AUDUSD reversal at 23.6% RetracementThe 4H retraced to the 23.6% fib and provided a hammer which is why I wasn't hesitant to sell, even beneath the trendline. Upon the 4H close and hammer. Price immediately progressed bullish to create a strong higher high, broken correction trendline, as well as ADX mixing in to provide confluence. Intraday the 1H timeframe is a clear opportunity to go long on this pair to at least its -27% target. or the 61.8 Major fib retracement. I believe that this pair is still in an overall downtrend until its creating daily higher highs and higher lows.
1hourchart
AUDUSD pivots suggest a short scalp`I believe that price is retracing bearish for its 4H higher low, in the meantime, intraday swings on a lower timeframe must correlate with becoming bearish. The 1H has already began creating lower lows and a lower high. I will monitor to see if price creates a higher high of gets rejected at a key neckline, resistance, trendline, and reversal area. There's a lot confluence in this area.
Currently price is relatively close to breaching the bearish correction, indecision is needed, along with volatility and indecision or a reversal at a key area.
Will shorting ETH today lead to a breakoutI am anticipating the top of this intraday indecision uptrend. The 4 hour has been creating weak candles throughout this bullish push to retest 38.2. or the bearish engulfing for the daily Lower high. Intraday on the 1hour chart price presented a shooting star at a retest of a prior shooting star. I placed my stop loss just above some prior highs in that area.
Part 1 of catching a reversal is to trust structureI noticed that Ethereum was re-testing the neckline of an inverted head and shoulders pattern while at the bottom of a range and on top of support. Price provided an indecision candle on top of support as well as 61.8 fib. I anticipate that price will push back higher to retest a prz level. we have to get there first. It could begin with this purchase at a higher low.
Buying Ethereum at a Low is a good ideaThe Daily did not confirm its Bearish Engulfing from the 38.2 retracement level. Which tells me that a potential reversal is underway. Especially after a daily hammer and intraday the 1H HAS CONVERTED AN INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS. This is important to our bias change from overall bearish to short term bullish. The 4H hour is in line with this move by the fact that it broke a minor swing high. or a lower high. This buy set-up can be clearly seen on the 30min as well as the 1hour timeframe.
Gold creating its 3rd higher high after a steep declineI believe it's time to counter trend trade this pair. I plan on counter trend trading this pullback(retracement) of a daily lower low. TDI was too bearish on the 4hour chart from me to take a long position on Friday but now, all signs are clear for a buy upon a reversal signal at re-test. The swing high is around 1983.27 the swing low is around 1958.15. the neckline for the double bottom is the weekly support. I've already remarked up my chart for the 4hour supports and resistances. I intend to trade as relatively close to naked as possible since the candles speak for themselves as loud as the fundamentals. We're up all night to get lucky as we become more patient with this setup we'll learn that it's the simple fundamentals and basic levels of structure that determine our bias for direction we must be attentive and prepared to switch immediately upon a retest of structure.
Additional Long positions can be added to USDJPYI'm currently long USDJPY at 134.737 and 134.892. My target is 138.700. I'm looking for any opportunities to scale in additional entries to capitalize on this massive move. There is excellent 4H bullish sentiment as TDI suggests that price is still overall bullish. The Daily is pushing for structural higher highs. The 1 hour timeframe is clearly in an uptrend and there's some confluence of a pullback after the 1H presented an evening star at its most recent high. I anticipate a retracement near the 136.160 area, 4H support (re-test) or potentially the back of a trendline. Intraday setup but the volatility is present for a bullish push.
A reversal candlestick on top of support and in a confluence area will trigger another buy.