What is Tether and why I am staying far away from itNow Tether is not your usual crypto currency. It’s not something you buy low and sell high.
What you’ll notice is that the price oscillates around the 1.000 mark.
It’s not your usual crypto currency. It’s what’s known as a stable coin. So its main goal is to track the US dollar’s price 1:1
And tether is not a long-term investment that will grow your money by itself because it stays pegged to the U.S. dollar.
So, investors use this crypto coin to hedge against the US dollar .
Investors use this crypto coin to gain exposure to the US dollar but in crypto form. Tether also sometimes acts as a “bridge” between the fiat and crypto world – as in people often buy stable coins to then buy other cryptos
It’s for the investors who want to invest and diversify their money in a non-government measure and to control their own finances instead of putting the money in banks.
Sounds good and safe right?
The problem is that Tether (USDT) always denies an audit.
They have also been investigated by the NY Attorney General’s office for lying about their reserves.
Also there is major volatility and uncertainty with crypto exchanges since the FTX and Alameda debacle.
Binance (One of the largest Crypto currency exchange) even paused customer deposits of stable coins USD Coin and Tether on Thursday morning without explanation.
This is not safe as a hedge in my opinion. Hence, it’s another reason to stay away from even stable coins like Tether…
Tetherdollar
I wouldn't buy Tether with a Barge Pole here's whyI absolutely agree that Tether is yet another Penny crypto that should not be touched with a 10 foot pole.
Now Tether is not your usual crypto currency. It’s not something you buy low and sell high.
Take a look at the chart before I continue.
Tether is not one I would consider buying.
What you’ll notice is that the price oscillates around the 1.000 mark.
It’s not your usual crypto currency. It’s what’s known as a stable coin. So its main goal is to track the US dollar’s price 1:1
And tether is not a long-term investment that will grow your money by itself because it stays pegged to the U.S. dollar.
So, investors use this crypto coin to hedge against the US dollar.
Investors use this crypto coin to gain exposure to the US dollar but in crypto form. Tether also sometimes acts as a “bridge” between the fiat and crypto world – as in people often buy stable coins to then buy other cryptos
It’s for the investors who want to invest and diversify their money in a non-government measure and to control their own finances instead of putting the money in banks.
Sounds good and safe right?
The problem is that Tether (USDT) always denies an audit.
They have also been investigated by the NY Attorney General’s office for lying about their reserves.
Also there is major volatility and uncertainty with crypto exchanges since the FTX and Alameda debacle.
Binance (One of the largest Crypto currency exchange) even paused customer deposits of stable coins USD Coin and Tether on Thursday morning without explanation.
This is not safe as a hedge in my opinion. Hence, it’s another reason to stay away from even stable coins like Tether…
Timing the Market Using Tether DominanceI always emphasize that time in the market beats timing the market, but I want to share an interesting approach that you can consider taking when timing the cryptocurrency market, especially when it comes to Bitcoin's overall direction.
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Tether Dominance
- Just as Bitcoin dominance refers to Bitcoin's market cap relative to that of the entire market cap, Tether dominance is no different.
- It refers to how much capital is parked in stablecoins, specifically Tether, at any point in time.
- Since Tether (USDT) is a stablecoin that tracksthe USD, an increase in Tether dominance suggests a pullback or correction in cryptocurrencies.
- A simple way to understand it is to think of USD flowing in and out of the market.
- On the other hand, if Tether dominance drops, it means that more capital is being deployed to purchase cryptocurrencies, which is bullish overall for the market.
- If you look at the graph above, you'll clearly see the inverse correlation between Bitcoin (orange) and Tether dominance (black).
- Key support and resistance zones for Tether dominance are marked as well.
- As we're currently trading slightly above local support, marked in green, if we see Tether Dominance fall below those levels, we could expect Bitcoin to continue rallying upwards.
Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis
- We've tested Bitcoin's yearly open price at $47.2k, and failed to break above the 200 simple moving average (purple).
- Bitcoin has retraced to $45-46k levels, which is a completely anticipated move considering that pullbacks can take place upon breakouts.
- As the overall structure remains bullish, and we see the moving averages cross again, aligning in order for a bull rally, I expect us to retest $50k ranges again.
- Whether we get rejected at those levels, or break through it is unclear, but we'll take it by levels as we always do.
Conclusion
With Tether dominance currently barely holding local support, I think there's a high probability that we see those support levels break down, and see Bitcoin rally upwards once again. This is definitely an indicator that you want to continuously refer to as you trade.
If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content!
If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
USDT.D Daily Analysis🟢USDT's dominance bounced from the uptrend line support to form a twin floor pattern and is now above the neckline of this pattern, which also acts as a support. If the retest is successful, it is expected to move upwards, which will be a sign of decline for the market because the USDT and BTC dominance are inversely related to each other.
Use the appropriate loss limit for your trades, which has a very high possibility of emotional movement in the market.
⚠ This Analysis will be updated.
Amir Hossein
📅 02.19.2022
⚠️ (DYOR)