the last few times vix has done this on the daily as spx sold off the week high was suddenly taken out, bullish divergence in rsi showed for uvxy as it beat the 1 of trend based fib extend, the vwma tucked under the price and began to rise as volume increased until the price hit the 2.618 right now the 2.618 is around $18.94 if we get over the week high right...
Concerning chart. Looks like a backtest today ... as long as below 209 there's substantial risk to the downside $RTY_F $AMC $CROX $SPY $ES_F $QQQ $NQ_F $VIX $TLT $TNX $DXY #Stocks #Trading 📉
The highlighted areas show time of higher vol in the S&P 500. At face value it looks like numerous spikes in vol and part of the course when investing in the worlds most popular index. 2022 is set to be a year of increased vol, making this chart one of the ones to focus on during the course of the year. Interest rate will rise, geopolitical risks are very high,...
It's interesting that the VIX hasn't really increased all that much but the SPY is back into a zone he VIX had spiked before. Could be last change to buy puts before a much bigger flush lower!!
Possible the market has gotten ahead of itself on the rate rise? 4 hikes fully priced in already. Ascending channel at key resistance area $TLT $ZN_F $ZB_F $TYX $DXY $SPY $VIX $QQQ #Tech #Rates #Trading
No description provided. Monthly RSI been in hibernation and is ready to hunt. Think we're in for a crazy couple of years and I'm sure the markets will react.
Settlement for VIX today. VXF moves to CC VXG. VIV Index 22.79 VXF Settle 22.625 VXG Settle 24.475 185 Ticks of Roll Yield.
Hi folks! A fourth real test of the long-term trend line from 2020 right now - in what seems to yet another red day for all financial markets around the globe. Technically, BTC actually looks very tempting in isolation, but almost every stock index looks terrible. I will be shorting for 37k at least if the trend line breaks, and fill up my longs on a New bounce...
Hi folks! Just a short take on the VIX: During the last weeks, we have seen some volatility, but the VIX has barely moved (in VIX-scale, that is). This is not a good sign for the market - as the market usually do the unexpected thing. The Fear and Gread index is also neutral, so the market is not afraid at all of a further dump. Every single period of...
Hi folks! Not much to say - extremely critical support at apx. 41.3k - along the long term trend line since 2020. The S&P500 and Nasdaq are not yet on their daily supports, so this CAN be ugly, but we might also have a crazy bounce - just watch the market closely today (and potentially during the week if we end up in a narrow consolidation pattern in a couple...
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There is no telling what will happen, but from a technical point of view there are two possible outcomes that can happen. And one of them is not the good one.
Hi folks! The market just feels untradeable at the moment - there has been significant correlation between BTCUSDT and the stock market in the last couple of months, and that generally holds in periods of fear. Now, the stock market itself seems untradeable ATM (although the overall picture seems bearish): - Intraday Bounce in american stocks during friday. -...
Here we have VIX divided by SPX and M2SL which has been inverted and set to logarithmic. When we do this we are shown an extremely consistent linear channel which we can define ranges that tell us when to Buy/Sell SPX and VIX and short VIX / Long SPX. Adding the stoch RSI and Fisher transform can also tell us with the Volatility is due to increase and LONG and...
What can the past teach us about the present, furture? What do Energy, Interest Rates, and Volatility have in common? Perhaps more than meets the eye. One could surmise this has been ongoing since 2000, one could argue since the 80's. Cycles repeat, can gets kicked.....until we run out of kicks, then the roosters come home to roost, (and they do occasionally...
Reviewinig the Leading Inidcator Weekly panel... The JNK has a Sell signal, retraced and may break down to a lower low target, as previously expected. Not yet happening, but with a lower high, the bias is closer to the downside. The IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) also has a Sell signal and lower high. Waiting for a lower low confirmation with a break of support. The...
Hi folks! As you all know the fundamentals behind the stock market rally is not great - and it is driven by one thing and one thing only: All time low real interest rates (U.S. CPI - US10y is almost 5.5 percentage points - that is insane!). Since the market has kept on going far longer than I expected, I have turned much more into T.A. in the last couple of...
Hi folks! As I stated in my last two posts about BTCUSDT (see linked), I bought at the long-term trend line (purple), as we saw buy signals in the MACD, RSI (not shown), Bollinger and the Money Flow Index. However, the volume was still very low on the bounce and the pullback larger than expected - in addition to the apparent bull trap in the stock indexes...