Get started

#rsi

A range bound EUR/USD may rise back to its top Sitting in a range EUR/USD may rally back to the top of the range. If not, it may retest the level halfway and continue downward. Signs of bullish anticipation are shown by price finding support at the bottom of the range, a near resembling low test bar - but really a bullish reversal bar , and Stochastic and RSI bullish divergence . entry - above high of reversal bar stop loss - below low of reversal bar target - at around 1.1100 or 1.1450
Long
by amanpaulbhogal
1
Simple RSI-MA Algo Beats DOW By Huge Margin Over Past 100 Years!This simple RSI-MA long/short algorithm beats the Dow by a FREAKING HUGE margin over the past century (excluding dividends and trading costs). The algorithm uses a fast SMA of the RSI as a buy/cover signal and a slow SMA of the RSI as a sell/short signal. Backtest period = 09/17/1916 - 11/02/2015 DJIA = 98 --> 17,830 = +18,094% = 5.38% CAGR Algorithm = net profit + open P/L = +43,349% = 6.31% CAGR Notice how the algorithm dodged both the 30s' Great Depression and the 2008 Crisis. Pretty cool huh? :) ALGORITHM'S FORMULA (use weekly chart): Buy/Cover = MA10(RSI10) cross> 50 Sell/Short = MA50(RSI10) cross< 50 STRATEGY TESTER'S SETTINGS: - Initial cash = $10,000 - Pyramiding disabled - Re-investment enabled (order size = 100% of equity) - Trade re-calculations disabled DISCLAIMER: None of my ideas and posts are investment advice. Past performance is not an indication of future results. This strategy was constructed with the benefit of hindsight and its future performance cannot be guaranteed.
DJ:DJI
by Stable_Camel
4
#AUD/USD #bullish precursorAUD/USD has formed new structure recently showing signs of a trend reversal. Whether this continues to hold longer or not is for price action to reveal. As for now, a potential bullish continuation is brewing after what seems like a shall retracement. The close of price action by end of day as a low test bar above ~0.7250, where price has found support, will further confirm potential bullish intentions in price. Other than that the reasons for going long are: rejection of 50 ema; a rising 50 ema; rejection and close above 0.382 Fibonacci level; and convergence on Stochastic and RSI indicators. entry - above high of low test bar stop loss - below low of low test bar target - at or above previous high/resistance area around 0.7400
Long
by amanpaulbhogal
USD/CAD Bearish Divergence Set UpA bit late in posting, but since my entry short hasn't triggered, I though I'd write a quick post. So price met resistance at the 1.3350 area and closed underneath as a high test bar. A short entry signal is pronounced with the accompaniment of oscillator divergence on the Stochastic and RSI indicator. As it is Friday, there is a lull in the markets as usually is, price may still fail to trigger an entry short and they way the price bar appears now price action may close as an inside bar for which a short entry can be revised. entry - below low of high test bar or low of inside bar stop loss - above high of high test bar target - previous low/lower
by amanpaulbhogal
Short again on AUD/USDAnother short set up on AUDUSD since downward momentum on the previous set up (idea linked) failed is on offer. The present set up comes after a deeper pull back, organic in a sense, into the 50 ema which also lines up with a previous level of support (~0.7250), now acting as resistance, and the 0.618 FIbonacci level. Price closed as a high test bar. Oscillator convergence is visible. entry - below low of high test bar stop loss - above high of high test bar target - at or below previous low
Short
by amanpaulbhogal
A sell-off may continue on the S&P500, Nasdaq 100 and UK100On the S&P 500 and NASDAQ100 indices, closing as a high test bar in the resistance zone, and a bearish engulfing bar on the FTSE100 (UK100) stock index, a sell setup is in order suggesting potential bearish continuation on these three (CFD) indices, following the recent sell off on major indices. 1. S&P 500 The rejection/resistance zone on the S&P 500 comprises the following: - retest of the 50 ema; - retest of ~2011; and - 50% retracement, and close below. Oscillator convergence, as shown on the chart, is seen as an additional argument to enter a potential continuation of seller based momentum in this index. entry - below high test bar stop loss - above high bar target - previous low or lower 2. NAS100 Since the major global indices demonstrate price behaviour correlation, an almost exact set up as on the S&P 500 is also forming on the NAS100. entry - below high test bar stop loss - above high test bar target - previous low or lower 3. UK100 The FTSE100 is in a very clear down trending environment. Three key reasons of a potential continued price decline are: - close as a bearish engulfing bar; - a strong bout of resistance at ~6250; and - rejection of the 20 ema. entry - below low of bearish enguling bar stop loss - above high of bearish engulfing bar target - at previous low or lower
FX:SPX500Short
by amanpaulbhogal
3
Long Pound-KiwiWith the following noted a long scenario appears to be in play: - bullish reversal bar (near resemblance to bullish pin bar/low test bar) - resistance becomes support (at ~2.3260 which stands out as a weekly level dating back to November 2009 ) - retest of 20 ema and close above - trend line support (third touch) - Rejection of 0.618 Fibonacci level and 50% retracement line, and close above - Stochastic and RSI convergence entry - above high of today's bar stop loss - below low of today's bar target - previous swing high or higher
Long
by amanpaulbhogal
Sell sign on EUR/GBPUsing the following to back a short entry on EUR/GBP on the daily chart: - inside bar - resistance at ~0.7120 - mother candle rejects: - 50 ema and closes below - 0.786 Fibonacci level and closes below - Fibonacci cluster - falling trend line for the 4th time closing within the downward trend channel - Stochastic hidden bearish divergence (comparison of swing highs), and Stochastic and RSI convergence entry - below low of inside bar stop loss - above high of mother bar target - previous swing low or lower
Short
by amanpaulbhogal
Divergence, again, on USD/CADAlthough in a healthy uptrend, USDCAD has run into resistance at ~1.3070 which happens to be a price level on the weekly chart that has previously been tested (as support in April 2004 and resistance in March 2009). Price closed below this level on Friday as a high test bar. Coupled with bearish divergence on the Stochastic and RSI indicator a price action behaviour is suggestive of bearish sentiment. Judging by the optimistic Fed outlook to raise interest rates, and positive expectation from the US economy from improving economic data, a stronger US Dollar is likely to continue. The following short setup banks on a technical perspective to take advantage of a sell signal; potentially a temporary run. entry - below low of high test bar stop loss - above high of high test bar target - previous level at ~1.2771
Short
by amanpaulbhogal
Bearish divergence on USD/CADUsing bearish divergence to build a case for reversal trading on USD/CAD with the following favouring a potential short scenario: - resistance (3rd touch) at ~1.2800 - bearish high test close below resistance - price reaches and closes below 1.272 Fibonacci extension level - Stochastic and RSI bearish divergence entry - below low of high test stop loss - above high of high test (placement is discretionary) target - 20 or 50 ema, or previous horizontal level Caution for conservative traders: Fed Chair Janet Yellen testifies at 10:00 EST
Short
by amanpaulbhogal
The Pattern Trader DilemmaStalking this trade made me remember the lectures I attended few months ago as a fresher. Maybe it might not be directly linked but lets just say I turned the idea of a prisoner dilemma to the Pattern Trader Dilemma. Woke up feeling great, knowing that I'm about to continue my grind, and given today is Monday I wasn't expecting a busy day.As I was analysing the EURUSD chart, I saw three potential bearish patterns forming, AB=CD pattern ( in the dashed lines), Gartley Pattern( Blue-violet colour ) and Bat pattern ( Sea-blue colour ). Knowing trading is about probabilities, I asked myself what if all these trades turns out as losers? I'm I willing to eat all these losers? Which one should I take? There goes the Pattern Trader Dilemma. After few minutes of analysis, I decided to take take the Gartley pattern. I'm expecting a deeper CD leg of the Gartley which will increase the risk : reward on this trade. WHY THE GARTLEY? Although the AB=CD would be valid, in order to be safe, my stops will have to be at the same place as the Gartley, hence the pay-off on this trade would not be favourable. But I was interested in the Gartley because it came into the zone I would be interested in taking a short position. And given its deeper CD leg, the pay-off would be great. What about the Bat? Usually, I would go for the Bat, however, since it's not in the zone, I am prepared to eat the loss on this Gartley and on the Bat, if they are losers.
Short
by 6.1.8.Family
2
AUD/CHF shorting signsSimilar to AUD/CAD, AUD/CHF is setting up for a short opportunity with the following in view: - inside bar following high test bar in pull back to 50ema - price rejection at resistance at ~0.8210 - price retraced to 0.618 Fibonacci level which coordinates well within proximity of resistance at ~0.8210 - Stochastic and RSI in overbought territory - Stochastic and RSI hidden divergence (bearish trend continuation) entry - below inside bar stop loss - above mother bar (above previous high test bar) target - previous swing low at ~0.7830, or lower
Short
by amanpaulbhogal