Apologize, will TRY & keep posting here as well. Hard to post with all the info and multiple charts we provide VIX filled gap much faster than anticipated... We resold the $VIX Puts bringing premium & do not mind getting put (January) 2 days ago Running $VIX working well DEMAND out of $ options, protection likely Even stated markets $DJI $SPX $NDX had...
good afternoon, recently posted my macro outlook - --- just building on that idea here: 👇 potentially, the chop we've been experiencing over the last few weeks was some kind of expanded flat of an (x) wave. if true, this drop is close to being concluded. estimated downside target on this move sits at 3800. --- if all goes as planned, the...
Sorry for not posting but tend to copy paste data to here and been very busy $SPX had ACCUMULATION, last day was 11/30 **************Yesterday was 1st sign of DISTRIBUTION************** #SPX weekly shows LONG TREND in tact & BULL moving avg crossover, for now at least $VIX #VIX no longer coinciding with IN-TER-EST-ING
good evening, --- nice rejection, but not nice enough imo closed my short on the initial dip, as it just didn't feel right. --- likely to consolidate over the next week or two before heading on up to the og target. alt path has us raiding near the lows for a liquidity grab . opex this friday has 3.7 trillion $$ in options expiring, with a max pain...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ If we took a two day view of events, the S&P500 managed to make little headway up or down. Pre-data release, I eluded to people getting a bit over excited by bidding up the VIX. Of course, there was the excitement of the CPI data intra-day. That has all fizzled out for now. ➤ Now that all the excitement is over for another month, I...
Update on my previous idea. It's still make or break for the bear market right now. Personally, I don't see us breaking out of the downtrend. But a fake-out was always possible, and this seems to be what we got following softer than expected inflation data. Note that this technical analysis is a small part of the bearish case. The wider macro-economic...
Could be making a megaphone for santas rally. Would need to break the median $21ish area to continue down and fill the gap. It made a lower price from the area it broke out of the recent down trend. Breaking $21 would be confirmation of a Re-test of the down trend line. If the median holds i would suspect VIX to continue upwards and make a higher high taking the...
good morning 👽 --- everyone is excited today, this is the big day which everyone's been waiting for! the rate announcement owo. right? --- the stage is perfectly set imo, beautifully orchestrated by the puppet master who runs this show. to put into the minds of the exploitable that we're simply going to go up the same way that we did yesterday. --- but...
good evening owo. --- few words before i share my thoughts. the market is a very complex instrument - there's never a sure path as it is completely controlled by human emotion, and complicated algorithms. we as traders must adapt to the ever-changing market conditions, or else we risk getting left behind (simple as that). there's a dozen different paths the...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture ➤ Inflation data came in softer than expected and equities prices jumped with enthusiasm. By end of trade, much of the gains were given up. ➤ The result of the inflation data resulted in a huge price gap between the previous day's close and market open. Gaps like these tend to get closed over time or like today...immediately. Note that...
VIX Watch the close above that yellow trendline and ideally above yesterday's close to get a confirmation of the turn today If SPX gets to my first support zone at 3984-88 then VIX has a potential to get above that yellow trendline Now lets do it
Breaking out of pattern. Look at the last daily bar spiking up before FED announcement. Banks are all shouting recession coming... I think we break out hard on the massice put/call option spread that is currently exisiting. Long a small position to bank on this move.
Despite being tempted to exit this trade during the extended hours activity but i'm now seeing a bullish variables during the regular session such as a Bearish 3 Line Strike at the 88.6% retrace and it's coming off of oversold conditions on the RSI so im adding to my UVXY and TZA puts and shorts and staying long the SPY.
good evenin', wasn't too long ago when i called the top on the dxy. all the dxy bull bro's were like, no way man its going to go up forever. >okkk boomer, 😏 --- so here's my take on what comes next. theorizing a bit into the future here- idea goes like: we correct down in 3 waves, then put in an equal sized leg to the upside into the 120~130 region in ...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Today we saw the unusual situation where the VIX jumped significantly higher and the S&P500 equity index also rose higher. Normally, these two indices move opposite to each other i.e. higher level of volatility (often due to fear) leads to lower equity prices and vice versa. ➤ Astute watchers would have seen this occurrence a few...
Its a very important close for the VIX, all in one day! VIX closed at HOD and the markets closed above HOD! Tomorrow's expected move 3.7% on average - If CPI comes at 7.8% it will be 5% down day - If CPI comes at 6.9% then it should go up 6-7% My bet is we go lower or the vice versa from Oct 13th, where it gap down and then bid all day. So if second scenario...
Big week for markets, stronger than anticipated economic data COULD send the VIX back to he teens and kick-off a nice equities rally. I'm mostly out and NEUTRAL right now but am ready for a breakout or breakdown. Leaning toward breakout....