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2-period

Bitcoin past & futureI discovered some major periods. Mark this: 371 day and 553 days. Plusminus couple days or weeks. When was the first halving, we have got new significant peak after 371 day, and a second peak at 553 day. It happened again in 2016-2017 and 2020-2021. The bearmarket started after halving 553 days, and it was 476 day long two times (2015,2018). There was an accumulation zone, which was 258-406 long two times. So if I count these periods, the descent slowly ends, and we jump to the accumulation zone, which will starts in March 2023. After the next halving i count a rapid rising between 100k-300k. If the history repeats itself, we will got new peak in April 2025 and October 2025. Fingers crossed.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Kopipaszta
2
I'm shorting AUDCAD 📉💵Trade details for current trade are shown on the chart. Trade has been live since 13:15 UK time and we are using our POW reversal script. We are working the 15M time frame on this strategy. We're looking for the green line which is take profit target. Little red short arrow is entry point and purple line is stop loss. Trade history can be seen at the foot of this trade idea too for full transparency. Previous trade can also be seen on chart. This strategy has been adapted to low trade volume but high win rate as you will see in the report box below. In that box every trade is logged and can be viewed by clicking the tabs in the report box. You as the viewer of this idea can also do that so go ahead and have a play. ------------------------------------------ I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily. Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way. ------------------------------------------ Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏 Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌 No one likes missing out, do they? Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this. The stats for this pair are shown below too. Thank you. Darren
Short
by pow_removetheguesswork
1
EURUSD short alerted 🔔👍We have already banked 27 pips of this mornings long trade before the new short trade presented. New trade details are shown on the chart. We are working the 30M time frame on this strategy. We're only looking for the green line which is take profit target. Trade entry is the white line and purple line is stop loss. Trade history can be seen below this trade idea too for full transparency. ------------------------------------------ I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily. Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way. ------------------------------------------ Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏 Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌 No one likes missing out, do they? Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this. The stats for this pair are shown below too. Thank you. Darren.
Short
by pow_removetheguesswork
1
A new paradigm: choose your countrySee these economic freedom rankings? Richest countries are the free-est ones with Oil adding noise to the correlation a bit. 2021 update: The USA, which were rank 4 of economic freedom 25 years ago sank to position 21, and by the looks of it, it is not about to get any better :) Daesh and ISIS continue to piss themselves with joy and each time the USA basically get a new leg down they say it is god wrath, at that point they might even be right. The United States collapse will be biblical! Even christians have this saying: "Woe to those who decree unrighteous decrees, Who write misfortune, Which they have prescribed To rob the needy of justice, And to take what is right from the poor of My people, That widows may be their prey, And that they may rob the fatherless. Isaiah 10:1-2" As I said, biblical. There are more factors than economic freedom (which are almost all bad with the USA they just have a monopoly on big tech with China and Russia not managing to compete outside of their borders AND they USA also has the reserve currency pyramid scheme of course which once again only Russia and China are fighting - Ghaddafi tried and bad things happened). Libertarianism originated in the left, and bounces between the 2 sides, right now in the USA they are associated to the right, and in some other countries the left. This childish left/right thing, where does it even come from? 230 years ago in france républicains sat on the left wing of the assembly, loyalists sat on the right, and montagnards up high but no one cares about them. The left was supposed to be populist, now it's the right. The right was pro monarch and then big business now they are populist, but with low taxes. We don't really know who's who. Freedom to riot is also bad for business. Riots in the USA and the right to loot were ignored because irrational exhuberance (although some companies such as Target said they were leaving California so it will have an impact at some point and dumbvestors will be left holding the bag of a ponzi scheme). In South Africa riots are so not ignored. MS already is bearish and predicts economic contraction (3.5% they said, a few days ago). Plenty of large to small businesses are either leaving or got destroyed (and don't plan or rebuilding). Economic freedom is basically a filter, like MACD, except it's not idiotic like MACD. Under a certain economic freedom investing is a no-no. Low economic freedom have high risk, low reward, low winrate. Just bad. You don't even get something for the risk you take. I think about half Americans want to secede or something. RT (obviously) has relayed that 66% of southern republicans want out. And on the west coast 47% of democrats want to get out. Depending on who wins federal elections southern democrats would want out. A very interesting number is in the south 50% of independants want to get out of the Union. Give it a bit more time, a bit more downtrend, and these numbers will go up. I'm not sure how it works I think they don't even have the right to a referendum (Scotland does). Texas might have that right, and I'll guess they'd be super high in freedom. Other southern states might be lower in freedom, all conservative and everything. Also since the USA are sucking in millions and millions of migrants from central and south america to stay in power (democracy makes sense) the central/south american countries will only have the die hard nationalists left. At least the USA are no longer sucking in all the qualified people so other american countries actually get a shot at growth, when all their engineers were being stolen they end up being a very high Gini country with very few "elites" and a huge population of well useless eaters or near-useless eaters to put it bluntly. There's always going to be divides. At least with this people get to choose. Of course the parasites will always want to leech off of the rich productive countries so it will be necessary to pick a free country but with intelligent border control. The United States had this a while ago and it worked out for them. Parasitic country leeching all the qualified people of the world and throwing a bit of foreign aid like it makes up for it. On the flip side damn France was literally paying KGB Soviet Spies to come study in the 80s. That's just... With right wingers going to certain places and leftists other ones countries will be each on their side, but that does not mean a single party, they'll be left and right but within the country ideals/traditions. Democracy still, with everyone agreeing on the basics. Right now I am not sure the United States can have a republican government ever again, too many migrants that vote democrat got in. Within democrats there are the "original" ones (Joe Manchin, Biden...) and the socialists (Bernie and the squad), they agree on the basics more or less. Republicans are home to republicans and libertarians, and they agree on the basics. The current United States are more divided than they've ever been as far as I can tell. So as I said, countries will stick to their fundamentals and attract (or select) migrants with similar beliefs but it can continue to be democracies, actually democracy can enforce a system as I explained. And you get to look like the good guy. North East USA vote for socialists or democrats, Texas votes for libertarians or republicans, Southern states vote for republicans or I don't know the christian shariah law I guess? (strict clothing rules, abortion totally outlawed, etc). The west coast will choose between ultra-progressives and radical marxists (they might be financial/corporate/economic consequences). What's left is the middle of the USA. I don't know. They just break into bits each joining one of the new countries. Like Crimea was gifted to Ukraine right? The progressive states will allow abortion up to 1 month after birth and the conservative ones will outlaw the morning-after pill. In other words there is a risk that some states become too extreme, with little opposition. It's a good thing that divided people aren't forced to live together (2 wolves and 1 sheep voting on who to eat), but it's not "happy ever after". Also maybe there will be racial laws but I won't get into that. Maybe the world goes back to a more tribal system. There is a new period with a new world order every 75 years, and a new era every 2-3 centuries I believe. It is time. I am euphoric about it. We can do this the easy way, or the hard way. A handful of greedy politicians want to do this the hard way of course they do. France parlementaries are getting death threats, and résistants have started destroying buildings. Idk maybe this scares the politicians? South Africa transition will be violent. United States are a little violent but it's nothing crazy. I can't predict how it will evolve. It can all happen in parliaments, very civil (if officials don't always flee states to dodge voting, the "filibuster" stuff), there can be referendums and that's it, no need to kill each other. Some might do everything to avoid certain things happening and force violent events, unless the population is smart enough to avoid divide to conquer who am I kidding of course they are not smart enough. Well we will see. It's like chess there are x possibilities next turn, then x² - all the checkmates all the dead pieces, then (x² - all the checkmates all the dead pieces)*(x - checkmates etc). Chess grandmasters do not know what the other guy will play, but they know what he might play AND all the next 5 to 10 turns possibilities. And some times every single possibility leads to checkmate but there is no way of knowing what the other guy will play until then (unless you know the guy or it is a time where everyone plays the same troll moves when they know they have lost). I know what the trend is and the possibilities. I know Oregon won't go full religious conservative for example. For that to happen first many other things have to happen in which case it will unlock the possibility and I'll be aware of it. I do not already know exactly what will happen everywhere, depends on the variables. I know who'll probably be progressive, economically free, etc. I already know who'll I'll bet on and who I'll short sell.
by MrRenev
6
An oppertunistic shake-outSince I've posted the previous chart (on 1th of may) we can see the TTM squeeze hasn't completed yet (marked in upper chart with yellow circles). But in my previous post, I've also explained how I use this DMI indicator to signal the start of a new trend. measure the fading trendline untill its end. track the intermediate bearish pushes up till strength 40 The focus on strength 40 wasn't the right way to look at it. All the pumping happening at the time got to me, making me grow impatience. Because since I've posted that chart, these pushes became more dominant. And now we have had two consecutive bearish pushes. This can be described in two ways. The first explanation (oppertunistic shakeout, my prospect. Previous analysis still applies): When the trend is stale in both directions, it doesn't take a lot of force to move the price significantly. What this means is (I try to explain in layman's terms) less bears are necessary when the bulls are absent and vice-versa. The price shift is caused by opportunistic trades and do not have a fundamental catalyst. This does not cause a change in prospects but is psychologically torturing traders with long positions. The second explanation, the reversal engages and a trend down is set. This is a premature conclusion and the chart is misinterpreted. I like to point out, misinterpreted. Not a false signal . It is extremely hard to predict a reversal (means charting before a reliable confirmation signal has happened). The DMI can be used for these things if used accordingly. We have 3 points in our chart that tell us we can't predict a reversal 'reliable'. 1. If we were to chart a new trend, this can only happen after the current trend halts. - An example of a flaky trend stop signal would be on 23rd-24th april. - An example of a clear trend stop signal would be on the 20th of march No trend halts abrupt, nor is the halt always very clear. But we can see pretty obvious that the combined trend hasn't dropped below 20 since the 1th of may. It has come close to 20, but didn't drop below it. And even if it did, it would take an additional bar (longer silence = more reliable) for an acceptable trend stop according to my own methods. 2. Both bearish pushes had less strength than past bullish push 3. The second bearish push was weaker than the first one, while the last bullish push was stronger than the bullish push before that. If you enjoyed reading this please leave a comment. If you have any questions, please DM me. I can imagine you have questions, i am happy to answer them personally. As I am a small analyst with few followers, comments actually give me huge dopamine rushes.
Education
by UnknownUnicorn12005085
1
Cyclical activity: getting into the statsStatistics (all ranges in percentages) EURUSD from Jan 2001 to Dec 2020 AUDJPY Apr 2003 to Mar 2021 USDCAD from Jan 2001 to Dec 2020 EURGBP from Jan 2001 to Dec 2020 Summary January, May, September, October have the largest OC ranges; February, June, July, August, have the smallest ones; January, March, October, November have the largest HL-OC; April, May, September, December have the smallest ones; June has the worst OC/(HL-OC) of them all; April, May, September have the best ratios; March, June, August, November the worst ones. What I might deduce is April typically has a small but solid trend that maintains its gains, May continues it (strongest of all months), then in June it ends and corrects. February I can't draw any preliminary conclusions, March trends average but fails hard eventually, if Feb starts a trend March will end up, probably in gross sideways chopiness. September starts a trend and goes from 0 to 100 the fastest, unsurprising. October continues the september trend and also is a big trend ender. The data I checked sort of confirms my bias. I can predict a bit in February, January, March, April are not very active May-June are good, I've been predicting reversals July-August it depends September & October the best, september trend but even reversal and those go far February reversals don't count on them to continue... March is unpredictable afaic but catching a move can be a 10-bagger+ Starting from late Feb actually, to mid-late March I'd say, then exit I expect nothing out of November & December So.... Another one, summing up how I see when to follow, when not too, and when to hold a little a lot or not at all: April going to be calm but not too calm hopefully. I wonder if it is the same with stocks? European ones? I wonder what I can do about it? The year is mostly done in February (sometimes January too), May-June, September-October, and sometimes the summer is easy. 5-8 months / 12. What to do the rest of the time? Sell strangles? It's not simply of lower volatility it is much more random with sometimes the same ATR. Just backtesting and analysis and learning? What industry is active in March-April & November-December, vacations? This has to be studied but perhaps I can buy in April a call or put with a June expiry in anticipation of a trend.
by MrRenev
BTC bullish long-term outlook and correction end (Daily/Weekly)Hello All! While monitoring the current BTC correction, I stumbled upon a very interesting idea from: www.tradingview.com First of all, I analyzed it from volume dynamics point of view. Then I saw some repeating similarities over certain periods of time as well as possible confirmation of classic definition of "previous resistance becoming support (and vice versa)". Even though, this is not any type of Wolfe waves I'm usually working with, but rather pure speculation of "what if" scenario for me, the more I looked at it the more it felt like a real possibility. Thus, I decided to share the final result of my research with all of you. Good luck and great trading to everyone!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by OceanBlue
2
3 times same pattern on LTCUSD 1HDon't mind lots of intermittent lines please. The only important ones are those bold dark purple which are forming kind of channel. So i marked some time periods that show similar patterns so when present falling will reach nearly bottom of purple channel, it should go up respecting previous patterns. It might go down even to about 36$. I believe the actual pattern (green) will take almost two days as previous. If it does so, it should fly back to about 43$. Tip me if you want :) BTC: 1FPc96NnpW5rC4RqVVYSRAd8BNHPM4ecJa LTC: LUwb8YJ9pJd634gkMLtZaaYNFE34Z2dawy Thank you! :)
BITFINEX:LTCUSDShort
by Calm-Monk
WTI medium term corrective patternOil is in the middle of medium term Elliott wave 4 corrective range (flat) pattern. As the wave (a) unfolded in to 3 (abc) pattern it have high probability to be the ranged 3-3-5 pattern with a possible break out up side in the last wave (c) to reach at least Fibonacci retracement level 38.2%. As the previous time periods and Fibonacci time extensions match in close range it is possible for medium term corrective wave 4 to end near March 7-8d. As the corrective pattern of wave 4 is mostly hard to predict the best would be to wait for it to end and look for beginning of the Elliott wave 5 pattern signs.
FX:USOIL
by venckusarunas
GBPUSD 8 year cycle can be true?As some markets analysis models suppose - there are major market reversal cycles somewhere around 7 years length. As we connect two previous lows on the monthly chart (2001-06-01 and 2009-01-01) appears next same length low could be expected at the end of this summer (2016-08-01). That's 91 month cycle (7 years and 7 months) and one more lowest low was 94 month length (1993-08-02 - 2001-06-01). One more thing we can say - GBPUSD seems like have magnetic middle zone of equilibrium somewhere around all time high and low Fibonacci 50%. And if this equilibrium period was in below side of the 50%, next could go above as the previous cycle was. In the other hand - this chart looks like huge Head & Shoulders pattern, but we strongly doubt about the price dropping to 1.0 - 0.7 zone (as classical model of head & shoulders suggests). At the moment market is at major support level of 1.45. It is in the middle between past swing (2009-01-01 and 2014-07-01) high Fibonacci retracement levels of 61.8% and 78.6%. For more detailed and more frequent ideas, reviews and analysis you can contact me here, on facebook or website. Best wishes for new incoming trading year! ;)
by venckusarunas
1