Analysis: Using the McGinley, Hull and Renkos together!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Volume
EURJPY - Using indicators to make a sound decision on directionDISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
EURNZD - Greed kills...DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
A picture of divergence. Make sure it's there before jumping in!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Bricks with Wicks! - How to spot a possible fakeout...DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
How to anticipate where the range may form!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Looking for Hull 10/McGinley 10 Crossovers!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Volume Profile Possibly the most important indicator you'll useFind value in finding the most traded SP without having to keep changing your input, simply click the visible range volume profile Zoom out as far as you can go and start adding support lines as explained.
Then zoom into a time significant to you i.e the last year or 2 and see if those support lines are still relevant!
I make no apologizes for the poor audio recording or the thick accent.
Any positive comments or support and I'll invest in a better microphone
Identifying supply & demand zone for swing tradingIn this video, I am going to how you how to identify supply and demand zone as support and resistance levels for swing trading, as a continuation of my previous video - identifying support and resistance for swing trading video. Feel free to watch below if you haven't done so:
There is one key factor that I pay attention to, which is the price spread. I would like to see big spread bar where the price accelerates to the upside or to the downside. If we have access to the volume, we will generally see high volume for those supply or demand bars. Those big spread bars will form the supply or demand zone.
Identifying support and resistance levels for swing tradingSupport and resistance are essential levels for all traders in swing trading. Before one can start placing orders on the buy/sell side, these key levels will form the battlefield for buying or selling.
In the video above, I will show you how to identify the support and resistance levels for swing trading so that you can buy near the support and sell near the resistance to maximize our profit while keeping risk exposure low, to have a better reward to risk ratio.
Depending on your strategy, preference and personality, you always have a choice to participate the swing within the range or in a trend. Swing trader always aim to catch the swing low as early as possible and sell when the swing is ended.
Resistance becomes support level once it was broken up. Always extend the support level to the right and pay attention if the price respect the support level. Do treat support as a zone/area instead of single line/level.
Identifying support and resistance levels for day tradingCheck out my video on how to identify support & resistance and other key levels to prepare for day trading session.
I am using S&P 500 futures CME_MINI:ES1! as examples to prepare for trading session on 16 & 17 Apr 2020 (Thurs, Fri).
Key levels I pay attention to:
Previous day high
Previous day low
non-Regular Trading Hours (RTH) high
non-RTH low
Swing high from a few days ago
Swing low from a few days ago
Swing high/low formed during the trading timeframe (M3, M5).
The day trading process is very simple. Basically just to pay attention to how the price interacts with the key levels and trade on reversal or continuation.
Will it happen again for S&P500 Future ES using analog from 20088 Apr 2020 recap - S&P500 e-mini futures CME_MINI:ES1! had a strong rally up and closed near the high around 2750. The strong price action has totally ignored the bearish tone set in 7 Apr 2020, where ES was up more than more than 3% but closed down on the day.
In 2008, similar situation had happened a few times, such as on 3, 14, 17 Oct 2008. Every times after the price rejection, ES started a downswing. If we pay close attention to 17-18 Oct 2008, it is similar to ES current situation (7-8 Apr 2020) because the rejection bar was followed by a strong demand bar both in 2008 and 2020. Yet, a down swing was followed in 2008 after the strong demand bar, as shown in the chart as illustrated.
Historical analog is good for reference and keep us to anticipate potential scenarios. However, always trade according to the charts.
So far, ES does not show any emergence of supply., which is a bullish sign. Could it grind higher to stretch to around 2800?
Bias - neutral. A range bound between 2630-2750 can be expected. A break below 2600-2630 will validate the up thrust scenario. A break above 2750 should see a test of 2800.
Key levels - Resistance: 2750-2780 Support: 2700, 2600-2630.
Potential intraday setup - A short entry is preferred. Pay close attention on how the price interacts with the key levels, swing high, swing low, neckline, etc...
Up Thrust of ES S&P500 future - What's next move?7 Apr 2020 recap - S&P500 e-mini futures (ES) tested the target around 2700-2770 yesterday and had an up thrust movement on level 2700 before closing below 2650, as per my trading idea yesterday. It had a great run-up during the non regular trading hours (RTH). However, weakness did show up during the US session. ES was rejected from the target 2700-2770 with increasing supply. The down wave is the greatest for the H1 trend started from the low at 2450, suggests a change of character, which means that the up move could stop at least for now, into a trading range or even a reversal to move down.
During today's non-RTH session, ES had a weak rally up, tested only 50% of the last hour bar from yesterday followed by a reversal bar, which could be a sign of weakness. Should ES break below the support levels at 2600-2635, it could test lower targets like 2400-2450 or even the selling climax's low at 2174.
However, if the levels 2600-2635 are defended, with absorption characteristics, ES could test the swing high at around 2750 and possible to grind higher.
Bias - bearish. Expect a break of 2600-2630 to test lower.
Key levels - Resistance: 2650-2700 Support: 2600-2630. Swing high and swing low from lower timeframe.
Potential intraday setup - look for an up thrust or test of swing high at 2658, 2680 and/or key levels followed by a reversal to short. If ES can commit below 2600, I will consider to switch the position to swing trade instead of day-trading.
ES S&P500 future - breakout to start a bull run? Analog inside6 Apr 2020 recap - S&P500 e-mini futures (ES) had a great rally to take out the immediate resistance at 2525 during the non-Regular Trading Hour (RTH) and to further commit above 2600-2635 during the RTH. Since ES broke out the trading range between 2440-2630, it is expected to test the higher target at 2700-2770.
It is worth noting that the upside target at 2700-2770 coincides with :
Fibonacci retracement of around 50% from the top (3397) to the selling climax (SC) low of 2174, as shown in the daily chart.
Axis line or flip zone where there is strong resistance and supply available, as shown in the H4 chart.
During the crash in Jan 2018, ES did up thrust twice before it came down to test the selling climax low. Using Jan 2018's event as an analog, we should be aware that an up thrust is a possible scenario.
Bias - Slightly bullish. Expect ES to test the upside target but also prepare n up thrust bearish scenario similar to 2018.
Key levels - Resistance: 2700-2770 Support: 2600-2635. Swing high and swing low from smaller timeframe
Potential intraday setup - look for an up thrust or test of the key levels / smaller timeframe for a short entry. Possible long entry at the support should it happen.
Is the ES rally done yet? What's next?3 Apr 2020 recap - ES did rally to level 2525 and was rejected again. In smaller time frame (M1, M3), it did provide great short entry after the up thrust of the level. However, ES only managed to test 2450 and bounced up from there. The low volume without aggressive demand caused ES to drift down. Should ES still stuck below 2525, it should break down to test 2400 or even lower (i.e. the Selling climax's low), under the background of lacking of demand.
Daily - After a sharp sell off, ES formed a selling climax (SC) low at 2174 followed by an automatic rally (AR). Now, it seems like the rally is coming to and end. The next move would be a secondary test (ST) to test the selling climax's low. It could in a form of a higher low, similar low or even lower low. Oct 2008 global financial crisis could provide a good analog for reference. Could we see a down-sloping accumulation structure similar to 2008?
Weekly - a megaphone structure is formed. ES could potentially test the low as illustrated should a down-sloping structure in progress. This won't surprise me given the COVID-19 situation is getting worse every day and the impact on the businesses.
Bias - bearish. If ES fails to commit above 2525, it should break down to test 2400 or lower, sooner or later.
Key levels - Resistance: 2480, 2525. Support: 2450, 2400.
Potential intraday setup - Look for a test or up thrust of the key levels and/or smaller timeframe to initiate a short entry. Yet, I will pay close attention for long opportunities like a spring of the swing low, shortening of the downward thrusts, etc... should it arise.
Stay safe and happy trading!
How to enter a trade (entry signals) for CTR/BTC price spikeHi all.
I've had some PM's about the price spike we had for CTR/BTC over the last 24 hours, given that I did some analysis on this a few days back.
I've recorded this vid to provide some context around what you should have been looking for! There's also some time spent on what not to do, which will hopefully be useful for newer traders.
Hope it's useful. Let me know any feedback or other things that you would like covered.
Cheers and good luck,
RJR