🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Bulls may have horns instead of FAANGS but it is just an effective weapon. By some measures the Bear market is over and the Bull market phase is in its infancy. ➤ For me, a strong monthly close in May above the February high is that confirmation. Such a close would reverse the downtrend on the monthly chart. A failure to do so will...
Memorial Day (originally known as Decoration Day) is a federal holiday in the United States for honoring and mourning the U.S. military personnel who have died while serving in the United States Armed Forces. For nowadays, it is observed on the last Monday of May, and this year it is observed on May 29, 2023. Memorial Day is considered a U.S. stock market...
We've been closely observing the SPX and VIX charts in recent weeks, and we're seeing some compelling signals that indicate a possible bullish market ahead. 🔍 SPX: Identifying the Firm Bottom and Key Resistance Levels Over the last eight months, the SPX has exhibited a tightening pattern, suggesting the establishment of a firm bottom. This has been particularly...
Observable for weeks now, and recently, the divergence is much more pronounced. What I am referring to are that the equity markets appear to be more and more bullish, breaking out of trendlines; while the leading indicators (TIP, TLT, JNK and inversely VXX) show an imminent deterioration, about to breakdown of trendlines. The combined US equity markets and...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Traders hate weekends and public holidays, probably more so than losing trades. ➤ Equities were up strongly on Friday. I find it curious that with such strong bullish passion it failed to close above the recent high. I might be wrong, but it looks like a classic set-up: Buy the Rumour, Sell the Fact. The rumour is that the debt...
Salutations, At this present moment, I find it challenging to elucidate the precise reasoning as to why the S&P 500 was poised to recede back to the melancholy depths of the pandemic lows. Nevertheless, I can confidently postulate the resurgence of a risk-on environment in the aftermath. ideally as we approach the yuletide chill of Christmas Eve at the...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 "I've got the magic in me Every time I touch that track, it turns into gold Now everybody knows I've got the magic in me When I hit the floor, the girls come snapping at me Now everybody wants some crystal magic" I'm borrowing those song lyrics by The Treblemakers from the Movie: Pitch Perfect. ➤ Equities did indeed gap higher to...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equities gapped lower but found short-term support at the 410 level on the SPY. The VIX accelerated higher. In after-hours trading the price has bounced higher. It would be interesting to see if this is sustained until market open. It could lead to the filling of the gap and in doing so creating another gap. Are you following my...
This probably is not a good sign for the SP:SPX , as these assets are highly correlated (0.88) and normally AMEX:CPER leads the business cycle. Also, the TVC:VIX is back above 20 and NASDAQ:TLT hasn't resume its downtrend. Even the dollar AMEX:UUP is showing strength again. I'm 87% in cash and also have tighten all my stops. Let's wait and see if the...
The stock market just flashed the first sign that investors think the Silicon Valley Bank crisis is over. 👉 The CBOE Volatility Index VIX closed below the 20 level on Wednesday, for the first time since SVB - The Silicon Valley Bank collapsed. That is basically could be a constructive sign and is certainly counter to the general gloom of investors post...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 "D is for Down Like the Market today D is for Distribution We are on our way" ➤ Equities fell back into the recent consolidation. As discussed in yesterday's note, the price action now favours the bearish view. Price tends to fall to the bottom of the range. ➤ Assuming we are in the Distribution phase, the path lower can be abrupt or...
Hello,Friends! VIX pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 15.90 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Yesterday I discussed the potential bullish narrative resulting from a "re-accumulation" phase. Today I'd like to explore the bearish narrative in the form of "distribution". ➤ Distribution is the result of Whales reducing or selling out of their previously accumulated positions. Obviously, they wish to get the best price when...
Volatility is at all time low while also becoming oversold... We have a descending wedge which could break soon and this pattern is a favorite of mine. Targets have been laid out above. Not financial advice, DYOR.
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Due to unpopular demand there will be no more rhyme. I guess I will stick with Trading as my full-time job. ➤ We currently have a textbook re-test of the breakout above the recent consolidation in the S&P500. We will need to re-label the consolidation as a "re-accumulation" if it proves to be a bullish. Re-accumulation simply means...
If you track the CBOE:SKEW index, it reveals when put options on the S&P500 ( AMEX:SPY , FX:SPX500 ) are at high levels relative to calls. Sometimes that means there is a big event ahead and the market participants are buying "insurance" against a sharp drop in the market over the life of the options contracts. So, I think it is important to track CBOE:SKEW ...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 "The market has broken out, So has my trading drought, We are back in the action, Will we profit? That is the question." ➤ The colour theme of today's chart background is fire 🔥 because it looks like the equity market is red hot. Is the Bear market over? It's certainly pointing that way. 👆 ➤ To be frank, I'm not a big fan of breakout...
With the TVC:VIX breaking the symmetrical triangle, see previous post, to the downside we're seeing high levels of complacency. Much of this doesn't make sense but we've been saying for the longest times that markets are IRRATIONAL! With #SPX breaking we could very well see a bigger push and faster. At the moment they are saying it's just a handful of companies...