BTC Elliot Wave 3-4 : CORRECTION Before HALVING📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
Fractals are a helpful way to identify how markets have previously moved. When identifying a similar pattern, it can be useful to speculate future potential price action.
Here we'll take a look at how the previous bullish cycle played out. By following Elliot Wave Theory, we can find a target for a potential bounce zone for the current corrective pattern.
Find HERE the method I used to call the bullish cycle early:
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Btchalving
BTC - Follow THIS Path to the HALVING📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
If you have been following me for a while, you'll know I've been saying we are trading in the opening moments of a new bullish cycle. I've also referred to this as Elliot Wave Theory Wave 1.
According to my plan, this is the first impulse wave towards the upside. But the upwards wave are always followed by correction waves; a natural part of any cycle. I expected the second impulse wave (2-3) to happen very close to or just before the BTC halving, which is set to happen in April. This is based on a previous analysis that I did where we made a conclusion based on the price action of the previous BTC halvings before, during and after.
👉 Macro Analysis
Bitcoin is due for that 30% correction / pullback. Even dropping to lower 30K zone would still be a lower high, classic Elliot Wave Theory before the next upwards impulse wave, which is the biggest ( wave 2). This will fall exactly on the white diagonal trendline, which is our support zone.
👉 Technical Indicator Analysis
Our technical indicator is still bullish, but showing "Overbought". In a higher timeframe, this usually means it can carry n for some time - but a pullback is imminent before another impulse upwards.
NOTE that I am BULLISH on BTC. We're in the opening moments of a new bullish cycle, but there are pullbacks and corrections in upward cycles - and I'm expecting that we're currently trading in impulse wave 0-1.
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DOGE -BULLISH: BTC Halving, ALTS RotateHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, and one of the most interesting trends to watch is the rotation of liquidity between BTCUSDT and altcoins. This refers to the movement of capital/cash/dollars between BTC and alts as investors seek out the best opportunities for short term gains.
Historically, Bitcoin has been the dominant player in the crypto market, accounting for the majority of trading volume and market capitalization. However in recent years, altcoins have begun to gain traction and there has been a growing trend of investors rotating their liquidity from Bitcoin into altcoins. Not to mention the fact that Mr. Elon Musk himself is always bullish on Dogecoin and this has resulted in increased adoption for the altcoin DOGEUSDT.
The Bitcoin halving is an important factor to keep in mind in the coming months as this affects the rotation of liquidity between Bitcoin and altcoins. (The halving is an event that occurs every four years, when the reward for mining a new block is cut in half) . This reduces the supply of new Bitcoin entering the market, which can lead to an increase in price.
If the Bitcoin halving leads to a significant increase in the price of Bitcoin, it is possible that some investors will rotate their liquidity out of altcoins and into Bitcoin (meaning that the price of alts will INCREASE up until the halving, where it will then exit alts and enter BTC market again). The next Bitcoin Halving is scheduled to take place around April or May of 2024.
Order of the Rotation Based on the Market Cap of the Altcoin
The order of the rotation of liquidity between Bitcoin and altcoins is typically based on the market capitalization of the altcoin . The largest altcoins, such as Ethereum, Litecoin, and Ripple, tend to see the most liquidity rotation, as investors move their capital into these assets in search of growth opportunities. As we have recent seen significant increases in Solana, Litecoin and ETH, we can now expect liquidity to rotate into the next class of alts with slightly smaller market caps then the previous class, including DOGE.
These are some of the fundamental reasons on why I am bullish on DOGECOIN up until the point of the BTC halving next year. The technical reasons for my bullish sentiment have been discussed in the video, including Technical Indicators and Macro phase analysis.
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