2:30 to 3:00 PM EST today will provide indications for Globex this evening. Should they follow the usual suit, the Indexes will begin to grind higher into the Close. All of the leaders, with the exception of FB - were sold. Continued Distribution. __________________________________________________________________ With VXZ and SPOT/CASH VIX near Par and 100%...
VIX is showing signs of a bottom and I think this will move up in correlation with the DJI gap below possibly filling. We have 200 and 50 emas above at highest target, 200ma at lower target, both match up with smart money high volume buying in theory. NFA, DYOR
after the SL level is almost hit . it reverse and go up to hit the TP level. enjoy.
Full retracement long indicted on Break of the 18.69. Retail positioned Long, only to be screwed again @ the .764 Front run, chasing it up to 22.64. Another Crushing. _________________________________________________ IF the ES breaks out ahead of the FED or on FED Catalyst to higher, it will complete Lower.
240 Ticks to Gap Fill. Settlement Wednesday. FOMC Wednesday. ______________________ Short Term, Gap Fill Probability is increasing on ES Symmetry. A Full Retracement could be in Trade.
200+ Ticks to Gap Fill VXZ M1 / V1 lower Gap Fill Continuous Contract simulated in next Commentary. _____________________________________________ ES breaks ATH this week and M1 will correct sharply.
Just be careful out there because we might be heading towards a big deflation event. NOT INFLATION... DXY could break above $130 and TLT could break above $200.
There is a rhythm to Volatility. It ebbs and flows at the whims of Fear(s). Suggesting there is minimal Fear present is incorrect - there remains a great deal of concern within the Equity Complex. As well, Life arrangements on the Gerbil Wheel. __________________________________________ What is unknown is unseen. Understood, no unfortunately not. The...
Can I post this before it fills? Running fast, NFA, DYOR
This can be a very dangerous pattern that has formed... All eyes on what happens next few days. But if we start going down, I will definitely open a huge short position.
Market has held as I stated in my last video between $467 and $469. Today we broke $467 as weak hands closed out their positions prior to the CPI data tomorrow morning. Question is, will future markets hold or sell off prior to CPI data. Either way the VIX is basing as you can see the option market is pricing in the volatility and we could have a volatile...
2.14 P/C at present which should peak near 2.24. Many Traders believe the FED will Punt. We do not. The VIX itself, being left for dead during a rollover. Meanwhile, CALLs are selling at 354% to 427% prem to PUTs. ____________________________________________ INdices are rallying, as they do ahead of the FED. Money Flows are positive into Equities, into...
The Vix has reached the 61% target retracement. On the 1 hour timeframe, a new low has been made even with the previous high being broken. The 15 min looks the same. We could be running out of gas soon. However, let's see if the 88% retracement is the next level! We are fighting the 200 ema right now. Let's hope for a push down to around $16. Since July, price...
The issue is this... "Offsides, Out of Balance" Conditions are beginning to show clear signs of extremes once again. They are now 2X. ______________________________________________________________ Observe the VVIX very closely. Arrangements are under immense duress.
1/ After Covid's low, we have had 11 "Divers" on 3H chart. 2/ 11 out 11 Divers, Volatility was over W/ 100% success rate !. 3/The only scary thing is Covid's crash we had 3 divers, beside our 11, diving down while volatility spiking let that sink in !
What fears me is that for some reason, the market tends to only crash near the very end of the wedge every time. So we may not see a full crash till early next year.
Market is barely holding up. I would 100% not go long at these insane levels.