Despite the Russia-Ukraine war, despite inflation being at record highs, the DXY making a new high since 2015-2016, the bond market being in its largest bear market and with equities down 20-30%, the VIX hasn't really spiked yet. So far volatility has been contained and every time the VIX would get overbought at 35 or above, it would slowly get back down. However...
Some broad level views on VIX...Yes it's possible to do TA on VIX, contrary to what many believe. If you don't believe so, please keep comments to yourself and spend your troll efforts elsewhere. Hopefully this is helpful to someone out there.
Traders, It looks like Bitcoin wants to drop even further. My suspicion is that we are going to $26-27k over the weekend. In this video, I explain why. Stew
Got a full 5-wave move to the downside as forecasted. Now it looks like we may be turning for a bounce (similar to March) $NQ_F $NDX $SOX $ES_F $SPY $SPX $TLT $TNX $GLD $DXY $VIX #Trading #Stocks 📉
Hi In this published idea I'd like to show you the correction to my previous update that said long Bitcoin. With this update you can see a much better picture of the Vix cheat sheet custom script indicator. You can use this by going to the custom script indicator then clicking Vix cheat sheet. As you can see it says for the next weekly candle we could...
here is another idea, which would imply another move to the downside. may 30th, is the day a new moon appears in the sky - new moons are historically very bearish for the markets. there is a great possibility that spy goes lower using the current bounce as a wave 4. could look for a rejection from either the 0.382,0.50,0.618,0.65 (when pulling a fib from the...
spy, breaking through some key levels this morning. flow looks decent, most peoples are short. a squeeze was bound to happen. --- the question is, will it continue, or is this yet again another dead cat bounce? --- taking a look at how the es1! came down, it was in a perfect 3 wave move 5-3-5, labeled as an a-b-c (potentially the first of three). a...
35% increase from pre pandemic has not priced in the growth and expansion thats coming DOL's way for sure and that along inflation and belt tightening times and 5$ prices can easily push DOL past the 80$ mark , on technical side a long time channel has been broken upwards signaling a new lower and upper bands
my buddy @bowtrix got me thinking; -inside buys are are the highest levels they've ever been at since the covid lows. -our proprietary indicator is calling out a weekly buy on the spx for the first time in history. -we haven't been this oversold since 2011. -everyone is bearish, every single person. --- i think the bottom is very close to being in, if it...
Double the Fun. Double the Danger. Double, Double down... 25.60 Gap
We have a Potential Bearish Dragon on the UVXY as it shows weakness near the 200 Day Moving Average if we can get some Follow-Through and Break down through the Dragon Trigger Line we can see it go back down to the levels of $12-$10
the stage is set for the spx500 to undergo a massive phase of distribution. it will come in phases, and the final phase will be a parabolic break out\overthrow, out of the "rising wedge" which it will create. i'm hypothesizing an ending diagonal for the final fifth wave in this bullish sequence which had begun 13 years ago; it could go as high as 6k before the...
Despite numerous mentions about the CBOE SKEW Index, we are no where near the 2018/2019 lows (which are the lowest readings on file for the past decade). Understanding how SKEW Index works, it's relationship to Vol Structures, and impact towards Gamma & Vega and how/what it implies by way of Institutional Hedging is another tool for the pros. Do your DD (due...
It now has a clear signal for a final sprike in vix models the sp 500 could see a dropp to 3686 /3772 in the final wave of panic . I maintain 100 % net long based on cycle may 10/12 low due we have reach a. 236 2009 low to peak and a .382 march 23 low 2020 at 3810 area . they will take us to a new low I will then be moving to a margin net long at .075...
If the VIX begins to rain, which direction do you think that will move the equity markets?
es is approaching the midline of a long term channel. the previous times we've ever come close to it, 7\8 times es went below it for a pretty intense bear trap. if history repeats itself, and we happen to dive below it again, i reckon we could find a temporary bottom at $3550 (38.20% retracement when measuring from the highs to the covid low).
good evening, spx500 is not looking so hot anymore. currently backtesting the midline of the descending channel, which is also in confluence with a major level. failure to push above 3950, and the spx500 will continue to spiral down. ---- on a positive note, we have some bullish divergence starting to print; perhaps a few more pokes at the lows, and we'll be...