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Blackswan

We have a Grey Rhino here - Markets are driven by ignoranceThe US long-term bonds have hit new lows, the yield curve has been inverted for two years now, and inflation remains uncertain, meaning interest rates may not ease at all. Yet, stock markets are reaching new highs. We have a "grey rhino" in this market. A grey rhino is a large and visible animal that cannot be ignored. Try not to get too close to them because when they start charging, we can never outrun them. In this market context, we face a big, obvious problem that investors completely ignore until it becomes a crisis. It's different from a "black swan," which is a rare and unpredictable event. When we recognize that there are problems many do not understand, we have already won half the battle. U.S. Treasury Bonds Futures & Options Ticker: ZB Minimum fluctuation: 1/32 of one point (0.03125) = $31.25 2-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 2YY Minimum fluctuation: 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
TVC:US02YShort
by konhow
5
Finally some movement $BTCChart Analysis: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD KUCOIN:INJUSDT The Bitcoin market shows signs of stirring from its slumber! As anticipated in our preceding commentaries, BTC is making its way towards the 18k zone. However, the strength to break through significant resistance points eluded it, just as we discussed in our earlier videos. Notably, there has been an adjustment in our projection of the massive cup and handle pattern. The recent trend line breach on the weekly chart likely invalidates this pattern. A confirmation of a double top pattern is evident. Following this, BTC retested the newly established resistance and took the downward trajectory, just as predicted. So, what lies ahead for Bitcoin? The forecast suggests a few more sluggish days of price oscillations, potentially culminating in a liquidation sweep or a retest of the longstanding trend line. Should this play out, it presents an opportune moment to initiate a short position and ride the price down towards the 18k area (though this target may shift as we approach it). It's essential to note that now isn't the ideal time to short; the current position is too extended from the EMA. It's wise to await a retracement. Risk Management: Navigating the volatile crypto market necessitates meticulous risk management. As you consider potential positions, align your size and strategy with your risk tolerance. Tools like trailing stop losses can be invaluable in preserving accumulated profits as the market evolves in your favor. Disclaimer: Please remember, this analysis is shared for educational insights and is not a financial recommendation. We urge you to conduct your own comprehensive research and, if needed, seek advice from a financial consultant before making any trading decisions. Trade safe!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by mammamia2
2
🔔18k incoming? 🔔📈 Chart Analysis: Quick update on the current slow sideways market Recent Developments: Small flag pattern on BTC break up would indicate 35k is next a break down would suggest that our mini bull run is over for now! BITSTAMP:BTCUSD KUCOIN:INJUSDT INJ broke out of the flag and hit target 1 however showing very toppy signs with a double top in stage 3 that is still valid. it also is producing a small flag patten so if we break out of that it is likely that my topping theory will be invalidated! 🔔 Risk Management: It's imperative to tailor your position size in accordance with your risk appetite. Employ astute risk management tactics, such as trailing stop losses, to safeguard your profits as the price advances in your favor. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by mammamia2
Massive resistance ahead! 18k or 35k where next? Chart Analysis: Recent Developments: The chart has recently exhibited a classic 'Cup and Handle' pattern which broke out and evolved splendidly. Following this, there was a pullback to the breakout level, which culminated in an impeccable falling wedge, as we had anticipated in our preceding video. Subsequently, there was a remarkable breakout, and we successfully reached our initial target - the apex of the falling wedge. This has brought us face-to-face with the most formidable resistance encountered since the inception of the bear market. Will we break through? Only time will tell. What Lies Ahead? At this very moment, the chart is forming yet another colossal 'Cup and Handle' pattern, and we are teetering on the brink of a breakout. Should this breakout materialize, we can anticipate a continuation of the upward trend until any signs of faltering. It's crucial to remain vigilant for indications of potential reversals. Conversely, if this attempt is unsuccessful, the chart could potentially plummet to the 18k level before the halving. It's advisable to proceed with caution and employ stop losses. Risk Management: It's imperative to tailor your position size in accordance with your risk appetite. Employ astute risk management tactics, such as trailing stop losses, to safeguard your profits as the price advances in your favor. Disclaimer: Please note that this analysis is intended solely for educational purposes and must not be construed as financial advice. It's of paramount importance to undertake your own due diligence and seek counsel from a financial advisor prior to making any trading decisions. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BITSTAMP:BCHUSD KUCOIN:INJUSDT
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by mammamia2
Black swan event or pump? $BTC update!📈 Chart Analysis: Potential falling wedge: Top tip wait for breakout and retest of the AVWAP before taking a long Are we retesting the Head and Shoulders resistance in prep for a "Black Swan" event that will take us to our low target?: top tip for an early SHORT position you could take the short now and place a stop above the highest high of this retest OR on the falling wedge break out area ;) additional info! Currently in a Stage 3: where we look for Bullish continuation patterns (falling wedge) and/or topping patterns Head and shoulders OBV still in a stage 1 and looking weak! 🔔 Risk Management: Adjust your position size based on your risk tolerance and use proper risk management strategies, such as trailing stop losses, to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by mammamia2
Black swan. Biggest shift of wealth in human history.Hello guys. Just a few words for everybody too lazy watching the video. We had the most crazy week in the stockmarket since many decades. The dump was violent. Banks will fail - or at least the small banks will. Big banks might survive the financial crisis, but the world will never be the same. Cryptocurrency will rise since it is the better money. If you want to get rich. Just short everything you can - with reasonable leverage and never trade money which you cannot afford to loose. Ofcourse speaking of stocks and indices. Keep in mind. Health is more important than wealth. (I always said 6.18 and meant 0.618) I want to keep these videos short, but never manage to do so. I might just get back to charts so people don't have to watch minute long videos. Until then. With best regards.
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PShort
by Juba1337