$VIX to 43 I honestly think that I have charting issues… is this just sexy or what??? Let’s see what happens… GL let me know your thoughts. —————— I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence. I have a...
good evening, i initially expected es to go slightly deeper than it had originally did, and did not expect this random move up last week. was quite the short covering that probably caught a ton of people off-guard. --- after a 3 wave move up these last few days, we saw a sharp move down for todays futures opening session. this tells me one thing, es will likely...
The bottom of the current volatility futures trend channel is at about 26.20, a level that would have been considered alarmingly high a couple of months ago. If volatility reverses and starts coming back up from at or below that level on Monday or Tuesday, a long position in VIX futures would be a defensible speculation.
VIX futures have reverted to the mean, which is 28.50 at this writing. Play safely.
In short, Wall Street is still preparing for worse situations to come.
es looks to be in a pretty heavy impulse to the downside, after a double 1-2 extension from earlier in the month, it still has more legs to go before this correction is completed. sub 4000 is where i'm aiming for. 3970~3920ish before we see a larger deadcat bounce to potentially as high as 4700. that bounce will get a lot of people very excited - people will...
Idea for UVXY: - Mistakenly closed previous position too early, but at least it gives more confirmation in the thesis. - DXY continuing its ascent, causing macro bearishness. - Efforts to break above 200D SMA on SPX continuously rejected. Waited for an SPX below the put wall at 4350 "to be sure". - There is risk in short positions pre-CNY, but there is a Quality...
Monthly and weekly modes indicating similar targets. Obviously Russian uncertainty is a big driver of this move.
If we break to new highs it's almost a guarantee that, provided we are hitting new lows in multiple important sectors like tickers xlf, qqq, spy, we take this over 19. The only real guarantee is that whatever high we hit in UVXY we are seeing lower prices soon. low 14s is where I'm drawing these hypothetical puts expiring a me to.e early March. This is based on...
morning i'll be totally honest, es does not look healthy. it's dangling off the 55 weekly ema, nasdaq is below the 55 weekly ema no real reaction, no absorption, nothing really. ---- here's the thing though, from the second of february es put in 5 waves down so by the textbook, it is required to correct this 5 wave move but since the market is lacking...
In my opinion, buying a VXX weekly call option is an amazing way to hedge your crypto portfolio against the market volatility resulting from geopolitical and macroeconomic concerns. Unless you live under a rock, you've reeceived incessant push notifications regarding the Russia/Ukraine geopolitical conflict and the inflation-driven macroeconomic concerns....
morning, as per a special request - here's my nasdaq projections. ---- there is three potential trajectories from the current levels. #1. implies that we've bottomed, and we will begin a mean retracement to the upside to correct the 5 wave impulse. #2. implies that we have not completed wave 5 yet, and will continue trending down until the wave 5 algo target...
India vix is continuously increasing from September 21 now at 27 it should touch 30 now I've stopped trading at this situation this is fear indicates you'll loose every trade you take on options, usually ViX trading below 20 good for trading but now it's showing fear, one should definitely stop trading until it comes below 20 otherwise you'll be trapped and loose...
VIX reversal zones. In between reversal zones there is a historical level of support/resistance at $23.53. Anything North of that number creates a volatile market. Look to buy SPX when VIX finds support under $23.53. VIX is in a wedge (bullish), historical support below, and holding the 20 MA . ALL BAD signs for the market!
As long as the weekly MACD on the VIX is above the histogram line there is still a case to be bearish on stocks. A summit has been announced between Putin and Biden to try to de-escalate tensions in Ukraine. See what happens.
As you know I am a macro guy and whenever the market is coming to a collapse the vix goes up. Enjoy the ride till 2023
This is for going long UVXY or VXX. I am fine-tuning on systematic approach to trading long volatility. I have back tested the rules below with great results! Please comment and share your thoughts. I traded this several times recently and have done well with it. It is fade-it or half-life approach; decaying position or reverse pyramid, since the underlying...