The vix does well in October. Should see another spike coming in soon.
Back on Dec 1 when we initially discussed the possibility that the bond market was poised for a correction/crash, we didnt anticipate this as a stairs up move with the 10Y on the verge of breaking .90% and approaching the 1% mark. However, the rise since August has been persistent, and we're now approaching the 100MA (w) around 1.34%. When credit markets do break,...
everyone is expecting spy to hit $400 this week, but... we're approaching a very important algorithmic target at 397, expect some strong volatility in the days ahead. max pains on 2/19: $spy = $380 $qqq = $320 $iwm = $216 proceed with total caution, and don't fall for the retail trap.
I'm thinking to make a nice play on my upcoming correction belief. Only option I have with my broker is VILX, so started looking into it's history. Only makes big money with big crashes / corrections, and I think we have two on the way. Data was so small for the main chart, but looking at the RSI here, some very interested volatility wave patterns. I'm always...
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Global markets continue to march higher, as every last short position in the world of trading is squeezed to death in seemingly coordinated fashion. While large HF's continue to frontrun retail orderflow, they'll continue to know exactly what retail traders are doing at every moment, and how to take full advantage on the way up, and on the way down with their...
VIX at the weekly view. This is probably my last posting day for a while as my work days gotten longer. I'm still at the office as I am typing this. Let's make this simple. Green line is the 100 week MA. Pink line is the 150 week MA. White line is the 200 week MA. VIX is still in a long-term downward channel and there are multiple resistances above. Closing...
expanded 3rd into the 2/19 opex just under 400 to play with both the bears and bulls emotions. wave 4 probably won't go below fridays dark pool support at 391, though it can. not sure how high that 5 goes, but i'm thinking a 123.60% extension on the larger scale, aka 408. which would also make this last move an extended fifth on the smaller scale. the...
A new low close on the VIX may show us that volatility is set to decline further. Typically as volatility goes lower, the market goes higher.
I'm 100% certain a big correction is coming (possibly barring any stimulus that may scupper this, likelihood is it could even be the cause!) start of Q2 2021. I want to make a Vix play on this and this is my only option with my broker so been taking a dive. Straight away, arcs of intent everywhere, clear ebb and flow patterns. Being a fib fan, especially in waves...
Articles are coming out describing net inflows into vix etps. Very important for retail investors to read the prospectus and realize the volatility curve will shred this product into peices. **This is a trading vehicle and will not influence futures pricing**
Vix futures possible bounce next week
30 Minute Chart (Left) PMO has begun to fade and crossover its averages showing a temporary top is in for the moment while they SPY adjusts and consolidates at this level. 2 Hour Chart (Right) PMO is still in tact so the trend is still upwards, would look for a pullback within the 2 hour charts bands currently established as the BB Width is falling below its...
VIX at the daily view. I know it's been a while since I last posted. I've been absolutely swamped at work with 12-14 hour days, but I'm finally seeing the light at the end of this tunnel. The VIX is back to its general downward channel. From the looks of it, volatility will be limited for a while. When it comes to volatility vs liquidity, liquidity usually...
After an ugly close yesterday, the US majors are rebounding with the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq, all up around 0.50%, and the Russell up 0.80% on Wednesday morning. European markets are essentially flat, with Asian markets catching a bid. The Hang Seng was up by as much as 2% at 8:45AM. Consumer Inflation data came in moments ago; CPI came in lower than anticipated at...
Everybody would like that know that. Although VIX is in principle a forward looking index it is a poor predictor. VIX volatility has in fact been shown to be highly correlated with backwards looking volatility, not future volatility. So let us take a look at the past then, a full 13 years full of different kinds of crises and crashes. As can be seen from the...
The VIX is sitting in a zone where its stayed bid for the last 9 months. What happens here will be important. Given the time of the year, my thinking is that it could potentially continue lower from here.