Breakout!
Netflix - This Is A 100% Probability Setup!Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) will continue its parabolic rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With this monthly candle, Netflix finally broke above the previous all time high and it about to continue the reversal triangle pattern cycle. We saw the same breakout back in 2013, when Netflix broke above the all time high and then started an even stronger rally of about +50%.
Levels to watch: $750, $1.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Amazon - The +150% All Time High Breakout!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is hugging the previous all time high:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Amazon has been moving sideways for almost four years, consolidating between support and the previous all time high. After retesting the resistance over and over again, it is just a matter of time until Amazon will break the previous all time high and start its next major bullish cycle.
Levels to watch: $190, $500
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
FLOKIUSDTFLOKISDT.
Will ARUSDT get bids from buyers ?
As the price is at strong support level and bullish divergence indicating the buyers may attack this zone. If this happens and buyers start buying from here then the next target could be 0.000211 followed by 0.000400.
What you guys think of this idea?
Bitcoin Breaking Higher Highs: What to Watch for NextBitcoin is currently breaking above a recent higher high, signaling potential for continued upward momentum. If it successfully surpasses this level with strong volume, it could indicate that buyers are in control and ready to push prices higher. However, it’s essential to wait for confirmation—this means letting Bitcoin close above the high to avoid a potential false breakout. By waiting for a clean break, traders can enter with more confidence, aligning with the trend and reducing risk. If this higher high holds, it may serve as new support, creating a solid foundation for the next move upward.
GOLD - Price can exit from pennant and then start to declineHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price started to decline inside falling channel, where it at once reached $2645 level and broke it.
Then price rose to resistance line of channel, after which bounced and continued to decline in channel.
Later it reached $2645 level, broke it, and fell to support line, but soon made upward impulse and broke $2645 level again.
Also, price made gap exited from falling channel and continued to grow inside pennant, where it reached $2720 level.
Gold broke this level and rose to resistance line of pennant pattern, but recently fell to support line and made a gap.
I think that price can rise a little, exiting from pennant, and then fall to $2700, breaking support level.
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Dogecoin - Get In Now Before It Hits $10!Dogecoin ( CRYPTO:DOGEUSD ) is about to repeat another bullish cycle:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Dogecoin just broke out of the previous bear market triangle pattern and is starting its next major bullrun. Looking at market structure, price action and previous cycles, Dogecoin could even hit two digits after is manages to break above the all time high. You know what's possible.
Levels to watch: $0.1, $0.2, $0.5, $10
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Solana - We Will See A New All Time High!Solana ( CRYPTO:SOLUSD ) is preparing for an all time high breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After dropping -95% in 2022, Solana then rallied an incredible +2.000% and retested the previous all time high. Then we saw a quite long term but tight consolidation and just two months ago, Solana retested the lower support again. It is just a matter of time until we will see a breakout.
Levels to watch: $120, $210
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Silver - Just Starting The Parabolic Rally!Trading update on Silver ( TVC:SILVER ):
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Silver just perfectly completed the bullish break and retest and is about to reject the next horizontal resistance level. However everything is still significantly bullish and I honestly do expect a breakout soon. Following the previous cycle, Silver might rally another +35% from here.
Levels to watch: $34, $45
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Options Blueprint Series [Basic]: H&S amid Surging Wheat Supply1. Introduction: Bearish Opportunity in Wheat amid Rising Supply
With the U.S. Grain Stocks Wheat (USGSW) report showing a notable rise in wheat stock levels, a bearish scenario is unfolding for wheat futures. This increase in supply, which could drive prices downward, aligns with a technical setup showing potential for a bearish breakout.
From a technical perspective, Wheat futures exhibit a Complex Head and Shoulders formation, signaling a possible breakdown as prices approach a critical support level. By combining the supply dynamics and technical formation, this article outlines a Bear Put Spread strategy, ideal for capitalizing on this bearish outlook with limited risk.
2. Fundamental Analysis: Rising Wheat Stock Levels
The most recent USGSW report has recorded wheat stock levels breaking upward to 1.98 billion bushels, up from the previous level of 1.779 billion bushels. This shift indicates a higher supply of wheat available in the market, which, in the absence of proportional demand, typically should result in price pressure to the downside.
Higher wheat stock levels often dampen demand sentiment, as markets anticipate reduced scarcity and increased availability. Such fundamentals offer a conducive backdrop for a bearish approach, supporting the downside breakout anticipated in the technical setup.
3. Technical Analysis: Complex Head and Shoulders Formation
The technical landscape for Wheat futures supports the bearish case, with a Complex Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the chart. This pattern is characterized by multiple peaks (heads) flanked by smaller peaks (shoulders), indicating a potential reversal from recent highs.
The critical neckline for this formation sits at 585'6. A break below this level would signal the likelihood of further downside movement. The target for this setup aligns with a UFO support zone at 552'4, which serves as an optimal price point to close the trade if the breakout confirms.
4. Trade Setup: Bear Put Spread on Wheat Futures (Ticker: ZWH2025)
To capitalize on the bearish setup, a Bear Put Spread is employed. This strategy allows for limited downside risk while still offering attractive profit potential. Here are the specifics:
o Contract Details for ZWH2025 (Wheat Futures):
Contract Size: 5,000 bushels
Tick Size: 1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel (equivalent to $12.50 per tick)
Point value of 1 future unit: $50
Point value of 1 option unit: $50
Expiration: December 27, 2024
Margin Requirement: While the exact margin depends on the broker, the requirement typically ranges between $1,500 and $2,000 per futures contract. The margin for a Bear Put Spread in Wheat futures options is limited to the debit paid (15.2 points *$50 = $760).
o Options Strategy: Bear Put Spread
Buy the 585 put option at 25.84 and Sell the 550 put option at 10.64, both expiring on December 27, 2024.
The net debit paid is 25.84 – 10.64 = 15.2 points = $760
This spread provides a capped-risk opportunity for profiting from a downside move in Wheat futures.
o Risk Management:
While stop loss orders can be used, no stop loss is required given the limited-risk nature of the Bear Put Spread. The maximum potential loss is predefined by the cost of the spread.
5. Options Risk Profile Analysis
The Bear Put Spread strategy involves buying a put option at a higher strike price (585) and selling a put option at a lower strike price (550). This configuration:
Maximizes potential profit if Wheat futures drop to or below the 550 level by expiration.
Caps maximum loss at the initial cost of the spread, regardless of how the underlying Wheat futures move.
For this setup, the maximum potential profit is the difference between the strikes (585 - 550) minus the premium paid = 19.80 ($990). The maximum potential loss is the cost of the spread, making it a controlled-risk strategy suited to volatile or downward-trending markets.
6. Trade Execution Plan
Entry: Initiate the Bear Put Spread as Wheat futures break below the 585'6 neckline, confirming the downside breakout.
Target: Close the trade at 552'4, which aligns with a nearby UFO support zone, marking a logical exit point.
7. Risk Management Considerations
Effective risk management is essential in any options strategy, and the Bear Put Spread inherently offers several risk control advantages:
Limited Risk: By buying a put and selling a lower-strike put, the Bear Put Spread creates a defined risk position, capping potential losses at the initial premium paid for the spread.
No Stop Loss Required: With maximum risk predetermined by the cost of the spread, there's no need for a stop loss, which could otherwise be triggered prematurely in a volatile market.
Predefined Entry and Exit: This strategy's effectiveness hinges on precise entry (below the 585'6 neckline) and a clear target at 552'4. By maintaining these predefined parameters, the trade maximizes its alignment with both technical and fundamental setups.
This trade setup offers a balanced approach, allowing for downside exposure with risk under control, making it well-suited for periods of volatility or substantial downward moves.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. Also, some of the calculations and analytics used in this article have been derived using the QuikStrike® tool available on the CME Group website.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
ENA/USDT: Bull Flag Breakout! Strong Bullish Setup in Play!!Hey everyone!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, don’t forget to hit that 👍 and follow for more updates!
ENA is looking strong right now! It is breaking out from the bull flag pattern and a successful retest is also done. Long some at CMP and add more in the dip.
Entry range: CMP and add more up to $0.36
Targets:- $0.44/$0.50/$0.57/$0.64
SL: $0.345
Lev: Use low leverage (Max 5x)
What do you think of ENA’s price action? I’m seeing a strong bullish setup here! Share your insights and analysis in the comments below!
Will BTCUSD’s Breakout Lead to a $90K Target?CRYPTO:BTCUSD
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Current Price: 71,149.92
Bullish Indicators
• Cup and Handle Pattern
• Descending Broadening Wedge
Key Levels
• Strong Pivot Level: 62,500
• Ultimate Resistance: 75,000.00
• Primary Price Target: 90,000.00
Cup and Handle Pattern (Weekly Chart)
On the weekly chart, BTCUSD has formed a Cup and Handle pattern—a classic bullish continuation pattern suggesting renewed buying interest after a period of consolidation. The rounded bottom of the cup indicates strong accumulation, while the handle represents a temporary consolidation before the next upward move. Based on the measured depth of the cup, we find a potential long-term price projection around 120,000.00, aligning with broader bullish expectations in the current trend.
Descending Broadening Wedge (Daily Chart)
Zooming in on the daily chart, the handle section has formed a Descending Broadening Wedge. This pattern is another bullish indicator, often signaling potential for a breakout to the upside as it nears completion. Importantly, the price has recently broken the upper trendline of the wedge, reinforcing the likelihood of an upward movement. Based on our measurement of this wedge, we set a mid-term price target of 90,000.00, supporting the broader bullish outlook indicated by the Cup and Handle.
Monitor Key Support and Resistance Levels:
The strong pivot at 62,500 serves as a critical support level. Sustained movement above this level reinforces the bullish case.
Resistance Checkpoints:
Price momentum toward the ultimate resistance at 75,000.00 will be crucial to confirm the continuation of the bullish trend toward the primary target of 90,000.00.
Happy Trading!
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BITCOIN TREND PIVOT With all the geo-political noise it's easy to get caught up in the low timeframe madness. Zooming out and looking at the High timeframe structure, things get a little simpler...
For me, BTC has been in two different smaller phases within a larger bullflag pattern. Phase one is the bearish part of the bullflag where price prints lower highs and lower lows , this lasted for 150 days with a pivot once price wicked into the bullish OB @ $50K.
From that pivot point the second phase started and it's where we are now. Once we got our first higher low the new bullish trend began, higher lows and higher highs followed and continues on until now.
Now the interesting part is how BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern and that's shown by the X's and ^'s on the chart. In recent days BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern as shown by the tick where price rejected off the '21 ATH and retested what was formerly trend resistance and now support after a successful bullish reaction off that level for the first time in 8 months.
Price is now at the highs with the US election around the corner and %16B FTX repayments on the way , can BTC go one step further and make a new ATH? Time will tell but for now the structure is the most important thing. Higher highs and higher lows, that's it.
SOL/USDT: Bull Flag Breakout: Potential 10x Opportunity Ahead!Hey everyone!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, don’t forget to hit that 👍 and follow for more updates!
SOL is looking very promising on the higher time frame. It’s breaking out of a bull flag structure on the 2-day chart. We’re just waiting for one more candle for confirmation, but once confirmed, SOL could be set for a potential 10x move. Consider accumulating on dips!
Entry Range: $145 - $175
Target: $800 - $1000
What do you think of SOL’s current price action? Are you spotting this bullish setup too? Share your analysis in the comments, and let’s ride this wave together!
STX pivot point structure looking for a breakoutNASDAQ:STX is working on a nice pivot point structure with divergence on the trend oscillator. Stacks is part of the Bitcoin narrative and should be moving up alongside Bitcoin. It seems to be lagging and could be undervalued at the moment. The price looks like it wants to break out of the structure confirming a chofch.