US 30 Short at 32 with SL 34.50We are doing Analysis of US30 on 1 Hour Timeframe.
The projected target from the breakout is usually the vertical distance from the high to the bottom .
Note: This is only for Educational Purpose this is not an Investment advice.
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Ankur Verma
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Sp500index
Made 45$/Hour With Scalping Indicator on SPY Live TradingIn this video, we went over the trades.
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S&P 500 😷 Coronavirus Panic Selling, but should you worry? 😱🚨PANIC SELLING of stocks due to Coronavirus...😷 in fear that earnings for top companies will drop as productivity comes to a halt. 😩
⚠️ Historically, the SARS outbreak did not cause the stock market to dump farther as we were in the tail end of the Recession.
Coronavirus appears to be coincidentally at the top of a market rally and is just a social trigger to inspire fear, uncertainty, and doubt. FUD 😱
This will allow institutional players to take your money and buy back at cheaper prices. 👿
(The 200 Week Moving Average.)
Ask yourself this... 🤔 because of Coronavirus will you stop logging onto Facebook, will you discard your Apple Macbook, will you stop buying goods from Amazon, will you stop watching Netflix, will your office stop using Microsoft Office?
If the answer is no... DO NOT PANIC SELL your retirement account, please. 🙅♀️
Since 1977, which direction is the stock market moving?
Answer: Up.
☝️☝️☝️
RSI Bearish Divergence playing out:
(Indicator below the chart with squiggly blue lines)
Price makes higher tops, while magnitude of price (RSI) makes lower tops. Warren Buffet and Jeff Bezos already sold their stocks for cash.
No one cares until now... Who do you think will buy the stocks you are panic selling?
Bond yields rising, divergence shows a slight 2020 SPX pullbackThe S&P 500 has been on a tear in 2019, rising nearly 30%, from low of the year to high it has surpassed the 30% growth mark. However, there has been a prevalent divergence between bond yields in the US and the SPX, which are correlated to move the same way. This means there could be a convergence in the near future to get back to the "regular" pattern.
Over the past few months bond yields have been climbing slightly, but year to date there has been a 23% drop in the 30 year and 31% drop in the 10 year. About the same amount as the S&P has risen. Those bond yields have risen about 15% since September while the S&P 500 has risen exponentially. This means we are expecting a pullback in the S&P 500 since the bond yields have started to do their part and slowly rise. We are not expecting a 30% gain in bond yields, not a 30% drop in the S&P 500 but a moderate move to regularity. Based on the monthly, the S&P 500 could pullback 9.5% to the 2926 level where the impulse for the move higher happened. The volume is extremely weak on all time highs which is another indicator. From there the upside potential is 3500+ based on a Fib extension.
If the S&P 500 pulls back we do expect another rise of 15+% ideally in bond yields. This can be contributed to eased tensions between China and the US and a hold on rate cuts from the US Fed.
"VIX, a powerfull tool to use on SP500" by ThinkingAntsOk
-Today we are going to show Vix Index on daily chat compared to SP500 (orange line).
The first thing we noticed is the Wedge formations on the chart.
-As Vix starts going down, SP500 keeps rising, the concept is that people trust on the strength of the bullish trend, on this process we can see the Wedge patterns on VIX, and bullish trends on SP500.
-To see the Wedge Pattern we only need to draw a line between the higher lows on VIX.
-OK great! But how can I do something with this?
-Let’s see it on this way, imagine you have been following a bullish movement on SP500 and you see that is about to face a major resistance zone and you observe that the bullish trend is losing strength.
When you detect this, you are going to Focus you attention on the VIX chart, and you are going to ask yourself the next question.
-Is price inside the Wedge Pattern or is about to break out?
-If the price has broken out the structure and SP500 is on a Major reversal zone, then, that’s a strong bearish confirmation to start thinking on bearish setups.
-Why should I look for bearish setups?
Because that means that people is starting to have fear of a possible bearish movement that’s the reason VIX is making new highs and has broken the Wedge pattern, we should complement this by seeing bearish candlesticks on SP500 with high volume on them.
-Conclusion: see on the pictures how Vix preceded the beginning of the two previous bearish trends with a breakout signal.
-Complementing charts is always a good way of making your setups more solid.
*Please note that the above perspective is our view on the market, We do not give signals and take no responsibility for your trades.
The United States EconomyAs a Forex Trader who lives in the United States and trades many USD based pairs I frequently refer to multiple indexes that represent the possible strength and trends of the Dollar.
I would like to share this post for the spectators and students of the markets.
The chart on the left is a 2-Week chart representing a four year uptrend of the S & P 500.
The chart on the left formed a double top pattern (two mountain tops) which is a classic pattern that forms when a bullish run is most likely over. After that pattern we saw roughly a 50% drop throughout the entire year of 2008.
Now, fast forward to 2018 and we are currently reaching what looks like to be the beginning of another double top, or mountain formation, it will most likely take another year or two to complete. But, by year 2020 ish we will potentially be looking at a massive drop again. However, my prediction is that this drop will last 1-2 years because this uptrend has been going on for longer then the first one, almost a full decade!
The diagonal trend line is our Bullish support. When/if that gets broken like it did before. The drop should begin to take place!
Always look at the bigger picture! Invest wisely.
Happy Holidays!
A Lesson On Reading Risk Profiles (Must Watch)In the following video, Ivan Delgado, Head of Market Research at Global Prime, walks us through the different scenarios that can exist when trading risk.
Ivan simplifies the reading of the environment as a trader one can encounter by combining the price behavior of the SP500, US 30-yr bond yield, US Dollar index, and to a lesser extent, Gold, as it's become more a function of DXY performance.
A must watch for all forex traders, especially those trading risk-sensitive crosses such as JPY, CHF.
My main strategy is called 'cycle-trading' a unique concept. My main strategy is called 'cycle-trading'. After years of learning and practicing after I bought a teaching-package from a visionair, I found a way of how to trade successful with CFD's on the stock-market. Every stock is following an certain cycle which repeats itself. So, movements are often appearing in the same percentage, aswel long as short. This cycles appear at all levels; when you analyse the chart at 1 month, 1 week, 1 day, 1 hour. (others I don't use). This is the case, because all in life is build by the fibonacci sequence. When you analyse the chart, you'll also see the stock market is behaving itself as the fibonacci sequence. But, still the most difficult part and what it's all about, is where does a long or a short start? and which point is telling you that the cycle is started, so that you know it will probably go to the next fibonacci resistance? .... therefore I have developed some own indicators!
The exact positions of where to open, to close and the stop loss position and take profit position is very important to be successful with trading!
My strategy is to never trade on volatile markets. You will lose your money when you do! Trade on technical-chart analysis! not on news and volatility!
One of my other strategies is that trades are only interesting and ‘safe’ to open when: you can possibly lose 1/3rd of the possible profit. So; when you set the indicators after analysing resistances, and you can lose 100 but win 300, it is worth the try!
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode
- I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts. Therefor I use the fibonacci sequence. My indicators tell to open a position or not and in combination with other own created indicators I decide where to place the stop loss and take profit positions.
- and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! or open directly.
- and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are other positions than the resistances in the market!
- the moving-averages and bollinger-bands are very important indicators also. They are helping a lot! by making decisions.
And that is Why I win more than I lose in the end. Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment! But don't forget; trading means investing. Sometimes you lose more than you win in the beginning of a period!
Most of the times the sentiment changes on Monday! please consider that when you start a position on Monday. Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday are on steady markets normally calm trading days. Than, my strategies work at their best!
Like my analyses? don't forget to follow me, so you get updated when I post new ones. Also read my account and the 'status updates' to be informed.
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
Late Cycle... or New Cycle? When will it end!Its worth considering what market cycles can tell us about when this run will end. I won't (can't) explain the logic behind cycles, but they appear in every aspect of nature, which includes human behaviour. Seasonality is a well known example.
Using the Dow Jones as a barometer, its clear that there were 7 years between the 2002 and 2009 lows. We can't predict exact business cycle lengths, but it would seem from recent history that the next could have ended somewhere between 20015 to 2016. Because this did not appear to happen, investors now worry that a correction is overdue.
But what if the cycle low did happen? The market did not in fact move for nearly two years - from January 2015 to the elections in 2016. If true then the next mid-cycle, marking a peak, is towards the end of 2018. Interestingly this coincides with US mid-term elections, and in Europe the exit of the UK from the EU. 2018 could also mark the turning point for 'Quantitative Tightening' and monetary policy.
Momentum certainly is driving prices higher for now; reflecting easy financial conditions, low unemployment, and reasonable growth.
Behaviourally, a bull market end when 'bears' throw in the towel, and euphoria reigns. For any market, it creates a simple demand/supply imbalance. This cannot be said of the current state, and so we may look to 2018 for the final phase.
ECOMOMIC CYCLEKondratiev wave
The economic cycle has four phases: improvement, prosperity, recession and depression.
Now we are in a phase of recession or inflation Economic bubble.
Within the next 5 years there will be big changes in the world.
Shange of the financial system, the educational system, technology.
In 2000 We didnt moved from the 20th to the 21st century. We use 20st century technology.
But very soon things will change.
We are witnessing a financial apocalypse.
Peace to all