CADCHF top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Cadchfsignals
CADCHF Long-term sell opportunityThe CADCHF pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Up ever since the aftermath of the 2020 COVID market crash. It is currently approaching the Higher Highs (top) trend-line of this Channel and has started to turn into a sell opportunity long-term in our book. At the same time, the RSI on the 1D time-frame is forming the same peak pattern that led to the previous Higher High on April 01 2021. Either now or a little higher closer to 0.78000, CADCHF is a sell opportunity for us.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CADCHF LONG TRADE IDEAHello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
We do have a W pattern formation on the Weekly. We are looking into a neckline retracement before the move to the upside.
We can see on the COT - Commitment of Traders, which is what Hedge funds and the non commercials so the biggest in the market are doing. Where we can see that CHF's net positions have been decreasing, where we went from having positive 9,678 net positions to down to minus -17,584 we can see that in CHF is weak, but CAD on the other hand is getting short term stronger so we can expect a long position due to longs being added.
Trade Signals
BUY
Entry: 0.73115
Take Profit: 0.75805
Stop Loss: 0.72551
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~FX_SHIFTER
CADCHF | Perspective for the new weekCommodity markets struggle to rebound, but the Canadian dollar remained under strong pressure even at the latter part of last week trading session.
The appearance of a Double Top structure ( a strong reversal pattern) on the chart confirms that the price has found a peak @ Fr0.75000 and has since the beginning of May 2021 continue to find lower lows which culminated in the Breakdown of Key level @ Fr0.74000 - a level that has kept price "supported" for 42days.
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Top)
Observation: i. i. Double Top: Confirmation of an extremely bearish technical reversal pattern that formed after the price reached a peak two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs insinuates a risk of further decline in the coming week(s).
ii. A successful Breakdown of the Neckline area (Key level) on the 9th of June 2021 was followed by multiple rejections of the same zone.
iii. Multiple rejections of the Fr0.74000 area projects a new supply niche for future selling opportunity @ Fr0.7400/0.74400; this is evident in the activities that occurred in the latter part of last week trading session.
iv. Shooting star: the price tried to rise significantly during the last two days (17th/18th June 2021), but then the sellers took over and pushed the price back down toward the open of the previous day to close below the neckline.
v. In this regard, it appears to be appropriate that we look for a trading opportunity below the neckline in the coming week... Trade consciously! 😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 220 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:8
Potential Duration: 6 to 12days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CADCHF | Perspective for the new weekThe impact of Sellers in February 2020 (Bearish Impulse leg that lasted a month on the weekly chart - ) appears to be too strong for the Buyers to gain that confidence needed to invest in the CAD. With the present Head and Shoulder look alike, I shall be patiently looking out for a significant Breakdown of Neckline and Support level @ 0.69300 to hop in the decline.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Channel | H & S| Supply & Demand
Observation: i. Despite having a Bullish structure, the CAD$0.0.69800 level has been a very stronghold for Sellers since mid-October 2020.
ii. Bullish move from CAD$0.69400 (Support level) continue to be rejected @ CAD$0.69800 hence making it a major level for Supply.
iii. With the present character in the market, the Breakout of CAD$0.698000 on the 9th of Nov. 2020 appears to be false as the price continues to experience weak Bullish momentum springing from the Bullish Trendline.
iv. This been said, CAD$0.69300 level becomes a level to watch out for significant breakdown for confirmation this week.
v. It is also worthy to note here that a significant Breakout of CAD$0.70000 level this week might render this setup invalid and an immediate shift to a rally continuation shall be activated.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 100 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:3
Potential Duration: 1 to 5 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CADCHF | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKWeak economic data and pressures on the oil market are taking a toll on the CAD as it continues to find it difficult to raise the bar. The sharp fall after reaching a peak of 0.70000 appears to hold ground.
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Trendline | Supply & Demand| Reversal Pattern (Head and Shoulder)
Observation: i. Even though we are generally on an uptrend, it appears that correction into the Daily trendline is the aim of price action at this juncture.
ii. Selling pressure continues to increase after the Breakdown of Neckline @ 0.69200 a couple of weeks ago.
iii. Canada's retail sales index at 0.6% as showcased on Friday's data was also below expectation which increases doubt in the strength of the currency.
iv. I am looking out for a Bearish signal in the following week(s) as the aim extends to hit Bullish Trendline on Day chart.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 110 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:2.5
Potential Duration: 2 to 6 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CADCHF | MY PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKDespite the Bullish run (Corrective move) from late July 2020; The anticipation of negative numbers and economical dent from Unemployment rate and Net Change in employment was not a convincing yard for a continuing rally. Price broke out of my Key level in the beginning of the week only to Break down and close below this level in the latter part of the week inciting a much good reason for Buyers to step aside for a better deal in the following week(s).
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Retracement | Trendline | Breakdown
Observation: i. The fall of price that began mid-July appears to continue its second phase of decline after completing a correction into 61.8 retracements of impulse leg.
ii. Breakdown of my Key level @ 0.68300 is enough signal for me to consider Bearish bias this coming week.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 120 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:2.5
Potential Duration: 3 to 10 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
NirvanaForex
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.