This spike looks over according to : 1/D.Cross. 2/Lower highs, even though in progress still acceptable. 3/ RSI diving. 4/50D Moving average leveling !. 5/ Target area lower line of channel or Red TL !. * Unless something big happens, down trend is in full force.
The VIX remains Bid. Large Range - which will trade. No need to Guess. Obey. __________________________________________ 22.70 to 23.10 the Support Zone. No Shortage of MAcro Data and Fed Pelicans to move this around. After the 4th largest one-day percentage spike in history and the 5th Spike this year... the Market undercurrents are one of danger. The...
The markets are all waiting for decisions on lockdowns, beware of leveraged entries A VIX at 25 is normal .. what moves the markets is a VIX over 30, at least
Debt ceiling talks this week lets see how this plays out over time
Last week was super interesting on multiple fronts (Powell sticking around, new Covid variant, etc.). Despite seeing a big risk-off movement due to Omicron strain on Friday, we are long-biased going into this week. Here is why: 1. There was **heavy** dark pool activity in SPY 2. The sell off on Friday pushed dealers into a huge negative gamma position (appx....
Hi folks! See my linked posts for more information regarding the macro state - I am just mentioning the arguments in bulletts it here: - The Chinese property crisis in getting worse by the minute - although mainstream media does not care. - Margin Debt in U.S. accounts is almost 1 Trillion (apx. 4% of GDP !!!!) - Real income down over 2% so far in 2021 due to...
With 66% probability we have a trough in already as of today, or 34 % with in 8 TDs btw 2.51% -6.19% is the max draw back !!!
Hi and happy Monday to everyone :) This educational post is about VIX and I will present one way how to use it for trying to catch bottoms. Let's start with little introduction: What is VIX? The VIX is an index run by the Chicago Board Options Exchange ( CBOE ), that measures the stock market’s expectation for volatility over the next 30 days based on option...
Idea for Bonds: - US05Y and US02Y printed immense spikes in the pre-market. Glitch? Probably not. Bond market in general is having extreme events globally, US markets not immune. - Not shown on TV, but HYG also printed -7% in the AH on Friday... and traded there for several minutes. - Dollar is unstoppable with global shortage. Pension funds have elected to use...
A Gap 10 Handles below - Weekly and Monthly Chart which is of concern for the Bulls. Delta remains the trade in the VIX. Extensions in Trade, this can become an exponential move barring no Monkey Business from the Operators, ESF, and FED. _________________________________________________________________ The 54.04% move Higher was the 4th largest move since...
Idea for VIX: - Spot VIX sub 17 (quickly rising), 2 point spread has appeared between spot VIX and front month, with a high degree of contango in term structure, and a significant spread between Treasury volatility (MOVE). - Daily Roll Yield 0.10~ - Possible to either capture spread, or have a low risk bullish bias. - Positive correlation right now with Vol and...
Hi I am not to optimitic for Monday but the VIX could tell us that the sell-off found its peak already
as close as 3 trading days & our next target for this coming Wednesday is 37.51 . Also, reaching this high lvl of B% we could be @ a top in 29 TDs as high as 57, data shows since 2009's Low !!!
$VIX Overbought methinks #VIX. RSI over COVID Crash run up = ~87. RSI today = ~83. Seems too much, no?
Vix had a big rise to the upside today, this move could signal a potential market correction on the stock market. Durring time of financial stress or high volatility VIX rises when it goes up shows as an increase investors fear. Today we have a big GAP to the upisde another gap that look like this one is on february 24 2020 when all the covid lockdowns started and...
In MKTS either you are humble or will be humbled !!!
We do have a confirmed 3H Golden cross . Since 2017 3H Golden Cross 13-10-5 -------------------- 46% before a Top 35% after a Top 17% @ a Top Since 1991 Daily Golden Cross 15-11-5 -------------------- 48% before a Top 35% after a Top 16% @ a Top
Some basic TA on past VIX volatility. I feel I see big volatility after Jan 2022, which coincides with many stocks simultaneously finishing their 'Intent Arcs' around that time to the downside.