SPX has been destabilizing both VIX and DXY - both of them fell out of their trajectories because of the euphoric and arogant push of the market - I don't expect the blow-off top to happen - unless SPX breaks ~4015 area - until then I remain bearish. Expecting all markets to retrace today.
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ The sideways movement looks to be resolving to the upside. The SPY/SPX500 is looking to breach and stay above the psychologically important 400/4000 level. VIX has collapsed heading towards the 20 level. ➤ Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) or better known as Trend Followers are a group of institution traders/whales. They are...
Top-level view - Long and strong for 4200, cutting on a 3- & 8-day EMA crossover On the day we see the US500 cash closing +1.4% and above 4000, taking the bear market rally to 14.6% from the 13 Oct low. All sectors rallied with energy the best performer gaining 3.2% - breadth was broad at a stock level and we see 89% of stocks in the index closing higher – hard...
Gap on the VIX daily @ $21.27, almost filled today. 100% of daily gaps on the VIX fill. Should see a move on the VIX back up after this fill, likely on 11/23/22.
The $VIX could be the star of the 2022 Santa rally.
Watching 20-21 zone for a support. Historically VIX 20 zone is the bear/bull line. I expect that to me either tested or even broken for a fake move down and then start to explode. When VIX is at 45+ watch for the market capitulation. Ideal target for the VIX is 65+ early next year. When its moving above 35 and especially 45, no no longs for me period, only sell...
S&P chart against VIX on the monthly time frame. Comparing the longer term trends, when the VIX cycles up and down we get rally's and corrections, but if theres a sustained VIX trend change, it could indicate overall market direction change. IMPORTANT -Normally indicated by higher highs/lows and lower highs/lows on VIX channel. None of this should be...
good evening, --- consider this post somewhat fictional for now, created more for entertainment purposes, but i want you to know that there are some serious data points which i'm going to bring up to build the case that the stock market has found a long term bottom. --- ~our monthly indicator is finally oversold for the first time since 2009 market low and is...
Simple analysis here. The VIX is closing in on strong dynamic and static support. Buy volatility, sell/short high-risk assets (1-6 month timeframe). No change in my intermediate and long-term thesis. Still early innings of a bear market. Market conditions are steadily worsening. Looking for a move in VIX to the static resistance level of 35.8 in the coming...
Vix is giving a Bullish RSI signal on the daily chart. (A Bullish RSI Divergence is a lower price and a higher RSI value.) The previous low was $22.37 and the RSI value was 30.58, today the low was $22.30 with an RSI value of 33.99. The median RSI value for this years VIX bottoms is 37.33.
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ The sideways movement continues in equities. A Bullish bias still applies although my signals have weakened in its conviction. ➤ Choppy conditions are not ideal for my Strategy. Especially the kind where there is a tight range with high volatility (large up and down swings). This is because a large reversal against my entry will...
good afternoon, here's what the nasdaq looks like from a bullish perspective. --- local dip to backtest local downtrend, in confluence with the local 50~88% retrace of the big pop from the other day. i'm labeling this dip as the second 1-2 within what looks to me like a bullish nest . --- if i'm right about the nest, we will see tech take off big time...
SPX has been falling since the beginning of 2022. Judging by the VIX though, there is no panic in the market. People may be a little nervous, that’s all. Meanwhile all major crises ended with a “complete surrender of the bulls”. Meaning the worst is yet to come.
NIFTY Volatility Analysis 21-25 Nov 2022 We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 2%, according to INDIA VIX data (INDIA Volatility Index ) With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 11th percentile, while according to INDIA VIX, we are on 2th percentile. Based on this, we can expect that the current...
Nothing changes with VIX - it is creating a bottom on the bottom long-term curve - this is really bearish for stocks and crypto and we have an exact sentimental replica of 2008. Stay safe!
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equity prices moved side-ways last week. This is good news for the Bulls. As prices have held within a tight range, there is so far no sign of a "Change of Character" or CHoCH. ➤ The CHoCH concept comes from Wyckoff analysis. It describes an abnormal price bar or set of price bars that moves against the recent price trend. A major...
These two normally correlate with each other not on a daily basis but on a trending basis. The last time these decoupled this significantly, it appeared to be a vol impression and it blew up as the 2008 meltdown. We certainly have the ingredients for such an event.
good afternoon folks, --- es kinda looks finished, but remember what i mentioned in my last post. there's a lot of hungry bears trying to short this, and they're all piling in at this local golden zone. wouldn't it be inconvenient for the market to put in another fat leg up to ruin their day? >that's exactly what i think's going to happen. 👇 4130--->3222 ---