👋 HOLA team! A very rare system has triggered in our studies. This is a 7️⃣ day higher close for the VIX. We backtested the system since the initiation of the SPY (Only 11x, super rare 💎 ). What we see is that....(drum roll 🥁) the 3 days move has yielded 100% bullish move. This is quite a tell. Average bullish move has been 1.7% for 3 days. 🟢 However, given...
we are at a critical level in UVXY where oscillators like rsi are making a same low while the price has decreased somewhat.
Long term hold "Long" on this one -- - No financial advice.
VIX (implied volatility) has reversed with market indicating increased volatility expected. This may be viewed as a canary in the coal mine, with increasing likelihood of a more substantive market correction. The measurement further supports risk of correction as economic environment cannot sustain extreme QE in face of rising inflation and the risk of...
Now we see that the SPY has made over 12% drawdown since it major top in 04JAN22. Currently the correction in the Nasdaq Composite reached -19.72% peak to trough while the Russell 2000 came off -21.44%. This is the largest correction in the general market since the Covid crash in March of 2020. However, this indicator is a sign that we might not be out of the...
Wild day for markets yesterday with Nasdaq erasing a 5% drop and finishing positive. Here's a couple of interesting facts about yesterday. The S&P 500 has recovered from an intraday loss of more than 4% only three times (since HLC data began in 1977): - Jan 24, 2022 (yesterday) - Oct 16, 2008 = down -4.63% and closed up 4.25% - Oct 23, 2008 = down -4.28% and...
I expect bearish price action from this point on VIX as price takes out buy side liquidity above old high printing a new high, we have a GAP that should be filled and a lot of inefficient price action AKA imbalances that should be filled as well, i think we go down from there right into 24-25 that means indexes should RISE that means RISK ON market...
We are now close to upside target in the vxn 42/47 and vix 42 I will now go from bearish to NEUTRAL in my signals and look at Sept CALL SECTOR FOR THE NET LONG IN SPX DIA MSFT NVDA HD TOL LEN
⚠️Alright team, nasty action from the $TICKs all morning, as the selling pressure isn’t easing up here. $SPY is trying to hold support around $425, which will be a key level to hold here to avoid even more downside ahead of the Fed on Wednesday. 🔴 In a perfect world, things will hold support here and bounce later in the week, at which point we’d look to...
All of the blue cups are the same size and as you can see, they have been very accurate in attempting to capture the potential movement of the VIX in relation to the markets. We're seeing the markets making up some of the lost ground from yesterdays sell as expected, but if the bowl is to be respected as we have seen so 9 times in a row (last 6 being very...
SET index, Thai people call it "Khun Puu" means grandfather (age 100 years old but not yet die..) he walks slow and low sensitivity ...doesn't matters the world is happy , panic or fear . . No financial advice / only for study purpose
Idea for Stocks: - I think we will decline to Q2 2022 at the least. - IMO, Market participants have completely misjudged inflation expectations and currency devaluation and mispositioned. Market seems largely positioned for goldilocks/reflation, inflation and growth, but nothing could be further from the truth. Inflation fears will not be talked about in 2022. -...
Hello guys! on Above chart you can see spx at the bottom and spx/vix at the top, as you can see, spx/vix tends to move in a rising channel and every time it breaks below its rising channel (red lines), S&P 500 will go in a big correction (correction+sideways) or even depression. :( unfortunately on 19 jan 2022, we closed below the trend. **now how far it can...
- Educational purposes only! - Trade at your own risk! - Main language - English
- Educational purposes only! - Trade at your own risk! - Main language - Russian
The VIX has been quietly building up in the past few weeks. The absence of large put buyers in stocks has seen the VIX remain fairly subdued. I have also not seen any large VIX call buyers stepping up as I would have expected to see by now. Interesting to see in the week ahead what happens.
we have reached another crossroads for vix, and thus one of my favorite etfs: UVXY. if we hold mid to high 11s the we could be up at mid 12s by friday if we keep breaking to new lows today and tommorow then we could be back down in the low 11s by the middle of next week.
i just wanted to show people why this could still go very badly for broader market longs. im not doomsaying, or fear mongering here. im simply outlining why i still have a long forecast for vix, even though we are almost breaking to new lows in uvxy. the highlighted areas are times in the very recent past where spx has increased in volatility even while indices...