Market up and the VIXX up. Market getting ready for correction? Look at the VIX
VOLATILITY INDEXES ABOUT TO START MAKING HEADLINES SOON. PREPARE FOR TURBULENCE IN MARKETS THIS WEEK.
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People out here actin' like predicting the future is easy! I'm just on my grind layin down some novel trading ideas. Take it or leave it. UVXY definitely caught a right hook to the chin today but as I made clear in my new RSI Model idea, this type of melt down swing dip typically precedes a spike and it could be exactly what we're seeing here given a lot of data...
CV stocks are following the inverse of SPX but may be off by a day or two. THis chart shows AHPI and APT following very closely to inverse of SPX, especially AHPI. If I'm correct when SPX crashes in a few weeks, CV stocks should rally.
Based on a simple study from LPL Financial's research blog, the market might favor an incumbent president right now. At least that's if it stays above its August 3rd level for four more weeks. Considering where the VIX closed today (new low since labor day), that could be a safe bet. lplresearch.com
VIX at the daily view. Whelp, I said shorting UVXY would be easier than longing it because UVXY and VXX are based on the VIX futures (not spot VIX). I get messages from permabears that say they shouldn't worry about backwardation and the premium wouldn't eat the profits that much. Election volatility will cover the outrageous premium or some bad headline will...
As we come closer to the election date, I expect volatility to ramp up, spiking the VIX which will set off a DXY bull rally. I also expect this current CAD oil rally to end as the hurricane news goes away. Note: I am not your financial advisor
VXX failing fast today. Hit it's support line.
On my last post about AMEX:UVXY I noted the distinct "trade of the week" theme. The idea that volatility would expand seemed to be obvious to everyone thus a trade on UVXY long seemed to be the play. Opportunity is rarely so obvious and that was why I suggested caution. The Trump tweet of last week probably got a lot of folks in the trade excited to see...
When VPT as RSI crosses the line the model predicts a spike to occur shortly after. Anything near or under 30 will do for RSI... the deeper the better, 20 or less being ideal (right where we happen to be at today!). VPT as RSI is good to go at anything under 20. Given the spike prediction with this Price Action I suspect we may be in the middle of a swing dip...
Here's what I'm expecting now based on how things have shaped up this week. I think those couple small bumps took some steam out the sails for a larger movement. Identified the new downtrend channel. Adjusted BUY window... was a bit early to the party! Couple you guys out there were right, here we are under $18.50 haha. Basically just aligned this chart with my...
Opportunity to buy with tight SL represents good risk/reward even counter-trend. Do your own research. This is not trading advice.
Good comparison which I will be watching closely this week. The VIX is calculated using a "formula to derive expected volatility by averaging the weighted prices of out-of-the-money puts and calls.” Using options that expire in 16 and 44 days, respectively, in the example below, and starting on the far left of the formula, the symbol on the left of “=” represents...
in the recent past, when we see a Ichimoku Cloud break in the VIX ( Volatility S&P 500 Index ) we see a strong acceleration upwards. The most recent example of this was on 13 Feb 2020 Inversely proportional to the VIX , the S&P 500 Index had a significant breakdown, represented on 21 Feb 2020 Since COVID19 outbreak, governments around the world have been...
Today, the S&P 500 was able to make strong gains again. However, in a still uncertain environment. The probability of short-term pull-backs is high. On the one hand, the VIX is still trending above the important 50-day line and, on the other hand, the Relative Strength Index was unable to breach the 48.5 thresholds. Thus, the upward trend that began in mid-August...