The VIX has yet again rejected off daily resistance. There has been a noticeable lack of VIX call buyers also which has been interesting.
good afternoon ~ es still looks kinda trappy to me. 4h hidden bearish divergence confirmed, regular bearish divergence confirmed as well. few other indicators i use are flashing a sell. --- the recent break-down from the bear channel could have been a trap, but i feel the trap isn't quite finished yet. 3550 is the 38.20% retracement (on log scale), when taking...
VIX consolidating and making higher highs. Looks like a spike is brewing, as it just has been a slow grind up. Watching for a break and hold above 35, which would bring pain in equity markets.
Hello, here are the two most likely harmonic patterns of influence for the bulls, and bears. Yellow has an initial fit in the lighter trace, transposed directly to match the recent moves, in darker yellow. Is this an indicator that the regular level behavior patterns have failed, or do we expect abrupt level shifts between regularly adjacent arguments?...
A time like this is when it is most interesting to look at charts that serve as indicators to the broader market.. such as the good ol VIX as we see here on the chart. The VIX, which quantifies the volatility level of the S&P500 on a chart, has been a beautiful gauge on the overall markets temperature on being short heavily one way vs being long heavily the...
after todays close, it looks like es is in an ending diagonal. >each lower low will create bullish divergence. >price contracts \ enters into a squeeze. >larger time-frame oscillators get a chance to completely reset. >most people get shaken out. >this is a form of accumulation by the big boys. --- the finishing move can be a capitulation, potentially to...
Looking back at the most recent, major decline in the market and it's bottom, we can see that there are a couple of major indicators that may give us a clue as to when a bottom may be near. Without complicating things, i submit to you two things that must happen: 1. the VIX must get near or above ~50 2. there must be a bottoming out and a rise in the RSI That's it :)
Much of the bad news is priced in and we are due for a drop in the VIX looking toppy here should come down and market overdue for a boucney bounce!
In this idea, I'm simply taking a look at the S&P 500 verses the actual stocks that make up the S&P 500 by using their 200d and 50d averages. This can be useful as an indicator to look for divergences, early warning signs, or confirmational trend changes. Top pane = SPX stocks above their 200 day moving average Middle pane = SPX stocks above their 50 day moving...
I love this chart, this should explode sometime in Sep/Oct imo, lasting into Mar of 2023. Enjoy the ride, when it breakout, it will be something huge!
nasdaq is approaching my downside target. a lot quicker than i had originally expected, but it's all good - things move quick these days, so you gotta be ready for the unexpected. i am going to catch this falling knife right at $10,974.75. not financial advice. target = 14k.
es ended up rejecting close to the level which i talked about in last nights post - kinda surprised it didn't make it up those last few points. you know what this means though? weakness. --- there's a notable pull wall at 3600, and a notable call wall at 4280 expiring on june 30th, which was opened by jpmorgan. these are our major support \ resistance levels...
TVC:VIX I can say we are just at the beginning of the bear market. Crypto will go to 0 for sure, for indices I expect at least a 50% drop from ATH., and it will take years before we see the bull market again. Recession and Stagflation are inevitable, lay-offs will start sooner or later. money goes to the Bond market and interest rates will increase, and the...
good evening peoples. --- i'm not very convinced that a bottom is in, but it's possible that it is. one key level to watch from here, and it's overhead at 3876.25 push above it, and we will see an expansion to 4000~4100 fairly quickly. reject, and 3600 is the spot we will gravitate to.
Tested the downtrend today and sped away. Also held all MA's including the BB 18ma, so bias is bullish. Is this a sign of things to come into July? Maybe. Over 37 and it will run very quickly to the mid 50's.
With the FOMC only a week away, the volatility index is set to rise again. Our conclusion is based upon the premise that the upcoming rate hike will negatively impact the U.S. economy, which already started to manifest a return of selling pressure. In our opinion, this marks the resumption of the downtrend. We expect the selloff to accelerate in the coming weeks....
Hello,Traders! VIX is retesting a falling resistance line And we are already seeing a bearish reaction Thus, a move down is to be expected With the target being a local level below Sell! Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading! See other ideas below too!