BTCUSDT Fresh Short Setup: Targeting Key Support Zones with SMC Description:
This trade setup presents a Bitcoin short opportunity on the 4H timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. After a significant reaction from the supply zone, Bitcoin's price structure aligns with bearish confluences, signaling potential downside. Additionally, external events, such as the recent announcement of China's AI application "DeepSeek," may have amplified market volatility, further supporting the setup.
Trade Setup:
Entry:
Between 103,300 and 104,500
Take-Profit Levels (TP):
101,897
99,825
97,565
95,208
Stop Loss (SL):
Above 105,975
Analysis and Confluences:
Market Structure:
Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend on the 4H timeframe, with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Supply Zone:
The price is entering the 103.3k–104.5k supply zone, a key resistance area where sellers are expected to dominate.
Fibonacci Confluence:
This zone overlaps with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, a high-probability reversal area.
Liquidity Sweeps:
Liquidity above previous highs has been swept, leaving the path clear for potential downside.
Bearish Targets:
The targets align with previous demand zones and liquidity pools at 101,897, 99,825, 97,565, and 95,208.
Trade Plan:
Confirmation: Wait for bearish price action signals or smaller timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) within the supply zone before entering.
Risk Management: Adjust position size to keep risk within acceptable levels. After reaching TP1, move your stop loss to breakeven and secure partial profits.
Final Note: While bearish bias dominates, unexpected macroeconomic events can cause reversals, so use tight risk management.
Bearish-setup
Strong Bearish MomentumOn the 4-hour chart, we witnessed yesterday how prices retraced Bullish to come into our zone. This saw the 1 hour chart hitting its target price point and proceeding all the way higher to get to our 4 hour Panzy-Pips Block (PB), as marked out on the chart.
From this level, and with this look of bearishness, we expect prices to begin to melt and consequently witness a corresponding dip in prices. The market is expected to stay bearish as we target our 4-hour liquidity target at 1.20371.
Because it is a 4-hour chart, we would expect a good number of swings in the lower timeframes of 1 hour and below.
WTI-Oil 2nd April Wti-Oil is another pretty simple setup with a continuous bullish movement up to the nearest supply, we may see a breakdown from that zone but of course if we don't see a breakdown we will look towards the new bullish range that would of been created to make another move higher...
from open iam looking for price to drop down giving us a reason for a shift higher after a small breakdown.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
USDCAD Is Pointing Lower Within Wave C/3Hello traders, we have another important week for global markets as speculators are going to focus on CPI report from the United States, to see if prices are coming down or no. This data will be released on Wednesday, so until then we may not see a log of changes regarding the current trends. We see still stocks in a strong recovery mode with room for more upside while USD can see a sell-off, especially vs commodity currencies which are very strong. AUD, NZD and even CAD can see more upside, despite lower crude. But if crude would stabilize we think that USDCAD has a very good chance to break the support.
From an Elliott wave perspective, we see three legs up, possibly already a completed correction on the intraday chart. Break below wave b swing near 1.2815 calls 1.27.
Grega
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
USD/JPY Time for a Retracement by ThinkingAntsOk🔸 4H CHART EXPLANATION:
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🔸 Price made an upside move.
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🔸 It is moving on an Ascending Channel, and now it is facing the confluence zone between the Resistance Zone and the upper trendline of the channel.
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🔸 We consider that it has potential to make a corrective move to the downside before another bullish impulse.
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🔸 Will look for a lower timeframe setup.
🔸 DAILY CHART ANALYSIS:
Elliott Wave Analysis: Russell-Small Caps May Face More WeaknessHello traders and investors!
Today we will talk about small caps - Russell 2000 Index in which we see nice and clean bearish setup, which means that Russell may face even more weakness in current risk-off sentiment.
From Elliott wave perspective Russell can be trading in bigger, higher degree A-B-C corrective decline, where wave C is still missing. We can see five waves of decline into first leg A, followed by a three-wave corrective rally in wave B, so wave C can be now in play.
From technical point of view, Russell made an impulsive drop from the highs and retraced perfectly back to the former wave 4 resistance area, from where we can already see sharp sell-off that can take us much lower, especially if breaks channel support line.
Well, seems like bears are still in control and we should expect more downside pressure in upcoming days/weeks, maybe even down to 1500 area, but firstly we want to see broken 1900 bearish confirmation level.
Trade well!
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Bearish Looking COINBASE May Have An Impact On The Crypto MarketHello traders and investors!
Today we will talk about COINBASE, its price action from technical point of view and wave structure from Elliott Wave perspective.
When COINBASE was listed back in April, we have seen a massive decline by five waves, which in Elliott Wave theory suggest first leg "a". At the same time, Crypto market was also down. Well, from May lows COINBASE made a three-wave (a)-(b)-(c) corrective rally in wave "b" right into golden 61,8% Fibonacci retracement, where we also see a nice resistance from previous wave (ii) swing high.
As you can see, COINBASE is now sharply down again, which indicates that wave "b" is completed and wave "c" underway which can send the price back to May lows.
If we consider that COINBASE is a Crypto exchange and that is quite nicely correlated with Crypto market, then we will have to be very careful with Cryptos in December, so watch out for a sell-off at the end of the year.
Be humble and trade smart!
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
BTC Update, My Plan for BTC for Septaccept Reality, we aren't bullish at this point, nor will we be, if u wanna follow, do so, if u don't, just don't fall into the trap of moons and stars ;)
SL at 60k,
will ladder till 53k if it does deviation,
Tps given, i'll be personally holding this and will take profits at 26k ;)
✅EUR_GBP BEARISH SETUP|LOCAL SHORT🔥
🏛EUR_GBP made a fakeout from the falling channel
And then returned right back into the channel
Confirming my bearish bias on the pair
Now, the pair has formed a bearish setup
And I am expecting bearish continuation after the breakout
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
EUR/AUD Long Term View🔸 WEEKLY CHART EXPLANATION:
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🔸This pair has been very choppy for the last months.
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🔸We can observe that it tried to break the range to the upside but wasn't able to consolidate above. Instead, it left a pinbar and a strong rejection to the downside.
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🔸Our bearish view involves a potential downsive move towards the Ascending Trendline, however, we need to be careful with the Support Zone at 1.60000.
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🔸Will look for a lower timeframe bearish setup.
AMD Major Bear Swing Target $55 AMD one of the best performers of the year hit a 2.272 fib extension on the monthly previous swing in '06-'08
Bearish divergence formed at that extension perfectly on multiple time frames Weekly, Daily and 4 hr.
Could have a head and shoulders top/into a descending triangle possibly with a measured move of around $ 59-53
Fuck ur calls bruh not financial advice these are just my thoughts
NZD/JPY Bearish View / Top-Down Analysis🔸 DAILY CHART EXPLANATION:
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🔸Price bounced at the Resistance Zone.
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🔸It has broken the Ascending Trendline.
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🔸We consider that this pair has bearish potential towards the Support Zone at 0.66300. However, we need to be careful with the middle Support Zone at 68.800.
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🔸 Will look for a lower timeframe bearish setup.
🔸 4H CHART ANALYSIS:
GBP/USD Time for a Retracement?🔸 DAILY CHART EXPLANATION:
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🔸Price is on a strong uptrend.
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🔸It is facing the Resistance Zone.
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🔸In case of a breakout to the upside, it has potential to reach the Weekly Descending Trendline, but, if it bounces, then we may see a retracement towards the Ascending Trendline.
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🔸 Will look for a lower timeframe setup.
🔸WEEKLY CHART ANALYSIS:
NZD/CAD Two Possible Scenarios 🔸 4H CHART EXPLANATION:
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🔸Price bounced at the Resistance Zone.
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🔸Now, it is facing the Ascending Trendline.
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🔸We have two possible scenarios here. In case of a breakout to the downside, we will consider a short trade towards the Support Zone. And, in case of a clear bounce, we will look for a long trade towards the Resistance Zone.
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🔸 Will look for a lower timeframe setup.
🔸 DAILY CHART ANALYSIS:
AUD/USD Short Term Analysis by ThinkingAntsOk🔸 4H CHART EXPLANATION:
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🔸Price bounced at the Resistance Zone.
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🔸It has broken the Ascending Trendline.
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🔸We consider that in the short term it has potential to reach the Support Zone.
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🔸 Will look for a lower timeframe bearish setup.
🔸 DAILY CHART ANALYSIS:
AUD/JPY Bearish View by ThinkingAntsOk🔸 4H CHART EXPLANATION:
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🔸Price bounced at the Resistance Zone.
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🔸It has broken the Ascending Trendline.
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🔸Right now it is consolidating on a lower timeframe. We consider that if there is a breakout to the downside, then there is potential for a bearish impulse.
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🔸 Will look for a lower timeframe bearish setup.
🔸 DAILY CHART ANALYSIS:
GBP/AUD Waiting for the Pullback by ThinkingAntsOk🔸 WEEKLY CHART EXPLANATION:
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🔸Price broke the Ascending Trendline.
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🔸It is now making a corrective move.
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🔸We are waiting for a retest of the broken trendline before considering a short trade.
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🔸 Will look for a lower timeframe bearish setup.
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🔸 DAILY CHART ANALYSIS:
EUR/JPY Downside move coming / by ThinkingAntsOK🔸 4H CHART EXPLANATION:
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🔸 Price did a perfect pullback to the broken Weekly Trendline.
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🔸 After that it broke the Asceniding Trendline.
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🔸 The corrective structure has been broken.
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🔸 The potential target of the move is the Support Zone.
🔸DAILY CHART ANALYSIS: