most of them had a significant growth in the last few weeks
And it may continue for some time. But let's consider this point
"As GPU miners point their hardware at other chains their difficulty will increase causing lower returns and splitting the reward among more miners".
-thus increasing mining difficulty will "swamp" these coins — and substantially reducing profitability and price in the long term!
So although "There will always be GPUs mining some GPU optimized chains, but I doubt we will return to the levels of revenue seen in ETH proof-of-work at its peak ever again.
>>>But with the research I have done, I think the following coins can be suitable options to replace Ethereum mining, and if some of them have grown a lot recently, we will probably see some of them grow more in the short or medium term! these are Most Profitable Coins to Mine!
SO check them out :
-Neoxa(NEOX)
#1
#2https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETCUSDT/HAQnQtvz-ETC-USDT-analysis/
#3
#4
#5
#6https://www.tradingview.com/chart/FIROUSDT/fWWrQhX5-FIRO-USDT-analysis/
This article is for informational proposes only . not a financial or legal advice !
Wyckoff Anatomy of a Trading RangeRichard Demille Wyckoff (1873–1934) was an early 20th-century pioneer in the technical approach to studying the stock market. He is considered one of the five “titans” of technical analysis, along with Dow, Gann, Elliott and Merrill.
Analyses of Trading Ranges
One objective of the Wyckoff method is to improve market timing when establishing a position in anticipation of a coming move where a favorable reward/risk ratio exists.
Trading ranges (TRs) are places where the previous trend (up or down) has been halted and there is relative equilibrium between supply and demand. Institutions and other large professional interests prepare for their next bull (or bear) campaign as they accumulate (or distribute) shares within the TR. In both accumulation and distribution TRs, the Composite Man is actively buying and selling - the difference being that, in accumulation, the shares purchased outnumber those sold while, in distribution, the opposite is true. The extent of accumulation or distribution determines the cause that unfolds in the subsequent move out of the TR.
PS—preliminary support , where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
SC—selling climax , the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
AR—automatic rally , which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR.
ST—secondary test , in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC.
Note: Springs or shakeouts usually occur late within a TR and allow the coin or stock’s dominant players to make a definitive test of available supply before a markup campaign unfolds. A “spring” takes price below the low of the TR and then reverses to close within the TR; this action allows large interests to mislead the public about the future trend direction and to acquire additional shares at bargain prices. A terminal shakeout at the end of an accumulation TR is like a spring on steroids. Shakeouts may also occur once a price advance has started, with rapid downward movement intended to induce retail traders and investors in long positions to sell their shares to large operators. However, springs and terminal shakeouts are not required elements.
Test —Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume.
SOS—sign of strength , a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action.
LPS—last point of support , the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term.
BU—“back-up” . This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “ back up to the creek ” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
Super set of oscillators by Thomas DeMark!Dear friends!
I continue describing oscillators developed by Thomas DeMark.
In my previous articles, I have already explained such tools as
TD REI and TD POQ (look here ).
In this post I’ll continue describing technical tools developed by Thomas DeMark.
TD DeMarker I
I’d like to start with the TD DeMarker I indicator. It is similar to TD REI and aims to distinguish between trend and non-trend movements in the market, and then, having determined the trend, it searches for reversal points depending on how the indicator reacts to oversold and overbought levels.
Its calculation technique is very simple. TD DeMarker I compares the current and the previous trading day’s highs according to the following algorithm:
1. Calculate the TD DeMarker I numerator
• If the current bar’s high is higher or equal to the previous bar’s high, the difference is calculated and added to the numerator.
• If the current bar’s high is lower than the previous day’s high, then zero value is assigned to that bar. Next values of the difference between the highs for each bar are added to the numerator over a series of 13 consecutive bars.
• If the current bar’s low is equal or less than the previous price bar’s low, then the difference between the previous day’s low and the current low are the numerator.
• If the low of the current bar’s is greater, a zero value is assigned to the nominator at this bar. The next values of the difference between the lows for each bar are added to the numerator over 13 consecutive bars.
2. Calculate the denominator of TD DeMarker I equation
• You add the value in the denominator to the sum of the differences between the lows in the same period.
3. Calculate TD DeMarker I = divide the numerator by the denominator.
• As a result, we get a value that will move in the range from zero to 100 in the form of a fluctuating 13-period line. At the same time, the overbought zone will be above 60, and the oversold zone will be below 40.
Now, let’s find out how this indicator’s signals are interpreted
A buy signal should satisfy the following conditions:
1. DeMarker I must not be below 40 for more than 13 bars
2. The bar’s close at the signal level should be lower than the low of one or two bars ago
3. The bar’s close at the signal level must be lower than the previous bar’s open or close.
4. The open of the next bar following the assumed reversal bar must be less than or equal to the close of any of the two previous bars.
5. The asset must be trading higher than at least one of the two previous closes.
As an example, I’ll take the BTCUSD market situation that has recently occurred. It is clear from the above chart that the BTCUSD was in the overbought zone (above 60) from the start till the end of May. Afterwards, the price rolled down below 40 and the indicator entered the oversold zone.
Immediately after that, we look for a point where the bar features the low before price exits the oversold zone.
Finally, when the price went beyond the oversold zone on June 13, we can easily identify the low in the period when the ticker had been below 40, according to TD DeMarker I.
Now, we can analyze the continuation pattern based on the above conditions.
1. The DeMarker I indicator was below the level of 40 for not more than 13 bars - in our case it was only 5 days;
2. The bar’s close under the red arrow is lower than the previous bar’s low (blue dots are above than the red dotted line).
3. The close of the bar below the arrow is lower than the previous bar’s open and close (blue dots are far lower than the previous bar).
4. The next bar’s open following the reversal bar is equal to the previous bar’s close (there are no gaps).
5. The asset is trading higher than the previous bars’ close levels. Furthermore, when the indicator exited the overbought zone, the price had been already trading above all the previous bars’ close levels.
Therefore, one could have safely entered a buy trade at the current level when the new bar of June 14 opened (I marked it with a red cross in the chart).
As we already know, this signal reached the target and provided the opportunity to gain on the BTCUSD movement up to the high at 14 000 USD.
I should note that when a buy signal is not confirmed, that is, the five conditions above are not met, there is still a signal, but it is a sell signal. Although such a sell signal cannot be as strong, it can be a confirmation for bearish signals of other indicators.
There is a good example in the chart above. It displays bitcoin’s all-time high at 20 000 USD.
After the DeMarker I had been in the overbought zone for quite a long time, it moved into the oversold zone, and so, we start counting and see how long the price will be in this zone.
Finally, there is the following situation:
1. DeMarker I was not below the level of 40 for more than 13 bars, in this case it was 12. So, this condition is satisfied.
2. The close of the bar under the red arrow is lower than the previous bar’s low (blue dotetd line is below the red dotted line). This condition is also satisfied
3. The close of the bar under the arrow is lower than the previous bar’s open and close. This condition is also met.
4. The open of the bar following the reversal bar is equal the close of the previous bar (there are no gaps). This condition also confirms the bullish scenario.
5. The asset is trading above the previous close levels. This condition is not met.
It is clear from the above chart the bar following the oversold zone (marked with a red arrow) went down lower than the close levels of the previous two bars, and, moreover, it was trading below the close level of the two bars preceding the reversal bar.
Therefore, the last condition is not satisfied, and so, we have the reasons to assume that there is a real reversal of the bullish trend.
Now, let us study the sell signals.
The following conditions must be met:
1. A sell signal should meet the following conditions:
2. The indicator must be above level 60 for at least six bars.
3. The signal bar’s close must be above the previous bar’s open and close.
4. The open of the bar following the signal must be equal or higher than the close of any of the two previous bars.
5. The asset must be trading below one of the previous close levels.
As soon as all these conditions are satisfied, it can be interpreted as a sell signal.
TD DeMarker II
The above chart presents an example of the Bitcoin bullish trend reversal in December 2017, after which there started a long-tern bearish trend. Let us analyze this situation as a bearish signal. When the bar marked with a red cross was forming, the DeMarker I indicator leaves the overbought zone and goes below level 60. Therefore, it is the case for looking for a sell signal within the zone, where the price was above level 60 (the zone is highlighted with green in the chart).
The red arrow highlights the bar that closed higher than the highs of the previous two bars, and so, higher than the previous bar’s open and close (in the chart, it is marked by the purple dotted line on December 17 that is above the green line). The next bar, following the one with the red arrow, also meet the condition and opens above the close of the second-last bar. Finally, there is the trend reversal signal and the opportunity to take the profit on December 20 (it is the bar marked with the red cross in the chart). However, this indicator, like other technical tools, may send false signals. To filter the entry signal, it is recommended to apply TD DeMarker II as a supplementary tool.
TD DeMarker II
Unlike the TD REI and TD DeMarker I, which compare the price highs and lows with those of one bar ago, TD DeMarker II analyzes a number of price ratios to measure the pressure of buyers and sellers.
Let us study the calculation formula of the TD DeMarker II.
Calculate the numerator:
1. Calculate the difference between the current bar’s high and the previous bar’s close.
2. Add the result to the difference between the current bar’s close and its low.
3. Distract the previous value from the current bar’s high
4. Sum up all the values. If there is negative result, assign a zero value to it.
Calculate the denominator:
1. Add the difference between the current bar’s low and the previous bar’s close to the numerator.
2. Add the result to the difference between the current bar’s high and its close (this value defines the selling pressure).
The buy and sell signals of this indicator work under the same conditions as for the TD DeMarker I, so, I won’t enumerate them again. I have already many times mentioned that, if multiple buy or sell signals are at the same place, the signal becomes much stronger. As it is clear from the above chart, a buy signal sent by the TD DeMarker II (green cross) matches to the one sent by the TD DeMarker I (red cross), which in combination confirms the sell signal and enhances it.
TD Pressure
DeMark suggests that the price action is directly affected by the supply/demand ratio. As the price change is often preceded by a change in trading volume, DeMark suggests measuring the speed of changing in the trading volume along with the speed of price changes. In addition, according to DeMark, these parameters are more important for the current bar, rather than for the complete bars. In general, these values determine the buying pressure on the market, which is calculated by subtracting the current bar’s open from the its close and dividing the result by the price range of this bar.
The result is multiplied by the trading volume of the current period and is added as a progressive total to the indicator value.
Finally, we have an indicator that shows buying pressure. For example, if the bar’s open is equal to its low, and the bar’s close is equal to its high, then the trading volume will be on side of buyers, and the indicator will display a strong rise of buying pressure. And vice versa, if the bar’s open and close coincide, even a greater trading volume won’t affect the indicator, as the market will be balanced, and the bulls’ power will be roughly equal to that of bears.
The indicator’s band moves from 0 to 100%, and the overbought and oversold zones, like for the indicators, described above, are the zones above 60 and below 40 respectively. The buy and sell signals sent by this indicator are interpreted in the same way as those sent by TD DeMarker I and II. Besides, this indicator is also a confirming one, and when it coincides with other signals, it confirms the indicated direction.
You see in the above chart that the signal sent by the TD pressure (yellow cross) matches to the signals sent by the DeMarker I and the DeMarker II (red and green crosses respectively), which means that the sell signal is true.
TD Rate of change (TD ROC)
TD ROC is an integral component of TD Alignment but can also be used in isolation as an overbought/oversold indicator.
It is thought to be quite simple and is determined by dividing the close of the current price bar by the close of twelve price bars earlier.
Although it is pretty simple, this indicator is quite efficient. According to Thomas DeMark, the bears’ zone is below 97.5. Bulls zone is above 102.5. Therefore, when the indicator is in a narrow band between 97.5 and 102.5 the market is in balance.
So, this indicator helps you identify the market sentiment at any moment.
But this is not its primary advantage. You can employ this indicator in technical analysis and draw the common patterns and trend lines. The chart above shows how a triangle worked out. A strong momentum, marked with a red arrow, draws the indicator beyond the triangle, which means that the market lost balance and started moving in the bullish trend.
Next, after the triangle was broken out and the bullish trend started, we build trend lines according to the common rules; in the bullish trend, the trend is outlined along the support line (red line), in the bearish trend -along the resistance lines (green line).
It is clear from the chart above that the breakout of these lines and entering the bear zone send a sell signal (red cross) in early July. Afterwards, we build the trend line along the resistance levels sand expect until the price breaks it through and enter bullish zone. Finally, in the mid-July, there is such a buy signal, marked with green cross in the chart.
Next, there is a strong growth in the bullish trend that is marked with the red trend line. The breakout of this line sends a signal to take profit, and entering bearish zone again signals the trend weakness.
As you see from the chart above, the indicator broke through the green trendline in late July but it hasn’t entered the bullish zone, and so, there has been no buy signal so far.
Another signal that really matters when using this indicator is the signal of convergence and divergence.
These signals are rarely sent by this indicator, but they are usually quite accurate, especially in long-term timeframes.
There is a clear divergence in the above chart. When the price is growing, the indicator is declining, which signals the trend exhaustion. In early July, the price couldn’t break through the previous high, thus confirming the direction of the indicator (marked with a circle).
Finally, as I have already said, the indicator went down below the trend line, which sends a strong sell signal; however, as you know, the bearish correction didn’t work out, so, for an accurate forecast, it important to employ all the DeMark's tolls together.
TD Alignment
Just for this purpose, to combine all the tools together, the TD Alignment indicator was developed.
TD Alignment is a composite indicator that combines the following five TD oscillators to measure buying and selling pressure:
1. TD DeMarker I
2. TD DeMarker II
3. TD Pressure
4. TD Rate of Change
5. TD Range expansion Index (this indicator is described here)
Each of these indicators has its own distinct method of measuring overbought/oversold conditions. TD Alignment is based on the values of all the above indicators according to the principle, where the final result is determined of the number of indicators in an oversold condition, overbought and equilibrium.
In addition, to calculate the TD Alignment, there were defined the following overbought/oversold zones:
Overbought/Oversold
1. TD DeMarker I - 60/40
2. TD DeMarker II - 60/40
3. TD Pressure - 82/12
4. TD Rate of Change - 101/99
5. TD Range expansion Index - 40/-40
Therefore, when the TD DeMarker enters the oversold zone, 1 is added to the total result. If the indicator enters the equilibrium zone, between 60 -40, a zero value is assigned, if it is below 40, 1 is subtracted from the total value.
Based on the same principle, all the indicators are calculated, and finally, there is the TD Alignment value that is moving between -5 and +5. -5 is reached when all the indicators are in the oversold zone, and +5 is associated with the case when all the indicators are in the overbought zone.
Unfortunately, I failed to find the TD Alignment in free access, so I had to write everything on my own. I must admit there may be errors in calculations, nonetheless, it performs quite well during testing. As you see, the main benefit of this indicator is showing the cases when the market reaches the extremes of the overbought/oversold zones.
In the above chart, I highlighted these levels from +4 to +5 and from -4 to -5.
When the indicator reaches this zone, it is obvious that the price will start correction soon and so you should take a corresponding decision on either taking profit or entering a trade. In addition, the indicator shows the market sentiment currently dominating; if it is above zero, bullish sentiment is dominating, if it is below zero, the market is bearish.
Buy or sell signal here must meet the same 5 conditions, described for TD DeMarker at the beginning of the article, the only difference is that you need to count the number if bars above or below zero.
Based on my own experience, I would add one more condition, the sixth one, to be met for entering a buy or a sell trade. A buy/sell signal is confirmed when the TD Alignment indicator breaks through zero level (red dots) only provided that the indicator hit the overbought/oversold zone before.
In the above chart, I tried to illustrate that, after the indicator hits green or red zone, i.e. overbought or oversold zone, the sixth condition is satisfied. So, when the indicator breaks through or rebounds from the zero level, there is a buy or a sell signal (according to the market sentiment, I marked the entry signals with green and red arrows). A red thumb down marks the levels where the market doesn’t reach the zones indicated above, and so, the condition is not met and the buy or sell signal is false; I marked false signal with the red crosses in the chart.
However, not everything is that perfect, because this indicator is rather sensitive and so, it sends quite many false signals. That is why, I do not recommend employing this indicator alone, rather, it should be used together with other DeMark's tools so that it will be more efficient.
I will describe other useful DeMark's indicators and explain how to apply them to BTCUSD trading in my next articles.
Subscribe not to miss the continuation!
I wish you good luck and good profits!
GODD XAUUSD How Gold Traders stay ahead with aid of DXY chartGold: XAUUSD 1.25% How DXY -0.25% is the gold 1.24% trader's best friend right now
So far gold 1.24% has behaved in the bear-mangling mode expected of it since the dollar broke
down below key support on DXY -0.25% at 94.26 (right hand chart) but it wasn't too smart to let
it go again at 1290. That rally on Friday was vicious for bears - the shape of price action
as gold 1.24% turned resistance at 1281 into support shows the market adjusting before gold 1.24%
powers 16 points north, a volte-face - which you would have been expecting if you've
been experienced enough, wise enough to run the two charts in tandem.
If you don't you're dealing with a blindfold over one eye...
The pin bars on the one hour chart here show strong rejection
at 1296.78 down to current levels at 1293 and a streak of
uncontested green...very rare for a space like that to remain
uncontested and it should flip back to 1288, and potentially to
1284 before it rallies again. On the other side of the street,
we can see that DXY -0.25% is flipping in a range beween 93.99 (the
high for the week was exactly 93.99 as forecast, giving a
precise point at which to sell gold 1.24% - with stops only triggered
in event that DXY -0.25% breaks above 94 and holds, in which case
DXY -0.25% is going up and Gold 1.24% is going back down. Just the best
duo/tandem trade there is in almost any market anywhere.
Use it or lose it. Probably the best companion
a gold 1.24% trader can ever have.
DXY: Dollar index 0.11%
Through all the noise of currency pairs and most commodity markets there
is a still, small, much neglected voice that can tell usually show you the
bigger picture/helicopter view of all that close combat fighting going
on below. Not always, but usually. DXY -0.25% , so far since the breakdown at
94.26, has been very helpful. It's flipping between 94 key resistance and
93.50 key near term support and this is what's causing such grief and
whipsaw in the price of gold 1.24% . Right now it's giving mixed near term signals...
believe it will break lower still eventually, but the chart is not confirming that
here....it's just double bottomed at 93.50...was Ok to bounce here for sure but
that was quite a big bounce - pins at top and botttom of move...just near
term a little confusing, at least to this writer anyway. But gold 1.24% is toppy -0.73% near
term and DXY -0.25% is showing a double bottom near term. If it can rally from here then it should push
back up to the 93.99 where it should meet profit takers. (Do same with gold 1.24% shorts
at that point). And only if DXY -0.25% can then manage to break above 94 and hold is
the tide turning back in favour of Dollar, at which point we look to short gold 1.24% again.
And on the other side, if at any point DXY -0.25% breaks 93.50 it enters a zone of uncertainty/whipsaw
between 93.50 and 93.35 where positions can sudddenly reverse - like quicksand
on a map this zone cannot be trusted - a zone to avoid if possible. However, if
at any point DXY -0.25% is driven below 93.5 for more than 2 hours it will become llikely that
support is eroding and it should start to fall away quite hard to 92.80-92.62 - and
thereby triggering aggressive gold 1.24% longs.