Unlocking Opportunities: Maximizing Dec. Gains Beyond TradingUnlocking Opportunities: Maximizing December Gains Beyond Trading
Introduction:
As December unfolds and the year draws to a close, it's not uncommon for traders to take a step back and assess their performance. The trading landscape experiences a shift, with many prominent investors winding down for the year, paving the way for unique opportunities for those who approach the market strategically. In this blog post, we'll explore how traders can benefit from the distinctive conditions of December, leveraging the year-end dynamics to refine their trading strategies and set the stage for success in the upcoming year.
1. Reflect on the Year:
Before diving into the specific opportunities December presents, take a moment to reflect on your trading journey throughout the year. Consider the overall performance of your trades, taking note of both successes and setbacks. This reflection is a crucial first step in understanding your strengths and weaknesses as a trader.
Take a comprehensive look at your trading performance throughout the year. Consider the following aspects:
Trade Outcomes: Evaluate the overall success of your trades. Identify the ones that were profitable and those that resulted in losses.
Market Conditions: Examine how your strategies performed under various market conditions. Note any patterns in your trading success or challenges during specific market trends.
As an example; I examine my trading performance throughout the year. I did observe that my swing trading strategy worked well during trending markets but struggled during choppy, sideways conditions. This reflection prompts me to consider adjustments to my strategy to better navigate varying market conditions.
2. Evaluate Pros and Cons:
Identify the pros and cons of your trading strategies over the past year. What worked well for you, and what didn't? Analyzing these aspects can help you fine-tune your approach, building on your strengths and addressing any weaknesses. Take note of the market conditions under which your strategies excelled or faltered.
Dig deeper into the strengths and weaknesses of your trading strategies:
Successful Strategies: Identify the aspects of your trading approach that worked well. This could include specific indicators, timeframes, or types of assets that consistently yielded positive results.
Challenges Faced: Analyze the reasons behind unsuccessful trades. Pinpoint any recurring issues, whether they are related to strategy execution, risk management, or market analysis.
Adaptability: Ask yourself, "Is your strategy working for you?" If there's discomfort or a sense that your current strategy is not aligning with your trading goals, consider your options:
- Explore New Strategies: Are you considering a shift in strategy? Perhaps there's a new approach or methodology that better suits your risk tolerance and market outlook.
- Give More Time: Alternatively, are you planning to invest more time in your existing strategy? Sometimes, patience and fine-tuning can enhance the effectiveness of a proven approach.
As an Example; I identified that my strengths lie in thorough technical analysis but acknowledges a weakness in managing emotions during periods of heightened volatility. I realized that implementing stricter risk management protocols could help mitigate losses during turbulent market phases.
3. Journal Your Trades:
If you haven't already, start journaling your trades. Documenting your trading activities provides valuable insights into your decision-making process. Review your trades and identify patterns, both in successful and unsuccessful scenarios. What emotions were at play during specific trades? This self-awareness can be a powerful tool for refining your trading psychology.
Initiate or revisit your trading journal, documenting each trade along with additional details:
Decision-Making Process: Record the factors influencing your decisions for each trade. This includes technical and fundamental analysis, as well as any emotional factors that may have played a role.
Emotional Reflection: Explore the emotional aspect of your trading. Note instances of fear, greed, or overconfidence. Understanding your emotional responses can help you make more informed decisions in the future.
As an Example; I started a detailed trading journal, recording the rationale behind each trade and the emotions I’d experienced. Upon review, I noticed that I tend to become overly cautious during winning streaks, leading me to exit profitable trades prematurely. This awareness prompts me to work on maintaining discipline during profitable runs.
4. Statistical Analysis:
Dig deeper into the statistics of your trades. Examine metrics such as win-loss ratio, average gain/loss, and drawdowns. These quantitative measures can offer a more objective view of your performance, helping you identify areas for improvement. Look for patterns in your trading data and consider how adjustments to your strategy might enhance overall profitability.
Delve into the quantitative aspects of your trading performance:
Win-Loss Ratio: Calculate the ratio of your winning trades to losing trades. A higher ratio indicates more successful trades.
Average Gain/Loss: Evaluate the average profit and loss per trade. This metric helps you gauge the effectiveness of your profit-taking and stop-loss strategies.
Drawdowns: Identify periods of significant drawdown. Understanding these downturns is crucial for risk management and improving overall stability.
As an Example; I analyze my trading statistics and discovered that while my win rate is respectable, I experience larger drawdowns than what is comfortable for me. I decided to adjust my position sizing to limit the impact of losing streaks on my overall portfolio.
5. Spend Time in Backtesting:
Utilize the quieter period of December to engage in thorough backtesting:
Strategy Validation: Test your strategies against historical data to validate their efficacy. Identify any potential adjustments needed to align with current market conditions.
As an Example; Taking advantage of the quieter December market, I dedicate time to backtesting. I test variations of strategies against historical data, identifying adjustments that improve performance. This process gives me the confidence to implement refinements in the live market.
6. Set Goals for the New Year:
As you assess your trading performance, set clear and realistic goals for the upcoming year. Define what you aim to achieve, whether it's improving your win rate, reducing drawdowns, or exploring new trading opportunities. Establishing these objectives provides a roadmap for your trading journey in the year ahead.
Establish clear and actionable goals for the upcoming year:
Specific Objectives: Define precise objectives such as achieving a target percentage return, improving risk-adjusted returns, or expanding your trading skill set.
Realistic Targets: Ensure your goals are realistic and achievable within a given timeframe. Unrealistic expectations can lead to frustration and poor decision-making.
As an Example; Reflecting on past years, I acknowledged that setting overly ambitious goals led to frustration. This year, I’d set realistic expectations, aiming for a modest increase in overall profitability. This approach allows me to focus on consistent improvement without the undue pressure of reaching unrealistic targets.
Overall:
December offers a unique window for traders to step back from active trading, assess their performance, and strategically plan for the future. By leveraging this period of reduced market activity, traders can gain valuable insights, refine their strategies, and set achievable goals for the upcoming year. Make the most of this opportune moment to position yourself for success in your trading endeavors.
TIME
How to Time Manage your Trading – 6 WaysWhen it comes to the world of trading, time isn’t just money – it’s everything.
A minute delay, can miss a profit opportunity.
A minute delay, can make you question the trade.
A minute delay, can affect your emotions.
This is something I am constantly working on (even 20 years later).
I truly want to wake up earlier, spot trades quicker (as they come) and have a better time management system.
I might not be an expert in time management yet, but I will share some crucial tips I have learnt over the years.
This will help you to not miss the trade.
#1: Why you need to be punctual
Being punctual isn’t just a good trait – it’s a survival skill.
The markets move so quickly. They move with or without you.
And they present opportunities on the daily.
You need to be on time and when you see an opportunity that is about to present itself.
Write it down. Stick note it. Set a reminder or something.
But for Flying Spaghetti monster sake, don’t miss it!
#2: Easy to miss a profit – when you don’t time analyses
Every trader has stories about the “one that got away”.
So what can we do to avoid this?
You need to have your watchlists spread out according to what you trade. With TradingView, I have all my watchlists in different categories.
Stocks, Forex, Commodities, Indices, International stocks. Etc…
Then you’ll need to go over each watchlist every day.
Write down the potential trades lining up. Then revisit the markets the next day.
You need to be more punctual and disciplined to monitor, analyse and prepare for execution.
Those golden opportunities missed due to hesitation or distractions.
By maintaining punctuality in monitoring and execution, you can minimize these missed chances and keep your trading performance on the upbeat.
#3: Set Reminders: The Power of Alerts
Luckily, we have the technology to harness.
You can set reminders for price levels to hit, on your own trading and charting platforms.
Use these alerts to remind you when to act, or at least prepare for execution.
#4: Sticky Note It
Old school?
Maybe.
Effective?
Absolutely!
It doesn’t hurt to pick up a pen and a sticky note once in a while.
Keep these visual reminders, to prioritise what you may be trading today.
You’ll be surprised how useful this little pieces of paper are.
#5: Develop a Routine
Trading is a lifestyle.
So you need to establish your routine with it.
If you’re an early Hadeda you need to do a full pre-market review and write down the trades lining up for the day.
If you prefer to look at the markets in the afternoon, choose a time where you will not be distracted by work, social media, kids or the Rugby!
If you are an after the markets kind of trader, then do your research, analyses and even set your trading levels for the next day.
I like to plot and draw all the levels and setups in the charts, and then write down which ones are almost ripe for the picking.
#6: Prioritize Your Trades
Not all trades are ready to action.
Some might take a few days or months.
What you can do is, flag them or colour them.
GREEN – Act soon.
ORANGE – Check over the next few days
YELLOW – Trade could line up in the next few weeks
RED – Potential setup but not likely in a few weeks.
This approach will help you allocate your time better.
So let’s sum up the time-management methods you can apply.
#1: Why you need to be punctual
#2: Easy to miss a profit – when you don’t time analyses
#3: Set Reminders: The Power of Alerts
#4: Sticky Note It
#5: Develop a Routine
#6: Prioritize Your Trades
Stock Market Logic Series #3When you buy (get-in) fresh cucumbers, you have time until they will expire.
But when you need to (get-out). You need to liquidate FAST or cucumbers will rot and you cant sell them to anyone.
The same thing goes for the fashion industry.
When a clothes trader purchases clothes for sale he needs time to buy and ship the clothes to the store, it does not happen all at once. When the season ends, and if he needs to get rid of all this "unfashionable" end-of-season clothes. So he wants to liquidate and get out FAST! So you see massive discounts to get everything from him to the consumer.
The same goes for stock trading...
Hope this helps you read better the charts between buying behavior and selling behavior.
Want to know more?
Follow for the next stock market logic.
Timing when day trading can be everythingTiming when day trading can be everything
In Stock markets typically more volatility (or price activity) occurs at market opening and closings
When it comes to Forex (foreign exchange market), the world’s most traded market, unlike other financial markets, there is no centralized marketplace, currencies trade over the counter in whatever market is open at that time, where time becomes of more importance and key to get better trading opportunities. There are four major forex trading sessions, which are Sydney, Tokyo, London and New York sessions
Forex market is traded 24 hours a day, 5 days a week across by banks, institutions and individual traders worldwide, but that doesn’t mean it’s always active the entire day. It may be very difficult time trying to make money when the market doesn’t move at all. The busiest times with highest trading volume occurs during the overlap of the London and New York trading sessions, because U.S. dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR) are the two most popular currencies traded. Typically most of the trading activity for a specific currency pair will occur when the trading sessions of the individual currencies overlap. For example, Australian Dollar (AUD) and Japanese Yen (JPY) will experience a higher trading volume when both Sydney and Tokyo sessions are open
There is one influence that impacts Forex matkets and should not be forgotten : the release of the significant news and reports . When a major announcement is made regarding economic data, currency can lose or gain value within a matter of seconds
Cryptocurrency market s on the other hand remain open 24/7, even during public holidays
Until 2021, the Asian impact was so significant in Cryptocurrency markets but recent reasearch reports shows that those patterns have changed and the correlation with the U.S. trading hours is becoming a clear evolving trend.
Unlike any other market Crypto doesn’t rest on weekends, there’s a drop-off in participation and yet algorithmic trading bots and market makers (or liquidity providers) can create a high volume of activity. Never trust the weekend’ is a good thing to remind yourself
One more factor that needs to be taken into accout is Blockchain transaction fees, which are responsive to network congestion and can change dramatically from one hour to the next
In general, Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, which means that the price of a coin can change dramatically over a short time period in either direction
The Bottom Line
The more traders trading, the higher the trading volume, and the more active the market. The more active the market, the higher the liquidity (availability of counterparties at any given time to exit or enter a trade), hence the tighter the spreads (the difference between ask and bid price) and the less slippage (the difference between the expected fill price and the actual fill price) - in a nutshell, yield to many good trading opportunities and better order execution (a process of filling the requested buy or sell order)
The best time to trade is when the market is the most active and therefore has the largest trading volume, trading all day long will not only deplete a trader's reserves quickly, but it can burn out even the most persistent trader. Knowing when the markets are more active will give traders peace of mind, that opportunities are not slipping away when they take their eyes off the markets or need to get a few hours of sleep
You are kindly invited to check the script that helps to identify market peak hours : Day Trading Booster .
How to define the end of a correction based on time - EWHi EW Fans,
made you a CheatSheet how to define the end of a correction based on time. If you are sure about the start of a wave/impulse you can very easy define a possible time "vector" for the end of the correction.
Start of the impulse = Zero
Top of the impulse = 0.382
End of the correction at the common Fib numbers: 0.681/0.65; 0.89; 1; 1.272; 1.618 and so on.
If you combine it with a Fibonacci Retracement Tool (LogScale) you are able to define a price and time "vector" for a possible reversal or for the next impulse/wave.
Greetings
Consistent Profitability, how long does it take?How long does it take to become consistently profitable as a trader? This is one of the most searched questions in the Internet when it comes to trading and the beauty is there's no right answer. When you do receive an answer, it's miss leading to beginners and everyone gets confused. There's a solid chance that you've looked at this before, or perhaps you just seen the title of this post and clicked on it. How long this is going to take you to master the arts of the market. There's a good chance you sat there and questioned, "what am I doing? how long are we going for? What should I be goal setting in terms of time with trading?" if you see yourself in this position or you've seen it previously, I finally have the answer you need to hear.
How long does it take you to become consistent and profitable trading?
As long as it takes.
There's so many different sources which claim so many different time limits that it takes to master Forex trading or crypto trading or industry, trade, whatever it might be your embarking on. All of them say the same around two to three years to become a consistent and experienced professional. Yet, where are they getting this data from? I know traders that master trading within six months. I also know other traders that traded for six years and couldn't get the look of it. There's no time frame to put on trading in terms of success and consistency. It isn't a university course, we don't sit down and do all the course procedures and even if we do, the bare minimum, still graduate in three years. That's not how trading works.
The question you should be asking isn't how long is this going to take me to master, but rather how many hours are you going to put into it. Day in, day out, how much work are you going to do? That is what will determine how long it takes you to become successful in this industry. There's so many people that will see 2 and a half years to become successful trader, then they trade half heartedly as if it is a hobby. They don't concentrate too much. They just trade here in there. Two and a half years pass and they'll call themselves seasoned professionals because they have been in the market for 2 1/2 years. Yet they couldn't show a single piece of consistency within their trading. Then there's other traders that put in hard work. I'm talking 8 hours a day of pure grueling backtesting, trade management, risk management, analyzing everything, and they put an exponential amount of work in and in six months they can outperform anyone else who's ever step foot in the market.
Time is not an important factor. The amount of work you are putting in is the important factor. Yes, time will tell whether or not you can be successful in this industry, but if you're measuring time based off of when you've been interested or when you've been trading a little bit and rather than the actual hard, grueling hours that you're putting into trading. Then you will never get to that level you want to get too. You have to put in the hard yards.
This industry is very advertised as easy, simple and the money making machine. There's a number of different factors in which we can blame for that, but we're not going to dive into that today. What I want to share with you is this is not easy. This is actually one of the hardest professions you could ever do, because work doesn't just stop, we don't just clock off and get paid the same amount every week. It's all dependent on the amount of time and effort you put into the market.
Do you want to be profitable and consistent in trading? Then put in the hard work. Stop Googling how long it's going to take. Stop having a look at other people's success stories. Knuckle down and put in the hard work. Then in two years, three years, six years, 10 years, whatever it's going to take. Look back and be proud. When someone asks you how long did it take you? Don't answer about six years or two years, be honest. How many hours did you have to invest? How hard was the work?
HEX is the greatest CryptocurrencyHEX is an ERC20 token that was released December 2019 after over a year in development, with 2 Security Audits as well as 1 Economic Audit.
Since the 2019 release the smart contract has worked flawlessly with zero downtime or hacks. It’s immutable code that has no admin keys and multiple front ends built by the community to access its signature feature “Staking”. The major difference between HEX and Bitcoin or Ethereum is the fact the coin inflates at a maximum of 3.69% per year, but instead of paying miners to sell the coin to pay for electricity costs, HEX pays those who Stake their coins. Everything is done from your self custodial Ethereum wallet and you pick how long to stake, from 1day up to 5555days. The longer you stake the more yield you generate, just make sure you’re truthful to the smart contract because if you end your commitment before 50% of time served you will lose some of your principal as well as interest earned. All of those who honor their commitment and end their stake on time benefit from those who ended theirs early or late.
Most people have built what’s called a Staking Ladder staking different amount of HEX coins for various amounts of time (Like a traditional CD) so they always have a stake coming due. The yield isn’t paid in USD it’s paid in HEX so the price of the asset can go up substantially higher once your stake matures and then people just sell a portion of their yield and never kill their golden goose, restaking the rest!
Just in its first 2 years HEX did a 10,000x at its ATH in September 2021! If you stake longer then the average stake length (currently at 6.49yrs) you will be earning over 39%APY (in HEX). This is how so many people have created life changing wealth for themselves using the staking feature no matter what price they originally bought at!
Why would you buy and hodl a coin that doesn’t pay you to hold it? Why not just keep a small % liquid and stake the rest paying yourself every year for the next 15years? That way you’re earning high %APY on the longer stakes and your paying yourself yearly or whenever you want? If you keep some liquid you will always have the opportunity to capitalize on the volatile nature of cryptocurrency.
Market Structure: Speed and Slope on Multiple TimeframesHey! Hope you are well!
In this selection, there is a showing of the use of angles to measure the passage of time and price.
In the first chart, the 30 minute chart, there is 40 units of time, and 40 units of price. The angle that is correspondent with this ratio spans to the end of the enclosed trend.
In the next chart, the four minute chart, there is 40 units of time and 40 units of price. The angle that corresponds to this ratio spans only to the end of the first trend.
However, the 8x1 angle stretches to the end of the full segment.
By these examples, the concept of speed is meant to be shown. In each corresponding timeframe, there is a speed. For the daily chart, the speed is one day. On the five minute chart, the speed is five minutes, so in making forecasts, predictions, trendlines, and others, consider the speed.
Suggested Reading:
Law of Vibration - Tony Plummer
Michael Jenkins - Geometry of Stock Market Profits, Chart Reading for Professional Traders, Complete Stock Market Forecasting Course
Scott M. Carney - The Harmonic Trader, Harmonic Trading Volume I, Harmonic Trading Volume II, Harmonic Trading Volume III
H.M. Gartley - Profits in the Stock Market
Bill Williams - Trading Chaos, New Trading Dimensions, Trading Chaos 2nd Edition
J.M. Hurst - The Profit Magic of Stock Transaction Timing, Cyclic Analysis: A Dynamic Approach
Fabio Oreste - Quantum Trading
Michael Jardine - New Frontiers in Fibonacci Trading
The Wave Principle, Nature's Law
Ralph Nelson Elliot
Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets
John J. Murphy
A Complete Guide to Volume Price Analysis
Anna Coulling
Mastering The Elliot Wave
Glenn Neely
Term Structure Provides Fundamental CluesLast week, I wrote on processing spreads, a valuable tool that can provide clues about price direction. The price action in products that trade in the futures market like gasoline, heating oil, soybean meal, and soybean oil often tell us a lot about the path of least resistance for the crude oil and soybean futures contracts.
This week, I will turn my attention to term structure. Term structure is the price differential between one delivery period and another in the same commodity. Some traders call term structure time spreads, calendar spreads, front-to-back spreads, or switches. They are all the same, reflecting delivery or settlement premiums or discounts based only on time.
Backwardation- It’s what it sounds like
Contango- It’s not what it sounds like
A real-time supply and demand indicator
Commodities are unique- A mentor made a mint trading time spreads
Time spreads can enhance your commodity trading results- The cure for low and high commodity prices
The late Apple founder Steve Jobs once said, “My favorite things in life don’t cost any money. It’s really clear that the most precious resource we all have is time.” While Steve Jobs was referring to his mortality, time is a critical factor in commodities.
Close attention to term structure unlocks clues about fundamental supply and demand factors.
Backwardation- It’s what it sounds like
Backwardation is a condition where commodity prices for deferred delivery are lower than for nearby delivery. A backwardation suggests that supplies are tight, forcing nearby prices higher. The condition also indicates that producers will increase output in response to a market’s deficit, leading to lower future markets.
As of the end of last week, the NYMEX crude oil futures market was in backwardation.
The chart of NYMEX WTI crude oil for delivery in December 2022 minus the price for delivery in December 2021 was trading at over a $12 per barrel backwardation or discount. December 2021 futures settled at the $83.57 level on October 29, with the December 2022 futures at the $71.33 level. Robust demand, supply concerns, and other factors have driven the spread into the widest backwardation in years and NYMEX crude oil to the highest price since 2014. Higher crude oil prices tend to support a wider backwardation. Historically, the Middle East’s political volatility has caused supply concerns at higher prices as the region is home to over half the world’s petroleum reserves.
Crude oil is one example of a raw material market where the term structure reflects supply concerns. The trend towards a wider backwardation has been bullish for the energy commodity.
Contango- It’s not what it sounds like
While backwardation is a term that reflects the spread differentials, contango is another story. In the commodities lingo world, contango is backwardation’s opposite as it reflects a market where prices for deferred delivery are higher than for nearby delivery. Backwardation is a sign of supply concerns, whereas contango is present during periods of oversupply or equilibrium where supply and demand balance. The gold futures market is an example of a term structure in contango.
The daily chart highlights gold for delivery in December 2022 minus December 2021 is trading at a $10.30 contango or premium at the end of last week. The December 2021 futures were at the $1783.90 level, with the December 2022 contract at the $1794.20 level.
Central banks worldwide hold massive gold stocks as part of their foreign exchange reserves. Therefore, supply concerns tend to be low in the gold markets leading to a premium in its term structure. Moreover, gold has a long history as a means of exchange or money. Higher interest rates tend to push gold contangos higher.
Gold is one example of a commodity market in contango.
A real-time supply and demand indicator
A commodity’s term structure can be a helpful tool as it provides insight into supply and demand fundamentals. When a raw material price spikes higher because demand rises or supplies decline, the term structure tends to move into a widening backwardation. Producers respond by increasing output, creating the deferred discount.
When markets are in glut or oversupply conditions, producers often cut back on output, causing the chances for future deficits to develop. Thus, a steep contango can reflect the market’s perception that nearby oversupply will lead to eventual shortages.
Term structure is one of the puzzle pieces that comprise a market’s structure. The others are processing spreads, location and quality spreads, and substitution spreads.
Commodities are unique- A mentor made a mint trading time spreads
Commodities are essentials. Agricultural commodities feed and clothe the world and are increasingly providing alternative energy. Industrial commodities, including metals, energy, and minerals, are requirements for shelter, power, and infrastructure. Other raw materials have varying applications in daily life and even the financial system.
Shortages or gluts can have significant impacts on the global economy. The current inflationary pressures have roots in commodities, which had experienced price rises since the beginning of the worldwide pandemic when short-term lows gave way to bullish price action.
Supply chain bottlenecks and slowdowns or shutdowns at mines and processing facilities have put upward pressure on prices. Perhaps the most dramatic example came in the lumber futures market.
The quarterly lumber futures chart shows the price explosion to a record $1711.20 high in May 2021 on the back of slowdowns and shutdown at lumber mills and supply chain bottlenecks bringing wood to consumers during a period of rising demand. When lumber reached its May high, nearby January futures were far lower.
The chart shows January futures peaked at $1275 per 1,000 board feet, over $435 lower than the nearby contract at the May high.
When I worked at Phibro in the 1990s, my direct boss was Andy Hall, one of the most successful crude oil traders in history. While many market participants believe Mr. Hall churned out profits with long and short positions in the oil market, his greatest success came from what he called “structural risk positions.” He tended to buy the front months in the oil market and sell the deferred contracts when the market moved into contango. I remember the night when Saddam Hussein marched into Kuwait in 1990. The invasion caused the nearby price of crude oil to double in a matter of minutes.
Meanwhile, deferred oil prices declined, sending the spread to a massive backwardation. Mr. Hall pocketed hundreds of millions in profits on that night. His theory was that the risk of contango was limited over time, and the potential for spikes in backwardation increased the odds of success.
Time spreads can enhance your commodity trading results- The cure for low and high commodity prices
Commodity prices tend to rise to prices where producers increase output, consumers look for substitutes or limit buying, causing inventories to build. As supply rise to levels above demand, price find tops and reverse.
Conversely, prices tend to drop to levels where production becomes uneconomic. At low prices, consumers look to increase buying, and inventories decline, leading to price bottoms and upside reversals. The cure for high or low prices is those high or low prices in the world of commodities.
Meanwhile, highs or lows can be moving targets. As we learned in lumber and a host of other markets over the years, highs occur at levels that most analysts believe are illogical, irrational, and unreasonable. We learned the same holds on the downside as nearby NYMEX crude oil futures fell to a low of negative $40.32 per barrel in April 2020.
Time spreads can be real-time indicators of changes in a commodity’s supply and demand fundamentals. Understanding and monitoring term structure can only enhance the odds of success in the commodities asset class.
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Trading advice given in this communication, if any, is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that we believe are reliable. The author does not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects the author’s good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice the author provides will result in profitable trades. There is risk of loss in all futures and options trading. Any investment involves substantial risks, including, but not limited to, pricing volatility, inadequate liquidity, and the potential complete loss of principal. This article does not in any way constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any investment, security, or commodity discussed herein, or any security in any jurisdiction in which such an offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
Why The Rich Get Richer. It Is Your CHOICE
What is the difference between the rich vs poor mindset? How do the successful differ from the rest of us?
So many people do not obtain financial freedom because they do not have one thing: the right mindset . Everything starts with how you think about money, wealth, and success. It is not a matter of luck, birth, or connections.
The biggest differences between rich and poor people can be traced back to mindset, outlook, and behavior. The rich and the poor don’t only differ in how much they have in their pocket, but also in how they think. Rich people have a way of thinking that is different from poor and middle-class people.
They think differently about money, wealth, themselves, other people, and life . By doing so, you will have some alternative beliefs in your mind from which to choose. In this way, you can catch yourself thinking as poor people do and quickly switch over to how rich people think.
A positive attitude , focusing on doing the right thing overlooking good, becoming a continual learner and careful risk management are all differences between the rich and poor. This reduces their odds of becoming poor after disaster strikes, and it helps them achieve their financial goals over the long-term.
A rich mindset will tell you to be self-sufficient & build multiple streams of income. It will tell you to build a team of smarter people than you to leverage the efforts of talented people. The mindset of the rich is the most decisive reason why “the rich keep getting richer, while the poor get poorer.” Bill Gates has been quoted as saying, “If we weren't still hiring great people and pushing ahead at full speed, it would be easy to fall behind and become some mediocre company.”
So, which mindset do you have?
❗️Please, support this idea with like and comment!
Thank will help a lot!
Also, subscribe to my social networks,
the link is below!❗️
Why The Rich Get Richer. It Is Your CHOICE
What is the difference between the rich vs poor mindset? How do the successful differ from the rest of us?
So many people do not obtain financial freedom because they do not have one thing: the right mindset. Everything starts with how you think about money, wealth, and success. It is not a matter of luck, birth, or connections.
The biggest differences between rich and poor people can be traced back to mindset, outlook, and behavior. The rich and the poor don’t only differ in how much they have in their pocket, but also in how they think. Rich people have a way of thinking that is different from poor and middle-class people.
They think differently about money, wealth, themselves, other people, and life . By doing so, you will have some alternative beliefs in your mind from which to choose. In this way, you can catch yourself thinking as poor people do and quickly switch over to how rich people think.
A positive attitude, focusing on doing the right thing overlooking good, becoming a continual learner and careful risk management are all differences between the rich and poor. This reduces their odds of becoming poor after disaster strikes, and it helps them achieve their financial goals over the long-term.
A rich mindset will tell you to be self-sufficient & build multiple streams of income . It will tell you to build a team of smarter people than you to leverage the efforts of talented people. The mindset of the rich is the most decisive reason why “the rich keep getting richer, while the poor get poorer.” Bill Gates has been quoted as saying, “If we weren't still hiring great people and pushing ahead at full speed, it would be easy to fall behind and become some mediocre company.”
So, which mindset do you have?
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A few words about time management How do you planing your day?
If you look like Jack you should think about time management!
Benefits of Time Management
The ability to manage your time effectively is important. Good time management leads to improved efficiency and productivity, less stress, and more success in life. Here are some benefits of managing time effectively:
1. Stress relief
Making and following a task schedule reduces anxiety. As you check off items on your “to-do” list, you can see that you are making tangible progress. This helps you avoid feeling stressed out with worry about whether you’re getting things done.
2. More time
Good time management gives you extra time to spend in your daily life. People who can time-manage effectively enjoy having more time to spend on hobbies or other personal pursuits.
3. More opportunities
Managing time well leads to more opportunities and less time wasted on trivial activities. Good time management skills are key qualities that employers look for. The ability to prioritize and schedule work is extremely desirable for any organization.
4. Ability to realize goals
Individuals who practice good time management are able to better achieve goals and objectives, and do so in a shorter length of time.
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the all mighty timethere is an important thing that you should be wary of if you want to enter long term trades and that is your trend. here we have trends, both waves and corrections, and their timeline so as you know before 1676 break you can't tell any other goal because the nature of gold is now in an up Trend from the year 1999. and one more thing that you should be careful about is that price support or resistance lines could be broken but what I think is the most powerful of all is the time you give the trend to go their way based on what period you trade on. but of course, be careful around those break out failures :)
<Education> A PRIMITIVE Reason To Your ID Losses...Hi traders,
let's look at a fact so simple you probably never took it into consideration! Most of the traders with at least some experience will acknowledge the key to profit is psychology rather than a magical pattern. Time plays a big role in our thought process. Let's combine time with basic math:
Each stock has it's own "tempo" which of course varies, but we can eyeball it. Let's say it moves 1 dollar every hour. Your SL is 50c and you are using 2:1 RRR. See the point? If it hits your SL, it will be much quicker than if you are right but have to endure the hour-long journey to your Profit Target.
This is one of the reasons after a few losses you get the feeling "The market is after me!! Every time I enter it kicks me right out!".
Thank you for your attention and I hope this little piece helps you rationalize some of your fears.
Tom | FINEIGHT
NASDAQ - NQ1! - Arcane Gann Wisdom The Full MapI share these Gann setup's quite often but people don't really seem to understand or have to knowledge what these geometry structures mean. Basically the Gann Square creates angles that reveal where value and time grow according to certain ratio's. The 45 degree Gann Angle is the most famous where value and time make a perfect 1:1 ratio, above this line value is dominant in momentum and below time is dominant. NASDAQ is currently hitting the 3/4 time target of the Gann Square and we see it's also hitting a resistance angle projected from ATH to the 50% price at 100% time values.
Try to study it, experiment, gann square can be really powerful!
Intermediate Trading Strategy - Part 1IMPORTANT NOTE: If you are looking for a shortcut then this is not for you! This is for individuals who are enthusiastic about putting in the time and effort but may lack the structure.
I plan out my trades through in depth technical analysis, risk management and market research. I believe that consistency is the most important factor in regards to trading profitably. A traders success is determined more by the consistency of their approach than it is by the quantity or quality of indicators being used.
Over the long run, a consistent process combined with a sound strategy will net a disciplined trader far greater returns than the market average.
If you have any questions then feel free to leave a comment or send a private message.
Click here for Sawcruhteez’ Trading Process
Before Making an Entry
Identify Trend
Higher highs and higher lows = bull market
Lower highs and lower lows = bear market
Lower highs and higher lows = triangle continuation pattern
Equal highs and equal lows = Consolidation/Range
Tyler Jenks’ Consensio
Price > Short term MA > Long term MA = Bull Market
-I like to use the 50 & 128 day MA’s by default for crypto. For traditional markets I use the 200 MA.
-For short term price movements (1 month or less) I like to use exponential moving averages. 12 & 26 EMA for crypto and for traditional markets the 9 & 21 EMA.
Welles Wilder’s ADX
If ADX > 25 then trending market
If ADX < 20 then no trend is present
If +DI > -DI then bull trend
If -DI < +DI then bear trend
In extreme circumstances I will bet against the trend. This will only happen when the risk:reward is too favorable to pass up.
Identify Time Horizon
Investment
Is this a 10+ year investment? If so then I will dollar cost average my way in and not even look at the charts or listen to the news. Investments are not meant to be babysat, they are meant to develop over time.
Bet it then forget it!
Position Trade
Buy/sell breakouts and attempt to hold on for the duration of the trend. This is done through technical analysis and trailing stop losses. If I am in a position trade I will tend to it daily by looking at charts and managing stop losses. It is not required to ‘baby-sit’ the position by watching it all day and this approach is actively discouraged.
Position traders do not concern themselves with intraday movements. Managing the position too closely will often cause traders to make mistakes they wouldn’t have otherwise such as: taking profit too early or adjusting stop losses in the heat of the moment.
This is my prefered method of trading for a number of reasons. Primarily it is because I like to live a balanced life. I like to be able to set my stop loss and forget about it while I am out playing golf, skiing or at the gym.
Time horizon for a position trade is often a couple months or even a year+
Swing Trade
“Markets do not go straight up, nor do they go straight down.” There is an ebb and a flow to the price movements. Swing traders try to capitalize on the daily - weekly price movements. Is price at resistance? Sell. Is price at support? Buy.
Swing traders have well defined price targets. They can trade within ranges or in trending markets but they generally do not hold through significant resistance in order to speculate on the price movement. If it does breakthrough resistance then they can re enter without as much risk.
Day trade
Mostly scalpers and high frequency robots. In traditional markets the price generally isn’t very volatile on an intra-day basis so most traders will use high leverage. This will allow them to 10X, 50X or even 100X a 1% price movement in the underlying asset.
In crypto the market is volatile enough for day traders to make a very handsome profit without using leverage. This approach is still the extremely risky.
How to properly scale your chartsMany charting tools require a proper scaling of price / time.
This is the method I'm using to scale my charts if needed.
1) Draw a rectangle somewhere on your chart
2) Set it's coordinates to 1:1
So if the price coordinates are 300/350 , set the bar (time)
coordinates to have the same difference of 50 in this case
3) Draw a "Fib Speed Resistance Arc". You can find it in the
second tool bar menu where you also find the Fib Retracement
4) Set it's PRICE coordinates to the same you have set for the rectangle.
For both BAR coordinates you use the smaller number from the rectangle bar coordinates.
Now after you have done that drag one axis (price or time) and move it around.
Watch the upper right corner of the rectangle cross with the fib arcs.
If it crosses with the 1 fib arc, you have a 1:1 scaling.
On the chart example you can see it cross the 3 fib arc so the scaling is 3:1
If you found a nice scaling, right-click the price axis and select "Lock Scale"
so you can zoom in and out of the chart without changing the scaling.
You can try the following scaling ratios:
0.5 / 1 / 1.272 / 1.414 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 4 / ...
also all the X.618 ratios could be usefull. (0.618 / 1.618 / 2.618 / 3.618 / ... )
Let me know how this works out for you and feel
free to leave a comment if something is unclear.
Cheerz : ]