Simple enough. The market is showing extreme divergence between Futures contracts priced for next month, and Futures contracts priced for Q4. This is the largest divergence seen within this Futures cycle. My theory is that it could be indicative of a bottom in VIX and the market pricing for more serious volatility events later in the year. Key: Bolder,...
there's a slim chance that we go slightly higher. pt: 2941.00 ~ 2686.00 this was a fun run, but it's time we reset some rsi's and start fresh 💸
Not investment advice. I am not an expert. Things could be shaping up for a long overdue test of the 200 Day EMA. The dip buying has been furious the past several weeks. Have those buyers been exhausted? We will find out. Good luck to all.
Anticipate more red next week (sometime around Tue-Thur). Might get a little rallying Friday and Monday.
2 Hour Chart is picking up volatility and the PMO is showing the momentum shifting to the downside meanwhile the Daily chart is in a tight consolidation pattern hence the BB Width but if you notice, on this last rally the PMO never crossed back over to the upside. So the intraday weakness is beginning to show up on the day to day chart, once we break below the...
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Short $SPY the next few sessions...bearish mode
Not investment advice. I am not an expert. Just some observations about chart patterns. Many similarities right now to moments before recent corrections (2018-present).
from a quick analysis of the Vix future we see the volatility which has fallen far below the Bollinger Bands. This technique can be used for mean-reverting strategies when on the assumption that volatility is cyclical.
As you can see VIX is oversold on a daily. BlueWave wants to curve up and give a nice green dot (buy signal) And it's resting on a strong support line. It's not a bad idea to buy some VIX to hedge yourself against the market. Just incase if things do go down a bit.
After a near 50% crash over just 5 days, GameStop (GME) is seeing heavy support at the 21 day EMA, and we're back at a 222 handle. My play here would be to exclusively short GME when we see the upper band of the flag tested near 300+. But, to be honest, with risk so incredibly sporadic, and flows (and price) essentially blurred by MM and Fed manipulation, I'm...
After persistent rejections at the 21 day EMA, Tesla (TSLA) is back at the 100 day MA support around 657.31. Even if TSLA saw incredible flows, their cash burn on the aggressive (global) expansion is going to be hindered by tighter monetary conditions going forward. TSLA's bonds are incredibly important to it's viability/growth strategy, so we need to see a...
AAPL is most certainly in a persistent downtrend, and after catching notable support near the 200 day MA recently, we're seeing resistance now at the 21 day EMA/100 day MA. With key supports broken, the only real support left for AAPL is the 200 day MA around 115.60. It would take a heavy risk off shift for a move of that magnitude to materialize, but imo it's...
The signals on the 4 hr chart suggest that volatility on the S&P 500 should spike within the next day or so. Please like and follow for daily posts on various asset classes. Please also share your views on the trading ideas and whether or not you find them to be of any value to you as a trader. Please note, this idea is shared for educational and discussion...
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Not investment advice. I am not an expert. Anything can happen. If it weren't for 7 of the top 10 weighted SPX stocks being up today, there would have been an absolute blood bath today. We'll see what tomorrow brings.
The VIX dropping below 20 for the first time in over a year would be hugely significant, and most likely cause a breakout in SPY towards 400. It's currently hugging that level in anticipation of the FOMC meeting tomorrow which could well be the catalyst that pushes up over the edge.
Here is my Model Forecast for UVXY: Strategy: - Entry: 7.2 - SL: 4.4 - Wave 3 PT: 207 - Wave 5 PT: 334 - RRR: 116 - Timeframe: 1 year Trading the Blood Moon.